A futuristic picture of Europe?

 A futuristic picture of Europe?

As days become shorter and Europe moves towards the dark seasons of the year, after Covid lockdowns, come the Dark Ages. In Southern European regions, it would not be much of a problem, but the most affected regions of Europe will include highly industrialized areas. 

Manufacturing will be reduced, commercial activity will be reduced, and we will have to calculate the consequences that in some ways could be pretty similar to what Europe had to face because of the measures implemented to deal with the Covid pandemic. As inflation takes hold and energy prices go up, the lack of economic activity with add to the pile of debt - both public and private - destabilizing economies even more leading to what the Deputy President of the European Commission called 'social unrest'.

German cities impose cold showers and turn off lights. Rising production costs in the UK lead to 4.4% in UK shop prices. It is said that EU member states have very different energy mixes: a few countries were nerarly 100 per cent depedent on Russian gas while others used none, indicates an article published by The Guardian in London, UK. There is discontent in countries that used little or no Russian energy that are now forced to make sacrifices for those that spent many years using cheap gas imported from the Russian Federation.

In the meantime, the Rubble, the Russian Federation currency, is booming. Simon Jenkins states that sanctions against the Russian Federation have visibly backfired. Energy prices are rocketting, inflation is soaring and millions are being starved of grain. Having said that, for EU member states the worst is still to come. Keep an eye on Western economies. Keep an eye on political developments. As inflation rises, industrial unrest will grow and political stability will vanish.

European Energy Rationing and strikes: Sanctions against Russian Federation benefit Russian Federation

 

Europe is shooting itself in the foot: sanctions against Russian Federation benefit Russian Federation

In the midst of a hot summer and talk about environmental crisis caused by rising temperatures leading to fires and meltdown snow caps, people can easily forget that winter will come and that when winter comes energy prices will not only hit the roof because of lack of energy sources. Winter will come with rationing and this will bring with it all kinds of unsavoury situations, conflict and most probably social and political unrest across Europe.

Before there was any talk about rationing, prices were rising steadily and utility bills were hitting consumers that are now going to be told that they not only will have to pay more more the energy they use. They will also have to face the certain possiblity of blackouts.

In Germany, head of industry, trade unions and politicians including the Deputy President of the European Commission are alerting about what is to come. Industries that have to pay higher energy costs and/or industries that are told that they will not have the energy they need to be able to function will face extremely harsh choices. If they decide to reduce operations or if they cannot obtain the energy they need to continue operating, the unavoidable consequence will be mass unemployment.

In Britain, the struggle has already begun. Strikes involving transport will be reinforced by strikes of public sector workers that demand salary rises to cope with galloping inflation. Any salary rises will drain even more an already exhausted treasury. Any loss economic activity will lead to economic losses and will threaten the stability of the British Pound. If the currency collapses, then there will be a double wammy. Britain will pay more for the energy it uses not just because of higher market prices, but because the parity with the US Dollar used to buy oil and gas will be less favourable.

The British government is aware that it will come the time when Britain will be paralized by strikes and this is why legislation is being put through Parliament to counter trade unions to allow agency workers to replace ordinary workers. The problem is that alienating ordinary workers is a leading cause to political and civil unrest and there might not be enough manpower to prevent street battles and widespread violence. By passing such legislation the authorities might be unwittingly creating two sides at war in the United Kingdom.

In the meantime, the witchhunt is already underway. British citizens that utterly disagree with UK policies regarding the Russian Federation are being hunted down and their assets are being frozen and there is even the threat of trials for crimes against humanity. Britain has been encouraging British mercenaries to get involved in the war to attack the Russian Federation, but does not like the fact that British citizens of their own volition actually support the Russian Federation.

Britain is at war with the Russian Federation and sooner than later Britain will pay a very high price for it and the same applies to most countries of the European Union. The idea that Europe and/or Britain can target the Russian Federation without any consequences for Britain and Europe is as naive as the words of Hermann Goering when he promised Adolf Hitler that German cities would never be bombed.

Europe and Britain will have to face the consequences, consequences that could be worse than anything conceivable or predictable. Europe and Britain are moving around with the same self-assurance the inhabitants of Hiroshima and Nagasaki had on the eve of the launching of two atomic bombs.

Just yesterday, both Conservative party contenders for the leadership of the Conservative Party were asked very simplistic questions about Britain involvement in Ukraine. Not even the journalists of the BBC have the brainpower to ask proper questions. The issue was not about sending or not sending the Royal Navy to the Black Sea. The issue is what will happen if Britain is formally involved in the war because sending the Royal Navy would be an act of war. The time for intimidation is gone because any additional actions will actually trigger a European conflict.

 

  

Conservative Party members argue that Boris Johnson was elected by Conservative Party Members and that his name should be on the ballot to elect a new party leader

 https://conservativepost.co.uk/borisballot/

More than 7,500 Conservative Party members support petition to include Boris Johnson on the ballot to elect the new party leader arguing that Boris Johnson was elected by the members and that the will of the members has been ignored.

Democrats have two houses of Congress and Biden fails to push legislation through?

 

President Biden in the first two years of his presidential mandate fails to push legislation through Congress despite having majorities in both houses.

He travelled to Saudi Arabia to persuade Saudi Arabia to produce more oil to lower market prices, failed to persuade Saudi Arabia and managed to push up oil prices.

And what will happen in the mid-term elections? Will Democrats lose legislative control with President Biden turning himself into a lame duck President?

This is what America has to face at a very dangerous time in its history.

On the other side of the Atlantic, President Zelenskiy cannot trust his own intellgence officers and sacked none other than the chief intelligence official saying that Ukrainian intelligence services have been infiltrated and this is happening during an ongoing military conflict that Ukraine is losing despite the best propaganda efforts of the BBC, SKY, CNN and other Western media that want to maintain the 'Stalingrad ilusion of a winning Wehrmacht' but this time in Ukraine.

As temperatures soar we might be inclined to forget that temperatures will fall and that Europe will pay a very high price for the so called energy crisis and it is not going to be merely about economics, and issue that is already generating social unrest and will ultimately lead to political crisis and more.

If things don't change soon, this will be the Democrats' Vietnam. Jimmy Carter lost the opportunity of a second presidential mandate because of Iran and the failed rescue attempt of the hostages in Teheran. The withdrawal from Afghanistan was a clear indication that the present American government is not on top of its briefing. It was a popularity disaster as well as a military disaster. Could yet another crisis - this time a financial crisis - sink the Democrats' ship and open to the way to a return of the Republican Party?  

Hope Not Hate, British Security Services and misguided politicians and political operators created National Action

 

Hope Not Hate, British Security Services and misguided politicians and political operators created National Action

Some people in this coutry surely disagreed or hated the British National Party and its then Leader Nick Griffin, but the BNP was standing for elections, getting elected representatives, playing by the rules, and by then there was not talk of any real threats or national security issues. 

In fact, there was a time when the BNP has many Counsellors elected, had a Member of the London Assembly Elected and two Members of the European Parliament. Therefore there was no appetite for any unfortunate adventures nor illegal activities. Everybody was playing by the book, but contratry to their names organisations like Hope Not Hate were busy spreading hate and promoting violence by trying to deprive voters of legitimate choices. Finally, the demise of the BNP thanks to do-gooders led to an environment in which individuals like Jack Renshaw, Mark Jones and others went the wrong way and in 2013 National Action was founded not to pursue or engage in legal political activities. They saw the demise of the BNP as living proof that it was no use to take part in legal political activities and this is why the name National Action. This refers to direct actions against those they saw as political enemies.

Years have passed but the same wrong strategies are in place and this includes using anti-terror legislation and in particular Schedule 7 for political purposes, detaining and harassing political operators or even blocking their personal back accounts and blocking party political bank accounts to presumably depriving political movements from the necessary resources that they use to stand in elections. Forced by a party political organisation called Electoral Commission - the Electoral Commission in violation of its remit is preventing political organisations from being registered as political parties and forcing their members to stand as independent candidates in every election where and when they can stand. 

The recent by election in Wakefield - called because of sexual misconduct of the Member of Parliament that represented the said constituency - is a clear example. Police forces were used for political purposes to detain, harass, and prevent political operators from engaging in the lawful business of standing in elections. The latest report indicates that thanks to Police actions bank accounts were frozen or closed down and all done for purposes of political persecution in the United Kingdom.

Just a few days ago at Walworth Police Station near Elephant and Castle in London, I had the opportunity to talk with two members of SO15 - I am always open to talk with members of the British Security Services - to give them advice about the errors of their ways and about how the troglodite measures of Police forces in the United Kingdom are actually promoting terrorism. Quite a few examples of such measures tell me that Security Services in the United Kingdom and this goes down to Police Forces in the United Kingdom are out of their depth and have very little understanding of what is actually happening.

Precisely because of the fact that Nationalist organisations are not being allowed to operate lawfully -  many are not even allowed to registered as political parties and on top of that when they stand independent candidates they suffered politically motivated arrests, harassment, have property seized and bank accounts frozen or closed down - there is the certain danger that individuals deprived of the right to take part in lawful political activities might suddenly decide to engage in other kinds of political activities and seek the support of external organisations or even foreign governments to achieve their aims. 

External organisations and foreign goverments can hit a pot of gold. As anybody rational and knowledgeable enough would understand, people can become national security assets not for Britain but for foreign organisations and foreign goverments. Security Services and the Armed Forces in Britain know that they have been infiltrated by political operators many of whom have strong support within the Security Services and within the Armed Forces. An article published by The Guardian attests to that but timidly refers - sometimes directly and sometimes indirectly to 'far right extremism within the Security Services and the Armed Forces'.

God help Britain if there is ever a war in Europe. There is every sign that Britain will be attacked from within. When it comes to politics and geopolitics, there are no national borders anymore and British Security Services, politicians and mass media can naively believe that blocking financial resources in the United Kingdom they will prevent well trained operators from doing whatever they set themselves to achieve. For example, financial resources can be transfered without registered bank accounts. Although British troops are not formally deployed in a theatre of war in Europe, the war is already taking place in many different forms and this is being reflected by economic realities. Does anybody understand that present economic uncertainties and political instability are caused by geopolitical decisions adopted by the British government? When you try to destabilize another country because of what is happening in Ukraine then you are bound to suffer the consequences and this is exactly what is happening. Sanctions and other measures adopted against the Russian Federation are backfiring in a big way and both Western Europe and Eastern Europe are feeling the brunt. 

What role will British Nationalists play? They have no reason to be loyal to a system that seeks to destroy them and in the process destroy Britain. Something very similar is happening in other European countries. In Germany, both industrialists and trade unions fear economic instability leading to political instability. In the Netherlands, we see different interest groups including those involved in transport sectors and farming taking action i.e. farmers acquiring water canons to counter-attack if attacked by Police forces. None other than the Dutch Vice President of the European Commission alerted about the certain danger of social unrest. Ladies and gentlemen, misguided geopolitical decisions and equally misguided environmental policies will lead Europe towards the 1930s. If Europe moves towards the 1930s, who do you think will benefit? And going back to Germany, will the Grünen in Germany be willing to put aside their aspirators if it becomes patently clear that we do need to use more fossil fuels to cope with present challenges? How long will Herr Olaf Scholz coalition last?

SO15, British Police forces, politicians and mass media need to understand that although geographically Britain might be a group of islands we cannot be in isolation in terms of economic, social and political developments happening right now in Europe. They must also understand that blocking individuals and preventing them from participating in lawful political activities they are creating an even greater danger in the United Kingdom.

Contradictory Messages: Weapons? Bad thing? Good thing?

Contradictory messages create serious problems

When German Chancellor Olaf Scholz made the announcement that Germany is ready to invest billions of Euros to beef up its Armed Forces, he forgot to emphasize that thousands upon thousands of Germany will be expected to be trained to use war weapons in combat.

For many generations since World War Two, the German peoples were showered with messages of guilt because of the events of 70 or so years ago. For many generations, Germans were told how bad going to war was. Trying to change all that because of what is happening in Europe nowadays is a dangerous gamble that might reawake what many have tried to forget and have tried to make others forget.

In the USA, Americans grow up with messages about bearing arms and this is the subject of a major debate nowadays. But now let's look at the facts. America needs people trained and ready to bear arms because it has military bases in practically every corner of the world and is simultaneously involved in conflicts around the world both directly and indirectly. If at any point in time you are going to ask your people to go to war, you cannot tell them that they cannot bear arms or be used to bear arms.

Politicians across the so called Western World must stop sending contradictory messages because contradictory messages will cost lives. If you are going to be asked to go to war, bearing arms and knowing how to deal with weapons is a very good thing indeed.

We need consistency. When we talk about budgets there is always talk about increasing funding for education, health and transport and development project. President Donald Trump's criticism of NATO partners was about NATO countries 'not spending enough in defense and expecting the USA both to pay for defense and to provide manpower to fight wars'. Producing a bigger war machine will not be popular with environmentalists. Heavy industries needed for the war effort and the infrastructure involved will consume vast amounts of energy that will come mainly from fossil fuels.

During a television debate in the process to select a new Conservative Party Leader and Prime Minister, candidates were asked about their environmental credentials. They had to come with the usual politically correct answers. Instead of telling the truth, they had to produce the same politically correct answers that never reflect reality. They needed to tell members of the public what they thought members of the public wanted to hear. To sum up, they had to lie in front of television cameras to appease environmentalists and pseudo environmentalists.

The reality is that we need vast amounts of cheap energy wherever and whenever we can get it. Expensive energy produces inflation that destroys incomes. If you want more for your money, you need cheaper energy in vast amounts. Quite a few people ignore the link between cheap energy and prices or simply pretend that the link does not exist. The same goes for readiness for war. You don't create and have trained Armed Forces overnight. It takes years. People need to be used to bear weapons. They need to know how to use weapons. Pacifist nonsense will get you killed. So you have got to make a choice. If politicians keep issuing threats, sooner that later there will be a major conflict. There are two choices: they can continue issuing threats and invest in the war machinery or they can stop issuing threats and prepare themselves for a diplomatic solution. Once again, we need consistency. 

     

Gerhard Schröder: Burning links will only bring war in Europe a lot closer

Gerhard Schröder: Burning links will only bring war in Europe a lot closer

SPD has targetted its former leader and former German Chancellor for not wanting to join the movement towards war in Europe.

If German is destabilized by yet another war, the Fourth Reich will be born and those who now target Gerhard Schröder will be the ones that will fall the first when the debacle beings.

SPD is the head of a very weak coalition becaused SPD became head of a coalition without having won a significantly bigger number of votes. Olaf Scholz has a very hot potato in his hands. Industrialists and Workers joined forces 70 or so years ago and might join forces again when German manufacturing and the German economy in general falters. They will be asking for solutions that SPD will not be able to provide.

The National Socialist Workers' Party achieved what until then had become impossible because Liberals and Communists could not possible offer the economic solutions that were desperately needed. They offered the German version of the American New Deal. The present coalition cannot satisfy all sides and as the Greens keep putting pressure downwards with their ideological postulates about the environment, a German economy will once again face higher prices and unemployment of such levels that the political situation will become increasingly unstable leading to social unrest. As the CDU/CSU collapsed because it could not provide answers and as the SPD collapses, the direct alternative will be Alternative für Deutschland.

Zelenskiy: Russia has advanced and is taking control of more and more territory, but Zelenskiy says 'Russia doesn't want to accept defeat'

 

Russia's advance continues and more and more territory is taken and Ukrainian people are evacuated, but Zelenskiy says that 'Russia doesn't want to accept defeat'.

A comedian has turned into a tragic actor. He portrays himself in front of the cameras, presumably, as a soldier which is something that he isn't.

After the defeat of the Sixth Army in Stalingrad, German news programmes continued to report a non existing victory as General Paulus had already surrendered and thousands of German troops that were now prisoners of the Soviet Army initiated a journey from which they would never return alive. It was a vain attempt to hide the disastrous defeat of the Wehrmacht in Stalingrad. Zelenskiy is doing a bit of the same. The Ukrainian government no longer controls Luhansk and very soon will have no control of Donestk. The expression 'USA will fight the war in Ukraine till the last Ukrainian falls' is a reality. Access to the Black Sea is restricted. In more than one way, NATO is unwittingly supporting the Russian advance. The fact that a British tank regiment in now based in Poland makes no difference whatsoever because the actual conflict is happening in Ukraine. If it reassures Poland or does not reassure Poland is irrelevant and it does nothing for Ukraine.

While this is happening, in Britain there is a leadership contest in the ruling Conservative Party. Of 8 candidates still standing in the race, one talks about incresing the defense budget by about 3 per cent. Well, this is also absolutely irrevant. With inflation at more than 9 per cent, reality tells you that even if the military budget were to go up by 3 per cent, it will be an actual loss as the increase would be more than cancelled due to rising prices. The British military will not actually go up, but down and training a bunch of Ukrainian soldiers is not going to change the direction of the conflict. Zelenskiy needs to learn to accept reality. Ukraine does not have the military might and no one will support Ukraine militarily for fear of triggering a European-wide conflict.

As time goes by, European Union countries face the harsh realities generated by knee-jerk reactions. EU escalated the situation and it now suffers the consequences of both the rise of energy prices and the suspension of the energy supply coming from the Russian Federation. Things are so bad that the Deputy President of the European Commission raised the alert about social unrest that could be the consequence of situations created by the energy crisis.

But Zelenskiy is trapped. He cannot accept defeat. He cannot accept a negotiatied solution. Accepting defeat and accepting a negotiated solution will mean the end of his presidency and possibly the end of his own life. Taking this into account, Zelenkiy might be President till the end. In a country engulfed by war, having elections to elect new authorities would be a bit of an impossibility. What will Zelenkiy do when his present mandate comes to an end? Will he seek to remain in power despite lacking a democratic mandate? Will he be granted an extension and if so by whom?

As stated at the beginning, Zelenskiy is a comedian that turned into a tragic actor.

10 Downing Street: If you talk the language of war, you need to prepare for war

 

Inconsistencies when dealing with geopolitical situations will get an unnecessary number of people killed simply because of complaisancy.

We heard harsh words coming out of the lips of Western European politicians including British politicians, but they do not reflect reality. It is absolutely shambolic.

Britain is open. It cannot even control the number of illegal immigrants entering the country. It has an NHS that almost collapsed under the weight of a Covid pandemic. None other than the Metropolitan Police Service is now run under special measures because of systemic failures that led, among other things, to the resignation of its chief commander Cressida Dick. Police officers are more interested in kneeling down and in joining every single cranky demonstration of political correctness than in doing their work properly.

For many years, both Labour and Conservative governments neglected the Armed Forces to the point when they were found wanting more than once and forced to play second fiddle. Pomp and Circumstance and posturing will not protect Britain let alone win any wars. 

We are now in an impasse. The country does not have a Prime Minister and does not have a government. We cannot call Prime Minister a man that has been backstabbed by his own political party and a government in which members of the goverment don't see eye to eye. Boris Johnson himself has said that no fundamental piece of legislation will be put forward until there is a clear definition of who is actually in control of the British government and there is a return to a debate of all issues that were already decided. This is like fighting a war on several fronts or to put it in very straightforward manner it is a recipe for disaster. In times of danger, politicians are simply driven by their own fatal habits and nothing good can come out of it.

A country facing war should not be divided. Nicola Sturgeon cares more about her own agenda than she cares about the survival of Britain. In fact, she does not give a damn about the survival of Britain and she is playing right into the hands of the enemies of Britain. The Americans, as usual, are poking their noses in internal matters of other countries and creating a mess. Northern Ireland, once again, does not have a working Assembly and at a time when 10 Downing Street is a mess and Parliament is a mess, short of having direct rule in Northern Ireland, the people of Northern Ireland are stranded with a non working Assembly and a British Parliament that is not just limited by Devolution. We are travelling on a rudderless ship. All Devolution has achieved is the creation of platforms to destroy the United Kingdom: a Northern Ireland without governance, a Wales controlled by the Labour Party, a Scotland controlled by SNP, a Westminster Parliament that has become a political circus and a Prime Minister defeated by his own political party.  

 

Without Conscription Britain is doomed

 

Without conscription, Britain is doomed. Never mind the chit chat of people like Liz Truss and others. President Putin stated the obvious: we have not even started. Having said that, conscription will be seen as mobilization and mobilization will ellicit a response.

For several years now, the Russian Federation has been turning the Russian Armed Forces into fully professional Armed Forces for several reasons and many that are not related to military purposes. In the Russian Federation, the Armed Forces are called to play a social role providing social stability and continuous preparation, promoting existing skills and developing new skills that will come handy in case of armed conflict. Once again, British journalists and Western journalists in general have been found wanting because they are driven by prejudices and misconceptions instead of being driven by factual evidence.

As annecdotical evidence, there was a particular moment in British history - Market Garden. Montgomery planned a military operation in the Netherlands that was supposed to bring the war to an earlier end by taking over Netherlands and reaching the German industrial heart. Those who were supposed to achieve the military objective were told that the German Armed Forces would only have children, elderly soldiers and inexperienced troops not able to tackle the contingent of British, American and Polish troops sent to capture bridges in the Netherlands. They were literally slaughtered by German Armed Forces many of whom were made up of seasoned elite troops including SS contingents. It was a complete and utter disaster, but for political reasons for several years the British tried to disguise it as a success. When the Russian Federation says that it hasn't started yet, the Russian Federation has not started yet. Ukraine is 1936 Spain, a training ground, an exercise, a drill for what is to come.

Incompetent British politicians are more interested in personal power games, instead of focusing on the real issues facing Britain. Boris Johnson was talking about a 2.5% increase of the military budget. Cosmetics. Meaningless soudbites. Utter nonsense. Military scouts should be right now visiting education centres to select individuals who could be potential material to beef up the British Armed Forces and military service should have already been introduced. The fact that nothing of the sort is being done tells you that Britain is not just blissfully unprepared. Britain does not have the will to be prepared.

   

If Liberals and Greens prevail, National Socialism will be back in Germany and the Fourth Reich will be born

 

Although he did not refer to it by name, Frans Timmerman, European Union Deputy said it.

Europe is in danger of highly damaging "very, very strong conflict and strife" this winter over high energy prices, and should make a short-term return to fossil fuels to head off the threat of civil unrest. Not my words, but the words of Frans Timmerman, Vice-President of the European Commission.

He stated by lack of energy will lead to strong disruption in our societes. We need to make sure we keep our industry, as much as possible. Once again, sanctions and measures implemented against the Russian Federation have backfired. Coal will have to be used (main source of energy in Germany). He remarked that present policies about coal would contribute to tensions within our society getting even higher. Frans Timmerman is Dutch and he knows fairly well that, when things go wrong. Netherlands will be among the first countries that will suffer the consequences of what happens in Germany. Two World War attest to that.

Fear is already spreading. They are waking up. Germany has a ruling coalition, but only just. Until 2017, SPD - head of the present ruling coalition - was CDU/CSU partner. Angela Merkel ruined the CDU/CSU and was forced to resign as leader of CDU as pre-condition to remain as Chancellor until 2022. In 2022, CDU/CSU was crashed and without increating its vote SPD became the biggest party. It has to be said that SPD - unlike AfD - has no representation in 5 of the 16 Federal German States. SPD is hanging from its fingernails and any economic disaster will throw the present coalition into disarray. And then what will follow? Both German industrialists and trade unions are talking about an impending disaster if the energy crisis pushed German over the edge.

Now lets look at the argument about reduction of the use of fossil fuels. Angela Merkel dismantled German nuclear energy making Germany ever more dependent on coal, oil and gas. German does not have enough capacity to story liquidified gas. Do people really believe that if China has any intention to project its military might in Asia the environment is really a priority? China will be seeking to maximize use of any source of energy, including coal, to propel its military capabilities. In case of war, more and more fossil fuels will be used. Weakening Europe economically, socially, politically and militarily is not the way forward.

There was a passing reference to the Developing World and the consequences of the present situation in the Developing World.  

 

Moscow sends clear message to London and other interested parties: We have not even started

While in London politicians are busy talking about the successors of Boris Johnson as Prime Minister, Russian forces in Ukraine keep moving forward apace and Moscow sent a very clear message stating that 'the war in Ukraine has not even started'. Whether those pushing and pushing get the message is another matter. 

I myself have come to accept that comments made by Sergei Ivanov some time ago about conventional wars and nuclear wars do not necessarily reflect today's realities. In the same way that the USA decided to use atomic weapons against Japan in 1945 to prevent a massive number of casualties if American troops were forced to fight on Japanese soil, what President Harry S Truman decided to do then might well be what the parties involved in the conflict in Ukraine decide to do now in 2022. I consider that what is happening in Ukraine right now is what happened in Spain during the so called Spanish Civil War. Spain was a testing ground on which both Germany and the Soviet Union tested their military capabilities. The German Luftwaffe was tested. The Condor Legion had the much needed training that had been forbidden by the Versailles Treaty. Ukraine is a testing ground. Troops needed to be hardened to get them ready for a much bigger operation. Methods of strategic bombing were developed. While the Luftwaffe operated under Hugo Sperrle's command, Wilhelm von Thoma was in charge of ground forces. The logic is pretty straightforward. Bombing from the air to soften the target followed by ground forces to eliminate any resistance on the ground.

Having gained total control of Luhansk, on the way to control Donestk and having closed access to the Black Sea, hardened Russian forces will move forward to paralize any possible resistance. General Dwight Einsenhower spoke about cutting off vital links including communications as a way to block the enemy's capacity to move on the battlefield. Roads, railways, communication links and energy resources will be targetted and Kiev and other remaining cities will become Warsaw, forcing the Ukrainian government to accept an unconditional surrender. Ukrainian mass media will be taken over thus cutting all outside links. By impeding Russian media operations, the so called West has shot itself in the foot. When things go wrong, Western media will be completely isolated and unable to know what is actually happening (if they wished to report the truth, something that Western media seldom do).

As Moscow already stated, the longer the war goes on the lesser the chances of reaching a negotiated peace settlement. 

How signals are interpreted

In 1991, the Soviet Union came to an end and this was very much the consequence of the efforts to remain ahead during the so called Cold War. The Soviet Union had to invest a vast amount of resources to remain significant in the arms race and it came the point when it could no longer afford to keep up because it did not have the financial muscle to do so.

The resignation of Mikhail Gorbachev as Soviet President is very much the end as soon after the Soviet Union disintegrated, leaving the USA as the one major superpower without any close competitors as China itself was far from being what China is today - economically, technologically and militarily. It could be said that the USA could attack Yugoslavia and dismember Yugoslavia without a UN mandate and without any real opposition and this is something that could not have happened if the Soviet Union had been around with the power to prevent such attack.

Having said that, 2022 is a different story. The Russian Federation is much more powerful than the Soviet Union for several reasons and one of them is the fact that the Russian Federation like China are much more homogenous countries with less ethnic and political contradictions. The Russian intelligence networks was magnifically helped by the fact that former Warsaw Pacto countries and regions were integrated into the European Union. If you were to look for an image to represent what has happened the Trojan Horse comes to mind.

The USA has used Britain as an extension of the USA in Europe and beyond. The USA has used Britain to justify USA agendas before the American people. If Tony Blair had not joined forces with George Bush Junior, it would have been difficult for the American President to sell his agenda to the American people. Britain has been used as a junior partner and as a propaganda tool and Britain has had to pay a very high price for it. It happened in Iraq and it happened in Afghanistan and it is happening in Europe. Inflation and financial difficulties that Britain is facing don't come out of nowhere. They are the direct result of sanctions and other measures taken against the Russian Federation that have had a boomerang effect not just in Europe, but worldwide. What happens when oil prices measured in US Dollars go up? Britain will pay higher prices not just because of market prices going up, but also because the loss of value of Pound means that Britain will need a lot more Dollars to pay for energy supplies and this has a direct impact on the British economy. If the Treasury cannot keep up with increasing expenditure and if the private sector in Britain has to translate cost into prices charged to consumers, industrial unrest is already on the horizon.

Just a few days ago, the British government was offering salary increases of 3% when inflation was already at 9% and more. Active workers will suffer and pensioners will suffer when the government is not able to adjust salaries and pensions taking into account the rate of inflation. The private sector already hit very badly by Covid, hit now both by inflation and consumption reduction will face an even harsher economic environment.

Liz Truss as Foreign Secretary said that she was in favour of cutting down the manpower of the British Armed Forces at a time when tensions are rising and there is the prospect of open conflict with both the Russian Federation and China. While would the UK be talking about cutting down its military capabilities? While is she asking other countries to increase their defense budget? My educated guess is that Britain does not have what it takes to beef up its Armed Forces and is therefore asking others to invest more to level the field in terms of what NATO can do or not do. President Donald Trump raised the concern that USA was the one feeling the pain created by military expenditure while other NATO members were not doing enough. Chancellor Olaf Scholz talked about hundred billions of EUROs to beef up German military capabilities, but how does this fit in with the fact that Germany is facing serious issues when it comes not just to the availability of energy sources, but also to the cost of existing energy sources. When both big economic players like Bayer and Thyssen-Krupp and the trade unions talk about the risk of economic collapse, what will Olaf Scholz be willing to sacrifice to beef up the German military capabilities? When you look East, Poland was offering to send their outdated Mig fighter jets to Ukraine if the USA could give Poland F35s in exchange, something that was rejected outrightly by the USA. What about other countries of the NATO block and what about those who are not members of NATO? Do they have the financial muscle to beef up their military capabilities or will they always depend on what USA or Britain can give them? Germany made many promises, but has delivered none of them.

Behind the speeches, this is the reality and today the British Primer Minister Boris Johnson fell not because of the scandals involving sexual misconduct of Conservative MPs. He fell because of economic realities. What were Conservative MPs talking about? VAT and Corporation Tax. Britain has been overspending for several reasons, including the fight against COVID when caution regarding budget was put aside to deal with a national emergency. On top of that, there is another national emergency created by British geopolitical decisions that have backfired. 

Look at the economy. For decades, Britain had remained relatively stable with very low interest rates and a significantly higher rate of employment and low prices in the shops. As the CEO of Poundland explained, he used to pay about 2,000 Pound for a container and now the price has jumped and it costs 20,000 Pound to bring imported products to the United Kingdom. Add to that fixed overheads and utilities and economic margins are dramatically reduced. This is not sustainable and on top of it the devaluation of the Pound compared to the US Dollar will make imports ever more expensive. Put aside Poundland and the situation many importers and exporters face and focus on food supplies. If Britain imports 60 per cent of what Britain consumes, then the costs of food will rise exponentially combining importation, transportation and distribution and costs involved in retail operations. Retail costs have been reducing by reducing manpower at the shops. You see today that the number of employees employed by retailers has been reduced with the introduction of automation. Automation reduces the numbers of jobs across the board whether we are talking about banking and financial institution, retailers and even transport. Much of the dispute affecting transport and leading to strikes is due to the declared intention of cutting jobs to cut costs. Having said that, if jobs been eliminated in one segment of activity are not created in other areas, the welfare bill will have to rise to pay for unemployment benefits and other social benefits in a country in which the number of non active population is rising while the number of those active at work is falling. This happens naturally because of an ageing population, but it is accelerated when people who are still fit to remain active lose their jobs.

What happened to the Soviet Union will happen to Britain. There is a time when your economy is not strong enough and everything is translated into accumulated and rising debt and when this happens there are social and political consequences.

 

Moscow and London: How signals are interpreted

 

How signals are interpreted

In 1991, the Soviet Union came to an end and this was very much the consequence of the efforts to remain ahead during the so called Cold War. The Soviet Union had to invest a vast amount of resources to remain significant in the arms race and it came the point when it could no longer afford to keep up because it did not have the financial muscle to do so.

The resignation of Mikhail Gorbachev as Soviet President is very much the end as soon after the Soviet Union disintegrated, leaving the USA as the one major superpower without any close competitors as China itself was far from being what China is today - economically, technologically and militarily. It could be said that the USA could attack Yugoslavia and dismember Yugoslavia without a UN mandate and without any real opposition and this is something that could not have happened if the Soviet Union had been around with the power to prevent such attack.

Having said that, 2022 is a different story. The Russian Federation is much more powerful than the Soviet Union for several reasons and one of them is the fact that the Russian Federation like China are much more homogenous countries with less ethnic and political contradictions. The Russian intelligence networks was magnifically helped by the fact that former Warsaw Pacto countries and regions were integrated into the European Union. If you were to look for an image to represent what has happened the Trojan Horse comes to mind.

The USA has used Britain as an extension of the USA in Europe and beyond. The USA has used Britain to justify USA agendas before the American people. If Tony Blair had not joined forces with George Bush Junior, it would have been difficult for the American President to sell his agenda to the American people. Britain has been used as a junior partner and as a propaganda tool and Britain has had to pay a very high price for it. It happened in Iraq and it happened in Afghanistan and it is happening in Europe. Inflation and financial difficulties that Britain is facing don't come out of nowhere. They are the direct result of sanctions and other measures taken against the Russian Federation that have had a boomerang effect not just in Europe, but worldwide. What happens when oil prices measured in US Dollars go up? Britain will pay higher prices not just because of market prices going up, but also because the loss of value of Pound means that Britain will need a lot more Dollars to pay for energy supplies and this has a direct impact on the British economy. If the Treasury cannot keep up with increasing expenditure and if the private sector in Britain has to translate cost into prices charged to consumers, industrial unrest is already on the horizon.

Just a few days ago, the British government was offering salary increases of 3% when inflation was already at 9% and more. Active workers will suffer and pensioners will suffer when the government is not able to adjust salaries and pensions taking into account the rate of inflation. The private sector already hit very badly by Covid, hit now both by inflation and consumption reduction will face an even harsher economic environment.

Liz Truss as Foreign Secretary said that she was in favour of cutting down the manpower of the British Armed Forces at a time when tensions are rising and there is the prospect of open conflict with both the Russian Federation and China. While would the UK be talking about cutting down its military capabilities? While is she asking other countries to increase their defense budget? My educated guess is that Britain does not have what it takes to beef up its Armed Forces and is therefore asking others to invest more to level the field in terms of what NATO can do or not do. President Donald Trump raised the concern that USA was the one feeling the pain created by military expenditure while other NATO members were not doing enough. Chancellor Olaf Scholz talked about hundred billions of EUROs to beef up German military capabilities, but how does this fit in with the fact that Germany is facing serious issues when it comes not just to the availability of energy sources, but also to the cost of existing energy sources. When both big economic players like Bayer and Thyssen-Krupp and the trade unions talk about the risk of economic collapse, what will Olaf Scholz be willing to sacrifice to beef up the German military capabilities? When you look East, Poland was offering to send their outdated Mig fighter jets to Ukraine if the USA could give Poland F35s in exchange, something that was rejected outrightly by the USA. What about other countries of the NATO block and what about those who are not members of NATO? Do they have the financial muscle to beef up their military capabilities or will they always depend on what USA or Britain can give them? Germany made many promises, but has delivered none of them.

Behind the speeches, this is the reality and today the British Primer Minister Boris Johnson fell not because of the scandals involving sexual misconduct of Conservative MPs. He fell because of economic realities. What were Conservative MPs talking about? VAT and Corporation Tax. Britain has been overspending for several reasons, including the fight against COVID when caution regarding budget was put aside to deal with a national emergency. On top of that, there is another national emergency created by British geopolitical decisions that have backfired. 

Look at the economy. For decades, Britain had remained relatively stable with very low interest rates and a significantly higher rate of employment and low prices in the shops. As the CEO of Poundland explained, he used to pay about 2,000 Pound for a container and now the price has jumped and it costs 20,000 Pound to bring imported products to the United Kingdom. Add to that fixed overheads and utilities and economic margins are dramatically reduced. This is not sustainable and on top of it the devaluation of the Pound compared to the US Dollar will make imports ever more expensive. Put aside Poundland and the situation many importers and exporters face and focus on food supplies. If Britain imports 60 per cent of what Britain consumes, then the costs of food will rise exponentially combining importation, transportation and distribution and costs involved in retail operations. Retail costs have been reducing by reducing manpower at the shops. You see today that the number of employees employed by retailers has been reduced with the introduction of automation. Automation reduces the numbers of jobs across the board whether we are talking about banking and financial institution, retailers and even transport. Much of the dispute affecting transport and leading to strikes is due to the declared intention of cutting jobs to cut costs. Having said that, if jobs been eliminated in one segment of activity are not created in other areas, the welfare bill will have to rise to pay for unemployment benefits and other social benefits in a country in which the number of non active population is rising while the number of those active at work is falling. This happens naturally because of an ageing population, but it is accelerated when people who are still fit to remain active lose their jobs.

What happened to the Soviet Union will happen to Britain. There is a time when your economy is not strong enough and everything is translated into accumulated and rising debt and when this happens there are social and political consequences.

 

Britain: When the Chancellor of the Exchequer and other key figures resign....

 

When key figures of the government resign is a serious issue, but having none other than the Chancellor of the Exchequer walking away when the economy is facing Armageddon is more than serious.

If there is war in Europe, where is the money to beef up the Armed Forces going to come from at a time when Britain faces widespred industrial unrest?

Look at the state of the second most important country in the North Atlantic Alliance. Who will want to take the burning handle of the pan? Any takers? The country cannot be without a Chancellor of the Exchequer at such a crucial time. After the FTPA was repealed on March 22nd 2022 (Fixed Term Parliament Act), could the government fall and an advanced General Election be called?

Some will say that the Conservative Party has a mandate until 2024 and that any changes should happen within the Conservative Party. Others will say that given the present state of affairs another General Election should be called to restore public confidence. What will happen? Political instability worsens economic instability and any uncertainty could lead to hyper inflation.

Europe: Will things be better with a European War or without a European War?

When you see the jubilant pictures on the streets at the start of World War One you see how stupid people can be when it comes to war. They were talking about heroism, adventure, glory and in the end there were piles of corpses of those seeking heroism, adventure and glory.

More than a hundred years later, we see either jubilant faces or faces of people who are oblivious to the dangers of another catastrophic war happening again.

If anything, during World War One and after World War One, and during and after World World Two there were massive changes. Don't believe for a second that life will be the same. The ways of life of today will be history. If the idea was to maintain what was, those who wanted wars or were forced to fight wars deluded themselves. Much of what they cared about was wiped out by war itself.

Britain went to war to defeat Germany and at the end, despite being classed as victorious, Britain was defeated. Families destroyed, the economy ruined, a vast amount of debt to be paid for many years to come and the colonial empire lost. Britain was one of the victors, but at what price? Most of Europe was defeated. From then onwards it was about USA and Soviet Union. For many decades to come, decisions were made in USA and in Moscow, and Britain had to follow and pay for the consequences. Today, the picture is bigger - USA, Russian Federation and China - but Britain is still forced to follow and pay for the consequences.

Adolf Hitler wanted a European Union controlled by Germany. So what is today's European Union? Which is the key country in the European Union? Who has a greater say in the European Union? Most of Europe still has to please the USA. Will war in Europe change that? Rearming Europe - we hear a lot about that - sounds like a very familiar idea. Where and when did we hear such idea before? Olaf Scholz promised hundred of billions of Euros to rear Germany. What does this mean? Will a stronger Europe be so docile? What happens when European armies are tested once again on the battlefield. Once the genie is out of the bottle it will not willingly go back into the bottle. Once German armies are on the battlefield the Pandora's box will be opened.

 

How to destroy the United Kingdom from within

 

How to destroy the United Kingdom from within in case of war

The fall of Singapore during World War Two gave me the idea of how to destroy a country from within. As we know, the artillery in Singapore was heading in the wrong direction and this was one of the factors that led to one of the worst military disasters in British history. A massive number of British troops and Commonwealth troops arrived in Singapore just in time to surrender to the Japanese.

For the kind of threat we are dealing with, Faslane, the Nuclear Deterrent, the Royal Navy, the Air Force and the Army plus all the added ingredients of the Security infra-structure of the United Kingdom will be pretty useless.

It will be an Ardennes Moment. Britain will be expecting something completely different and will be powerless to prevent a very well organised and long term planned attack to destroy British fighting capabilities. It is a bit like having a car wired to explode with the occupants of the car completely unaware of what is going to happen to them. What is the most deadly weapon of all? The Human Brain. Deadly force without brainpower is not as effective as it could be or it is absolutely inneffective. The Nuclear Deterrent could be compared to the Maginot Line. Vast amounts of resources spent in technological develoments that would be rendered completely useless by using much more affordable and much simpler and much more available means that will go undetected. Beware what you see and be much more afraid of what you cannot see. Let's leave this here as an introduction.

In the 1940s, far too many people believed that World War Two was going to be the same as World War One. Nowadays, far too many people believe that World War Two was absolutely different from World War One. In fact, it was somewhere in between the two sets of beliefs. Yes, there was a better of technology and especially new technology was developed before and during World War Two, but horses and bicycles were used to move around troops and cargo. Yes there were machine guns, but many still used a one-shot-at-time rifles or carabines. When we talk about World War Three, once again we will end up with 'something in between', but the battlefields will be much closer to home for everybody's discomfort. 

As the offensive in Ukraine has shown is that despite technological advances, the methods used are still very much the same and every inch will have to be fought for and this will be true both on land, in the air, in the water and underwater and we can add that World War Three will also include Outer Space with satellites and missiles that will leave the Earth's atmosphere to re-enter the Earth's atmospher to hit their targets. And what about distances? What are the real distances today? 15 minutes for a nuclear missile to travel from Kaliningrad to London. We don't need pinpoint accuracy (American claim regarding missiles used in Iraq). If the aim is to cause the greatest, the biggest, amount of damage, pinpoint accuracy is irrelevant. It will be just about hitting a target as hard as possible in the shortest time possible for major effect. 

But let us be clear that much of the damage will be caused internally with very ordinary methods and very ordinary tools. Very much like the viruses of War of the Worlds, there are very easy ways of paralyzing a country like Britain acting inside Britain.

Conservative Party pushed down not because of politics, but because ot inadequate individuals chosen as MPs

Conservative Party pushed down not because of politics, but because of inadequate individuals chosen as Members of Parliament. The latest case is Ross Thompson. Too much to drink? Groping men while drunk? At least, Ross Thomson has the excuse of having too much to drink before he engaged in disreputable behaviour.

But two of his colleagues led to the loss of two Conservative seats in by-elections caused by their stupid behaviour. 

Neil Parish, a grown up man caught watching porn in the Houses of Parliament. Is there a rock big enough for him to hide underneath it?

And what about a Muslim convicted of sexual abuse against children? Imran Ahmad Khan disgraced not just the Conservative Party. He is a disgrace to his own community and a disgrace to the country as case after case of sexual misconduct become a pile and there is more to come.

These are the people we chose to depict, but there are more. They are making important decisions that will impact the lives of ordinary people and they don't have what it takes to be a responsible Member of Parliament. It must be said that several other (now Former Conservative MPs) have been convicted and/or jailed for sexual misconduct.