Ukraine: RAF actions in the Black Sea region will trigger war between UK and the Russian Federation

Black Sea is a battlefield and the British government is pushing Britain towards war. Any direct intervention is much more than provocation. It is an act of war. The British Prime Minister will a have a lot to explain if suddenly bombs start dropping in the United Kingdom because of an incident in the Black Sea Region.

This is not the Twentieth Century. This is the Twenty-first Century, a century in which a nuclear missile flying from Kaliningrad can reach London in 15 minutes, a missile that cannot be intercepted. Does Rishi Sunak think that this is a price worth paying?

During World War Two, the Wehrmacht did not have the capacity to launch nuclear missiles. No matter how damaging V1 and V2 were and in spite of the fact that they had to travel a lot shorter distances, they are nothing compared to a nuclear missile. To think that all main British cities could be wiped out in less than half a hour is a sobering thought.

Rishi Sunak broke a record by becoming the first Asian British Prime Minister - regardless of the fact that he was not elected by the British Electorate and was not elected by members of the Conservative Party, but appointed by Members of Parliament without the consent of members of the Conservative Party.

But if the Prime Minister happen to be in London when a missile attack takes place, not even the Prime Minister will have the time to leave London if London is attacked. He and more than 8 million Britons will perish.

Now lets look at the first direct consequences. There will be no British government and no Parliament. London will be a non existing city and people outside London will have to take over to manage whatever is left of Britain as a country. Democracy and elections will be a thing of the past for a very long time.

The first concern will be how to avoid a civil war caused by absence of authority. As the French saying goes, it will a case of 'sauve qui peut'. With London's population decimated and political authorities out of the way, chaos will immediately take over. For whoever manages to survive the impact of a nuclear device, life will not be easy. If radiation does not immediately kill any survivors of the first impact, many will suffer the consequences translated into all kind of diseases including incurable cancer. Riots and looting carried out by both desperate peoples and opportunists will make the entire city unsafe. All medical facilities and emergency services will no longer exist.

Somebody said that the next war will have similarities with regards to the previous wars, but that in essence it will be a different kind of war. In the 1930, France was preparing for yet another war of trenches similar to what happened during World War One and was totally unprepared for Blitzkrieg. As a direct consequence of the lack of preparedness, France was defeated in a few weeks. We don't know what fate has ready for us in the next war.

The Russian Federation is going now for the Dwight Einsenhower Strategy

 

After the bombing of the bridge in Krim, the strategy of the Russian Federation has certaintly changed. They will now go for vital infra-structure and this means energy, bridges, transport and this is the difference between Arthur Harris's strategy and Dwight Eisenhower's strategy.

Without oil, without electricity, without communications, without railways, without transport, the Wehrmacht became a sitting duck and therefore the strategry of Russian Armed Forces will follow the path set out by the American Commander of Allied Forces in Europe.

Winter is coming and Ukraine will have to make hard decisions. It will be about leaving the civilian population without energy and without transport or providing its forces with energy and transport. 

Ukraine is already suffering blackouts and there will be more if dams and bridges are blown up. Isn't this what the Americans did to Serbia during the war that led to the disintegration of Yugoslavia?

It was revealed that Ukraine's efforts to destroy Russian drones are much more costly than the cost of the drones they are trying to destroy. Russian fighter planes are now coming dangerously close to British jets operating in the Black Sea Region. Britain will have to decide if it really wants to get involved. This weeks events in the United Kingdom are not reassuring. One thing is certain: the new British Prime Minister whoever he or she might be, will be served a bunch of very hot potatoes and will have to prove that he or she is capable of dealing with them.

In the meantime, populations of the zones at war are being evacuated by the Russian Federation to that only combatting forces are present so that Russian Forces have a free hand to exterminate anything on their path and so that Ukrainian forces cannot use civilians as shield. If you are in the area, you will have to a combattant and face the risk faced by combattants. This will be a "Carthago delenda est" (Carthage must be destroyed).

How far will be EU countries be willing or able to go is a major question. Zelensky's desperate efforts to get the kind of support that neighbouring countries are far from willing to offer tell you that all the messages about Ukrainian successes only exist in the imagination of those in charge of a massive propaganda effort carried out by politicians and mass media.

 

  

Zelenskiy: Russia has advanced and is taking control of more and more territory, but Zelenskiy says 'Russia doesn't want to accept defeat'

 

Russia's advance continues and more and more territory is taken and Ukrainian people are evacuated, but Zelenskiy says that 'Russia doesn't want to accept defeat'.

A comedian has turned into a tragic actor. He portrays himself in front of the cameras, presumably, as a soldier which is something that he isn't.

After the defeat of the Sixth Army in Stalingrad, German news programmes continued to report a non existing victory as General Paulus had already surrendered and thousands of German troops that were now prisoners of the Soviet Army initiated a journey from which they would never return alive. It was a vain attempt to hide the disastrous defeat of the Wehrmacht in Stalingrad. Zelenskiy is doing a bit of the same. The Ukrainian government no longer controls Luhansk and very soon will have no control of Donestk. The expression 'USA will fight the war in Ukraine till the last Ukrainian falls' is a reality. Access to the Black Sea is restricted. In more than one way, NATO is unwittingly supporting the Russian advance. The fact that a British tank regiment in now based in Poland makes no difference whatsoever because the actual conflict is happening in Ukraine. If it reassures Poland or does not reassure Poland is irrelevant and it does nothing for Ukraine.

While this is happening, in Britain there is a leadership contest in the ruling Conservative Party. Of 8 candidates still standing in the race, one talks about incresing the defense budget by about 3 per cent. Well, this is also absolutely irrevant. With inflation at more than 9 per cent, reality tells you that even if the military budget were to go up by 3 per cent, it will be an actual loss as the increase would be more than cancelled due to rising prices. The British military will not actually go up, but down and training a bunch of Ukrainian soldiers is not going to change the direction of the conflict. Zelenskiy needs to learn to accept reality. Ukraine does not have the military might and no one will support Ukraine militarily for fear of triggering a European-wide conflict.

As time goes by, European Union countries face the harsh realities generated by knee-jerk reactions. EU escalated the situation and it now suffers the consequences of both the rise of energy prices and the suspension of the energy supply coming from the Russian Federation. Things are so bad that the Deputy President of the European Commission raised the alert about social unrest that could be the consequence of situations created by the energy crisis.

But Zelenskiy is trapped. He cannot accept defeat. He cannot accept a negotiatied solution. Accepting defeat and accepting a negotiated solution will mean the end of his presidency and possibly the end of his own life. Taking this into account, Zelenkiy might be President till the end. In a country engulfed by war, having elections to elect new authorities would be a bit of an impossibility. What will Zelenkiy do when his present mandate comes to an end? Will he seek to remain in power despite lacking a democratic mandate? Will he be granted an extension and if so by whom?

As stated at the beginning, Zelenskiy is a comedian that turned into a tragic actor.