A New Political Era for Europe: Germany falters

The announcement that the German coalition headed by SPD has collapsed leaves in power a government headed by a political party that in three recent state elections failed dramatically to capture the public imagination. In three consecutive elections, Grüne barely managed to get 7 representatives out of 88, 119 and 88. This is how bad things are and they are bound to get worse. Support for the war in Ukraine has banrupted Germany and attempts to increase borrowing led to a political showdown leading to the end of coalition that was unsustainable from the very begining.

FDP and Grüne are exact opposites in various ways and such agreement was bound to end in tears. Can a Federal Election clear the air? Such election would take place in March 2025 and not in September 2025. Germany has been leading and financing the European Union. Changes in German politics are bound to have a significant effect in terms of German leadership and of the survival of the European Union. Talks about increasing defence expenditure are bound to go anywhere as Germany tries to sanitanize its own finances. Job losses already announced are not going to make the present coalition popular amongst voters.

Who could be the real winners in March 2024? There could be three potential winners: CDU, a new political party that had success in recent state elections and Alternative für Deutschland. The one party that has a real project for Germany is Alternative für Deutschland, a project that takes care of Germany´s energy needs and of migration - a subject that is a major concern in many European countries, including Germany. 

China and Uruguay strengthen bilateral relations that go beyond trade

China and Uruguay strengthen bilateral relations at all levels, including trade but not exclusively trade. President Luis Alberto Lacalle Pou is in Beijing for the signature of important agreements with a country that already receives 56% of Uruguayan exports.

Uruguay is a key geographic player with full access to Antarctica and the South Atlantic having some of the best deep water harbours in the region. Somebody that was already remarked by other Asian nations seeking to exploit the riches of Antarctica and of the South Atlantic.

The Uruguayan President has long seen bilateral agreements outside Mercosur as the key for Uruguay development, taking Uruguay away from the straightjacket of a trading block. It is not about leaving Mercosur, but about looking towards the rest of the world and especially towards new trade agreements in distant parts of the planet.

We do not know what will the Argentinian position since President Elect Javier Milei and his political partners in the Argentinian Parliament still need to decide what is needed to curb the inflationary process in Argentina. One needs to assume that for while internal matters both financial and political will be seen as immediate priorities. With regards to Brazil, President Lula is still interested in an agreement with the European Union, agreement that in view of present positions in Europe seems to be distant.

When comparing trade agreements, the European Union is a very small fraction of world markets. In demographic terms, Europe is an even smaller fraction compared to India, China, Russia and other world operators and this includes Africa - a massive continent with a vast amount of resources.

For Uruguay, anything that limits Uruguay's capacity to trade with the rest of the world is something to get rid of. Paraphazing what was said by Hungary when Hungary joined the European Union, 'we are going to accept that benefits Hungary and reject what does not benefit Hungary'. By the way, the music of the Uruguayan National Anthem was composed by a Hungarian composer. 
 

Northern Ireland: Deal Done? Job done? Is there a Trojan Horse?

Northern Ireland: Deal Done? Job done?

Listening to Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, it became all too clear that the European Union will still pass legislation that will become law in Northern Ireland as long as the elected representatives of Northern Ireland do not explicitly reject it. 

This is quite unusual. It is like saying that French legislation will be implemented in the United Kingdom until the authorities in the United Kingdom explicitly and openly declare that such legislation is not valid in the United Kingdom.

From now on, authorities in Northern Ireland will have to be on their toes - and pretty busy - tryng to prevent European Legislation that they don't like from becoming Law in the United Kingdom. Reasonable or simply irrational? The only legislation that should be implemented is legislation passed in the United Kingdom and legislation passed in Northern Ireland following the rules of Devolution. But, no. This is not the case. A foreign authority will continue to pass legislation that will be Law unless it is explicitly rejected by the authorities in Northern Ireland.

Behind the set of presumed achievements, there is a Trojan Horse and this was not made clear in the House of Commons during the official statement made by Prime Minister Rishi Sunak. Time will tell what will happen to the said Deal in comming months.

Without Conscription Britain is doomed

 

Without conscription, Britain is doomed. Never mind the chit chat of people like Liz Truss and others. President Putin stated the obvious: we have not even started. Having said that, conscription will be seen as mobilization and mobilization will ellicit a response.

For several years now, the Russian Federation has been turning the Russian Armed Forces into fully professional Armed Forces for several reasons and many that are not related to military purposes. In the Russian Federation, the Armed Forces are called to play a social role providing social stability and continuous preparation, promoting existing skills and developing new skills that will come handy in case of armed conflict. Once again, British journalists and Western journalists in general have been found wanting because they are driven by prejudices and misconceptions instead of being driven by factual evidence.

As annecdotical evidence, there was a particular moment in British history - Market Garden. Montgomery planned a military operation in the Netherlands that was supposed to bring the war to an earlier end by taking over Netherlands and reaching the German industrial heart. Those who were supposed to achieve the military objective were told that the German Armed Forces would only have children, elderly soldiers and inexperienced troops not able to tackle the contingent of British, American and Polish troops sent to capture bridges in the Netherlands. They were literally slaughtered by German Armed Forces many of whom were made up of seasoned elite troops including SS contingents. It was a complete and utter disaster, but for political reasons for several years the British tried to disguise it as a success. When the Russian Federation says that it hasn't started yet, the Russian Federation has not started yet. Ukraine is 1936 Spain, a training ground, an exercise, a drill for what is to come.

Incompetent British politicians are more interested in personal power games, instead of focusing on the real issues facing Britain. Boris Johnson was talking about a 2.5% increase of the military budget. Cosmetics. Meaningless soudbites. Utter nonsense. Military scouts should be right now visiting education centres to select individuals who could be potential material to beef up the British Armed Forces and military service should have already been introduced. The fact that nothing of the sort is being done tells you that Britain is not just blissfully unprepared. Britain does not have the will to be prepared.

   

If Liberals and Greens prevail, National Socialism will be back in Germany and the Fourth Reich will be born

 

Although he did not refer to it by name, Frans Timmerman, European Union Deputy said it.

Europe is in danger of highly damaging "very, very strong conflict and strife" this winter over high energy prices, and should make a short-term return to fossil fuels to head off the threat of civil unrest. Not my words, but the words of Frans Timmerman, Vice-President of the European Commission.

He stated by lack of energy will lead to strong disruption in our societes. We need to make sure we keep our industry, as much as possible. Once again, sanctions and measures implemented against the Russian Federation have backfired. Coal will have to be used (main source of energy in Germany). He remarked that present policies about coal would contribute to tensions within our society getting even higher. Frans Timmerman is Dutch and he knows fairly well that, when things go wrong. Netherlands will be among the first countries that will suffer the consequences of what happens in Germany. Two World War attest to that.

Fear is already spreading. They are waking up. Germany has a ruling coalition, but only just. Until 2017, SPD - head of the present ruling coalition - was CDU/CSU partner. Angela Merkel ruined the CDU/CSU and was forced to resign as leader of CDU as pre-condition to remain as Chancellor until 2022. In 2022, CDU/CSU was crashed and without increating its vote SPD became the biggest party. It has to be said that SPD - unlike AfD - has no representation in 5 of the 16 Federal German States. SPD is hanging from its fingernails and any economic disaster will throw the present coalition into disarray. And then what will follow? Both German industrialists and trade unions are talking about an impending disaster if the energy crisis pushed German over the edge.

Now lets look at the argument about reduction of the use of fossil fuels. Angela Merkel dismantled German nuclear energy making Germany ever more dependent on coal, oil and gas. German does not have enough capacity to story liquidified gas. Do people really believe that if China has any intention to project its military might in Asia the environment is really a priority? China will be seeking to maximize use of any source of energy, including coal, to propel its military capabilities. In case of war, more and more fossil fuels will be used. Weakening Europe economically, socially, politically and militarily is not the way forward.

There was a passing reference to the Developing World and the consequences of the present situation in the Developing World.  

 

Britain: Gun Ho mentality is making a bad situation worse

The crise in Eastern Europe is set to carry on and on and on, increasing the chances of an even worse conflict to occur. Those in charge of dealing with the situation are visibly acting out of their depth and without any real understanding of the consequences of what they are doing.

Mass media are blissfully ignorant in terms of what is involved and keep the propaganda machine alive with a series of headlines that apart from being absolutely pathetic and often misguiding tend to create hatred and animosity.

In the meantime, the range of issues that continue to erode the foundations of the European Union keeps growing. It is just a matter of time when issues related to refugees generate political upheaval in the host countries. Just days ago, Lech Walesa stated that Poland and Hungary should leave the European Union since both countries are losing out because of their membership of the European Union. There are obvious disparities and differences in terms of aims within the European Union. France and Germany have their own approach to the crisis in Eastern Europe with regards to the stances of other EU countries. Unity is in very short supply and the cracks are becoming ever more visible.

While USA and others use Ukraine in a proxy war against the Russian Federation, they know full well that given the cost of a direct confrontation they would not want such direct confrontation. In the meantime, they all agree that China is a much greater threat and China is closely following events in Europe while it prepares itself to recover Chinese territories in Asia. China is no longer the retiscent China of the past. China is more than willing to engage in military conflict and incursions close to Japan and to Australia are much more than posturing. After the shambolic end of military operations in Afghanistan, there is little appetite for what would be a massive military conflict that will involve both Europe and Asia.

In Britain, what is the state of British military capabilities? Britain struggled in Iraq and struggled in Afghanistan being limited now to skirmishes across the Middle East. Britain does not have the manpower it would need for an all-out war that would very likely include the British mainland. It would take 15 minutes for a nuclear missile launched from Kaliningrad to reach London. There has been some research about the impact of a nuclear strike in London, but we must assume that should there be an all-out war all the main British cities will be targetted as a well as military installations, communications, energy production and distribution and we could not discount that there will be acts of sabotage within the United Kingdom.

Corona Virus is a test for the European Union as a whole

Corona Virus is a test for the European Union as a whole

National reactions to the Corona Virus crisis show the true state of the European Union. Border fences up. Freedom of Movement and the Schengen agreement go out through the window. National priorities kick in.

Germany is on a slippery slope downwards. The 2017 Federal Elections proved extremely difficult for Angela Merkel's CDU. After losing ground, SPD - their coalition partner - walked away not wanting to be in a coalition. In a desperate effort, Angela Merkel tried to reach an agreement with FDP and Grünen, attempt that proved to be unsuccessful. Why would the Grünen want an agreement with a losing political party when their numbers are going up? They went up in the Federal Election and they went up in state elections after the Federal Election. In fact, Grünen and Alternative für Deutschland are the net winners. In Brandenburg, in Bavaria, in Saxony, in Hesse and in Thüringen, the trend is very similar. Moreover, in Thüringen, CDU joined forces with Alternative für Deutschland to get rid of the Die Linke head of government and soonafter that the heir apparent of Angela Merkel (Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer) resigned soonafter.

The context for the new European Union budget includes the fact that Germany and others will have to fill up the financial gap generated by the British withdrawal. Tens of billions of Pounds will have to be found and the remaining 27 countries don't seem to be able to reach an agreement. France is facing an internal struggle with internal political problemas of her own. Spain just had elections in which no political party got an overall majority and a compromise had to be found to appoint a new government. Italy is still on the grip of an ongoing political struggle and shaken by migration. We could go on analyzing what other EU countries are going through. On top of all the troubles comes the Corona Virus with a whole new set of challenges. European Union economies are bound to suffer a great deal and the response to the crisis has been fragmentary. Unless the European Union manages to find common ground, a response based on closure of national borders will do very little to reassure members of the public about the integrity of the European Union. 

Having said that, there are other concerns. If the European Union cannot show unity and integrity when faced with a health emergency, what will happen if the European Union is faced with external aggression. Will it withstand external aggression or will it collapse along the cracks of national borders?  Whoever has a potential interest in testing the European Union's capatity to react as a block is carefully tracking European Union countries responses? Will they come together as one or will they fail to achieve a common response?

Now it is Chile's turn. Political Parties without leaders and political classes disconnected from the Chilean people

Now it is Chile's turn. Political Parties without leaders and political classes disconnected from the Chilean people

When the political classes are isolated from those they are supposed to represent, people die and this is exactly what is happening in Chile where the building of the Chilean Congress had to be evacuated as protests spread and the government struggles to contain a situation generated by economic hardship.

When the European Common Market was created generating protectionism and subsides, Latin America suffered as a mainly agricultural region and exporter of agricultural products. It can be said without a shadow of a doubt that the progression towards the creation of the European Community and later the European Union only made a bad situation worse. 

The dictatorships of the 1970s and 1980s were the direct consequence of European tariffs and subsidies. Latin America debt grew exponentially and this led to even greater indebtedness not just with private institutions but also with the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank that imposed recessionary recipes that meant cuts of investments in infra-structure, health, education and many other fundamental areas.

Latin American economies never recovered. Drug production, drug trafficking and and political instability were the direct results of the degradation of national economies. Against all odds, economies like the Chilean economy managed to succeed and figure amongst the most prosperous economies of Latin America. But it didn't last.

Most Chileans earn between £437 and £592 a month, struggling to pay for basic needs and things have become intolerable leading to present demonstrations that have led to curfews and state of emergency in 12 of 16 major cities in Chile, with more than 19 deaths, more than 500 people injured and more than 2000 people arrested.

Getting Britain out of EU, would allow Britain to become involved in many markets around the world, many of which are part of the developing world, helping many democratic countries across the world and Chile is one of them.  

Catalonia: A historical insight into what led to the present crisis

Catalonia: A historical insight into what led to the present crisis

Eduardo Mendoza provides a different angle - a pragmatic non partisan approach - to what has led to present events in Spain and in Catalonia. The author, born in Barcelona in 1943, states in the book "Qué está pasando en Cataluña?"(What is happening in Catalonia?) deals with cetain historical assumptions that tend to distort perceptions of what is actually happening. He also deals with cultural aspects of Catalonia, immigration and how immigration has shaped up today's Catalonia and in end comes to the issue of independence of Catalonia.

Eduardo Mendoza clearly explains why he wrote what he wrote refering to those who are in favour of independence and those who are against independence:

"No lo he escrito para posicionarme en un bando o en otro. Personalmente, no me gusta ninguno de los dos, pero eso se puede atribuir a mi temperamento, a mis ideas y a mi experiencia personal. Lo he escrito para tratar de comprender lo que está pasando." (I haven't written it to take sides. Personally, I don't like neither, but this can attributed to my temperament, to my ideas and to my personal experience. I have written it to try to understand what is happening." 

Although I don't completely agree with some of the statements made by Eduardo Mendoza, the book provides a valuable analysis to deal with the complexities of the subject. When you deal with the history of Spain and of Catalonia nothing is black or white and over-simplication can lead to fundamental errors. Eduardo Mendoza states that although the Spanish Civil has something to do with what is happening today there are other more relevant factors dating from Post-Franco Spain. 

"Francisco Franco fue un criminal de guerra, un dictador y un político astuto y mediocre, pero su importancia histórica y su influencia han sido magnificadas." (Francisco Franco was a war criminal, a dictator and an astute and mediocre politician, but his political importance and his influence have been exaggerated.) By saying this, the author indicates that thinking that everything that happens today was due to the Civil War and Franco's regime is in itself an exaggeration. 

During the Civil War and after the Civil War, Catalonia was not a monolithical unit. Some Catalans sided with Franco and some Catalans sided with the Republic. Catalonia itself was divided across socio-economic classes. In principle, Catalonia didn't want independence. Catalonia wanted to recover its lost freedoms, an amnesty for those who had been incarcerated and those who had been forced to leave the country and the restoration of its autonomous government.

The book plublished by Seix Barral in 2017 is a brief, but right to the point analysis for those seeking to comprehend present realities of Catalonia and of Spain. 

It must be remembered that the book was published long before recent political events in Catalonia and in Spain under a Socialist Prime Minister that seems to have lost control. Excessive use of force and long jail sentences for elected representatives of the Catalonian people are reminders of the fact that repression is neither exclusively left wing or exclusively right wing. It happens under any ideology. What is shocking is that today it is happening in what is considered to be democratic Spain.

Until Brexit is completed, there will be no deal

Until Brexit is completed, there will be no deal

A quick look at what is happening in the main EU countries is more than enough to understand that the EU is in no position to negotiate anything. If anything, the EU has to devote all its energies to prevent a meltdown that would lead to the extinction of the EU.

In France, President Macron doesn't seem to be getting things done. It looks like a growing crisis that threaten the very foundation of democracy in France. Showering French citizens with tear gas and water cannons, and engaged in unwarranted acts of violence, Police forces that follow President Macron's orders are turning France into a battlefield. 

In Germany, the sheer idea of having to go cap in hand to ask German taxpayers for more money to subsidise failing economies is a sobering thought for ailing Angela Merkel that knows that she is being watched from inside and from outside the CDU/CSU. She is no longer leader of the ruling coalition very much like Theresa May is no longer leader of the Conservative Party and is very much yesterday's Chancellor.

Events in Austria, Poland, Hungary, Italy and elsewhere are not reassuring either. In Spain, recently elected Members of the European Parliament are not being allowed to join the European Parliament because of the struggle for independence in Catalonia. 

Contenders in the leadership election in the Conservative Party or those in opposition can talk about a deal but it is a deal that no longer exists. It was killed by Parliament and led to the downfall of Theresa May. Most of the world deals with WTO terms and has been doing so for a very long time. The issue is the survival of a protectionist club called European Union (before European Community, earlier Common Market) that almost single-handed led to a debacle across the Developing World when over-production and subsidies caused a dramatic fall of agricultural prices and the creation of massive foreign debt in countries that very much depend on agriculture to make ends meet.

Delivering Brexit is a sine qua non for the Conservative Party. They know that they either deliver Brexit or are replaced by the Brexit Party under a Marxist Prime Minister. This has enormous implications for Britain and for international equilibrium. Whatever is left of the |Special Relationship could come to an end. This is not just the crisis regarding Huawei. This is Huawei and everything else including Britain's membership of NATO.

Britain should seek to preserve the Conservative government by getting Brexit done as a way to prevent a major geopolitical catastrophe.

Politics in Britain: When Politics is War

Politics in Britain: When Politics is War I have been following politics from a very early age. I have been in politics for more than half a century. I have in politics in the most extreme of circumstances. I have seen dirty tricks of all kinds and what happens in Britain today goes beyond dirty tricks. This is crowd manipulation when different standards are applied to every situation  If one side is harassed to the point of reacting it is said to be normal or even desirable. If those on the receiving end justifiably react when faced with harassment they are depicted as the aggressors.

Ezra Levant describes to perfection what is going on: Dear Karl, I hate watching the mainstream media cover Tommy Robinson’s election campaign to be the next Member of the European Parliament. The media is working hand-in-hand with Antifa rioters. Their street gangs attack Tommy when he’s out campaigning, but the media portray it as if Tommy’s the one causing trouble. Even worse, the police just stand back and let it all happen. They’d never let that happen to, say, Jeremy Corbyn. Those involved in demonising need to stop and think because their demonising campaign show very little respect or care for human life. There is a point when those in the mass media need to understand that as direct consequence of their kind of reporting people will get killed. Replace milkshakes with something else and you will see the picture. As we see people carrying knives and killing other people, it is also easy to imagine a disturbed individual knifing to death a candidate or a political activist or a journalist. A Journalist carries with him or her an enormous responsibility. A Police officer carries with him or her an enormous responsibility. When a Police officer stands aside, doing nothing for political reasons, a Police officer is failing in his or her duty of care. With every new incident, danger levels rise. We can continue passing legislation to presumably prevent Extremism but politicians and mass media are fomenting Extremism by promoting messages that exclude people simply because they - politicians and mass media - have a political agenda. The more we exclude people, the more disenfranchised people become, the more Extremism there will be. There is a point when frustration leads to anger and anger leads to violence. And this is exactly what is happening right now. The more repressive legislation becomes the more the potential for violence grows. You might not agree with a man like Tommy Robinson. You are duly entitled to disagree with anybody. You are not entitled to harass, attack or demonise anybody simply because you don't agree. Harassment, demonising, discrimination and even violence perpetrated against people the Political Establishment and the Mass Media that follow the Political Establishment don't like have become acceptable. This is not an environment for peaceful coexistence.

The Guardian: Jewish Brexit Party Candidate and Swastika

The Guardian: Jewish Brexit Party Candidate and Swastika

How many times the UAF, Hope Not Hate, politicians and mass media have called those supporting Brexit Nazi, Fascist, Racist et cetera, et cetera?

But... and it is a big BUT, oh surprise, Jewish people are standing as candidates for the Brexit Party and therefore the UAF, Hope Not Hate, politicians and mass media are calling Jewish people Nazi, Facist, Racist et cetera et cetera.

Now, none other than The Guardian is publicly stating that those who are are campaigning for Brexit are not Nazi, are not Fascist, are not Racist and that all crap spread by UAF, Hope Not Hate, politicians and mass media against those who stand in favour of leaving the European Union is crap. 

The constant labelling of politicians because of their positions regarding the relationship with the European Union is precisely what led to a Jewish candidate being called Nazi. I say that not only those who painted the Swastika should be investigated. The UAF should be investigated. Hope Not Hate should be investigated. UNITE should be investigated. All those who call British politicians whose only crime is to stand for what they believe in a Democratic society should be investigated because every time somebody is called a Nazi is the equivalent of painting a Swastika on the face of the said individual.

Brexit: I have been asked multiple times 'what will happen?' I only know that I know nothing' has been my reply.

Brexit: I have been asked multiple times 'what will happen?' I only know that I know nothing' has been my reply.

The date was going to be March 29th, 2019. Then, suddenly it became April 12th, 2019 or May 22nd 2019 depending on certain conditions. Now, we stand 5 days away  and hours away from April 12th, 2019 since no deal has been agreed. On Monday, the House of Commons - if weather allow it, since just days ago the sitting had to be suspended because water was pouring through the ceiling of the main Debating Chamber - will once again talk about the possible stages.

In the meantime, the internal struggle within the so called main political parties - Conservative and Labour - continues and there is always the possibility of more defectors leaving both Conservative and Labour due to disagreements. In essence, by Friday, April 12th, 2019, without any agreement there will be two options left: to leave without a deal or to cancel Brexit if no postponement is agreed with the European Union.

Having said, the political environment has become ever more fluid with issues involving accusations regarding Anti-Semitism and Islamophobia that are affecting the way politics in Britain works. Even when we are talking about national issues there is a geopolitical agenda that is constantly distorting what should be merely national issues.

What has become self-evident is that so mainstream political parties will be affected by the comings and goings linked to Brexit, Anti-Semitism and Islamophobia that high levels of lack of trust in Democracy in the United Kingdom.

On May 2nd 2019 there will be Local Elections. Somebody suggested that given the probabilities regarding a General Election and an European Election the country should prepare to hold three set of elections of May 23rd 2019. This means that legislation should be passed to provide funding for three different sets of elections.

Brexit: What if Parliament cancels Brexit?

Brexit": What if Parliament cancels Brexit?

Parliament approved the public consultation - Referendum on European Union Membership. Parliament and political parties stated that they would all accept the outcome of the public consultation. When the outcome of the public consultation was known, Parliament voted to implement the constitutional processes of what we know as Article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon in terms of exiting the European Union. Up to this point all went well. Soon afterwards, several politicians and public figures started to plot against the will of the British People publicly stated on the Referendum on the European Union Membership.

Some openly state that they want Britain to remain as an European Union member. Others use all kind of excuses and justifications with the same purpose. They talk about delays. They talk about motions that will prevent Britain from actually leaving the European Union.

What does this mean for trust in Democracy in the United Kingdom? If Parliament asks the Electorate and the Electorate expresses its choice and Parliament refuses to accept the will of the Electorate, what does this say about the health of Democracy in Britain?

Brexit: The climate of political uncertainty could lead to the unthinkable

Brexit: The climate of political uncertainty could lead to the unthinkable

This evening while travelling I asked an elderly passenger on a train going home if in his own personal experience he had witnessed a political crisis like the one Britain is facing right now. You can ask a politician, a journalist, an ordinary member of the public and nobody has the faintest idea about 'what next?'.

The House of Commons is due to consider on January 29 2018 a deal negotiated by Prime Minister Theresa May that will be presumably exactly the same deal that many Members of Parliament said that they would reject because they think that it is a very bad deal for Britain and its relations with the European Union, a deal that does not respect the will of the British Electorate expressed in the 2016 Referendum on EU Membership.

There are those who push for a Vote of No Confidence against the present British government headed by Theresa May. Some see it as a way to force Prime Minister Theresa May to resign. Some talk about a General Election and others talk about a new Referendum on EU Membership.

One wonders about what could happen if Theresa May - that has just been confirmed as Leader of the Conservative Party after a Leadership Challenge - loses a Vote of No Confidence in the House of Commons. Even if the Deal the Prime Minister negotiated by Parliament, Theresa May would continue as Prime Minister because of regulations of the Conservative Party that prevent any challenges. She could stay as Prime Minister for another year.

Labour Party Leader Jeremy Corbyn hesitates about asking for a Vote of No confidence. Having done the political sums, he knows that a Vote of No Confidence is a risky option. Members of Parliament from all political parties - including the Labour Party - could vote against it. It could unite the Conservative Party and produce an embarrassing defeat for the Labour Party under his leadership. Moreover, most Labour Constituencies across the country voted to Leave the European Union.

At Committee Level, enquiries have continued about the level of preparedness to face a No Deal outcome. The legality of the Deal proposed by Prime Minister Theresa May has been questioned since it goes against legislation passed by Parliament that determined that Britain will be leaving the European Union on March 29th 2019.  

In May 2019, about a month after Britain is set to leave the European Union, there will be European Parliament Elections that would produce a new political reality in the European Union. What kind of EU Parliament and what kind of European Commission would the said elections produce? Would there be a more favourable environment in terms of a better agreement with the United Kingdom?

Prime Minister Theresa May was severely criticised for not putting her Deal to a vote on the day it was supposed to be put to a vote. Some say that it happened because she was afraid of yet another significant defeat in the House of Commons that could end her political career. Others say that she is playing for time trying to get further concessions from the EU.

Zac Goldsmith's stark warning in the House of Commons: Those who deny Brexit will play into the hands of the Far Right

Zac Goldsmith's stark warning in the House of Commons: Those who deny Brexit will play into the hands of the Far Right

As more and more groups with extreme views are discovered in the United Kingdom, it goes without a doubt that should Parliament go against Brexit this would play directly into the hands of the Far Right.

The British Armed Forces are increasingly supporting Far Right groups. As it has come loud and clear after a series of events, British serving soldiers and British veterans support the Far Right and are directly involved in training camps across the United Kingdom and overseas. People don't have military training unless they are willing to kill.

Parliament has lost credibility and going against Brexit could prove to be a fatal blow to Democracy in the United Kingdom. More and more people lost faith in the EU Project that is now heading towards a United States of Europe with its own Armed Forces controlled by German autocrats that are going against the German People.

Attacks against Jews in Germany are rising to the point that a Jewish Authority in Germany called on all Jews to avoid wearing any attire or body ornament that could identify them as Jews.

In France, President Macron - one of the most unpopular Presidents in the history if France if not the least popular - is using increasing levels of violence against protesters. It is a matter of time for the unpopular President to use the Armed Forces against the French People.

The European Union is not the Promised Land those who support the EU Project talk about.

 

Brexit's new nightmare: Theresa May allows a motion of disclosure of legal advice that comes to haunt her

Brexit's new nightmare: Theresa May allows a motion to disclosure of legal advice on new deal that comes to haunt her.

Geoffrey Cox MP - UK Attorney General - confirms that May's deal is a pile of dangerous shit - a calculated risk he called it.

What the so called deal actually does is to lock up Britain and put Britain forever at the mercy of the European Union, unable to come out of a bad deal.
Sticking to what Geoffrey Cox MP said on the floor of the House of Commons, Theresa May's deal is actually an act of treason that transforms Britain into a colony - forced to adopt decisions made by the European Union and unable to challenge decisions made by the European Union. Not the kind of Brexit that people voted for in 2016 on the EU Membership Referendum.

Parliament now wants to know what exactly the legal advice give to Prime Minister Theresa May was - not a bit of it but the whole of it. Theresa May's is terrified of the truth coming out just a few days before the so called Deal is going to be put to the vote in the House of Commons. The vote is due to take place on December 11th 2018.

UK Democracy: Real Options or merely private agendas of people we don't know?

Democracy: Real Options or merely private agendas?

After all the hype of weeks or even months of political campaigning, of being bombarded by mass media with all kinds of conflicting messages and half-truths, polling day comes and you head towards the polling station to do your duty and choose from a list of candidates that have been pre-selected for you. Not your real choices. Not that you have any say before, during or after the votes have been counted. You are heading to a polling station to sign a blank cheque. Your are not choosing policies. You are merely voting for a certain individual/individuals that are going to be making their own choices and are going to be paid for making their own choices. We call it Democracy and are constantly told how lucky we are to have somebody making decisions for us.

They say that Referenda are imperfect. What could be more imperfect than putting a piece of paper inside a box without knowing what you are really voting for? And we do this in every single election. We are sold smoke and mirrors and we buy them every time because we have been told that this is Democracy. People vote in elections for a myriad of reasons and do so most of the time without having a clue about the consequences of doing what we are doing. We call this 'the Civilised Way of doing things."

I don't feel represented. Every time there is an election, I have to make a gigantic effort to believe and very often when it comes to selecting candidates I don't believe that I am doing the right thing. In one of the latest elections, I chose one candidate in particular because he was an Independent and did not represent political parties that I have come to profoundly disagree with or even hate. Given the way the system is, I already knew who the winning candidate was going to be and therefore knew that voting for the said Independent candidate was the equivalent of throwing a piece of paper in a waste bin. It was not a vote because of conviction. It was a vote not to vote for what I am against. 

When we read or hear about people being disenfranchised, it is not surprising that more and more people are disenfranchised. The reason the EU Referendum was so successful in terms of numbers of voters was that it was a binary decision about one fundamental issue: To be or not to be Members of the European Union. Many people felt than in spite of the frustrations generated by elections they could really and truly have a say and that it was a one-off opportunity in which their votes would really mean something. 

Hillary Clinton: Moving sideways

Hillary Clinton: Moving Sideways

Opportunistic Hillary Clinton advises European Union 'to deal with issue of immigration to counter rise of Far Right'. This has been for her followers and/or admirers the equivalent of been awoken with a cold shower.

Their Hero has shown herself for what she really is: An opportunistic career politician that will say whatever comes to her mind depending on which way the wind is blowing, somebody who has no principles nor moral values. Her European devotees walk around with placards with the word "refugees welcome". She now says that politicians must say that "refugees are not welcome" in order to prevent the rise of the Far Right.

We couldn't make it up. You only need to listen to what she says about President Trump and then listen to what she says about 'countering the rise of the Far Right' to see that she is not the real McCoy. She tried very hard to win the nomination competing with Barak Obama but painfully lost it. The second time she tried she won the nomination playing dirty tricks against fellow Democrats only to lose the election to Donald Trump. She has constantly criticised President Donald Trump, distorting what the President has said about immigration and now she tells the EU not to allow more immigrants to get in.

With people like Hillary Clinton the Democratic Party has touched rock bottom. This the person responsible for turning Libya into a worse country. Libya was a buffer zone. Thanks to Hillary Clinton, Libya was turned into fertile ground for Terrorism and flood immigration towards the European Continent.

Britain's future hanging from a thread

Britain's Future hangs from a thread

With the arrival of Britain's chief negotiator for talks with his EU counterpart, everything is for the taking/losing.

EU authorities asked all remaining members of the European Union to prepare for No Deal while in Britain whatever was agreed at Checkers by the Conservative Party Cabinet is a poison chalice that has created cross party political anger for various reasons and put the survival of Theresa May into question. From both sides of the political divide concerning the EU, so called White Paper is seen as an act of treason that puts Britain in the middle of road and ready to be crashed by passing traffic.

The country has been undoubtedly divided but we are now entering a cycle of polarisation that could have extremely serious consequences including widespread violence. Trying to please everybody, the British Prime Minister has put her neck on the chopping block and leadership is badly needed to get Britain out of the present and very serious predicament.

Should Theresa May fall, the Conservative Party would still lack an absolute majority in Parliament and it could mean that even with the votes of the Democratic Unionist Party there wouldn't be enough seats to allow the Conservative Party to rule without being a minority government because depending on who succeeds Theresa May there will be Conservative MPs that would walk away. Not for the first time the ruling Conservative Party has been divided about how to deal with the European Union.

As it has been said over and over again, the country must be ready for No Deal and all government departments have been asked to make preparations for No Deal but, as things stand at the moment, the country must also prepare for the possibility of a General Election in the autumn. But even if there was a General Election, such General Election is not expected to provide a new political balance as both Conservatives and Labour face their own internal divisions.