World Conflicts: what we see is an exercise of imperial power and control

Across the world people are being killed in an exercise imperial and colonial power. In 1953, the path towards democracy in Iran was killed by the United States and by Britain. They both wanted Iranian oil and gas resources but a democratic regime stood on their way. Without hesitation, United States and Britain distabilized Iran and appointed the Shah as ruler of Iran. 

A puppet regime was the perfect solution to satisfy American and British greed, but this was not going to last. With the rise of the Islamic Revolution, the Shah was deposed and a theocratic regime took over control of Iran.

The plan has always been to steel Iran´s resources and the present war by proxy against Iran is very much part of the plan. The criminal regime that rules Israel has no qualms in going around mass bombing and mass murdering. So the unprovoked attack against Iran comes as no surprise. It has been planned all along. Did they do the same about Iraq? Of course they did, but it backfired. It totally destabilized Iraq and produced a wave of violence that goes beyond the borders of Iraq.

Adolf Hitler wrote in Mein Kampf that a war with several fronts was serious mistake and it was precisely a war on several fronts that brought the demise of National Socialist Germany. As the Roman Empire and many other empire before and after fell down, the so called West faces dangers that itself contributed to create.

There is a direct link between geopolitics and national politics and it goes without saying that actions on the international arena are generating consequences at national level. The words of German Chancellor Friedrich Merz were "this is the last chance for Germany". Well, he is doing everything possible to get Alternative für Deutschland elected as the new government of Germany. The more he engages Germany in a disastrous set of foreign policy actions, the sooner the rotten CDU/CSU will fall to bits. Bridges falling in Germany. Public buildings that cannot be repaired. The images of bridges falling and public buildings that cannot be repaired are the best images to represent what CDU/CSU are doing to Germany.

 

 

Friedrich Merz: One country´s actions can trigger a chain reaction

When Merz predecessor, Angela Merkel, decided to open Germany´s borders, she could not foresee the problems that her approach would create. Suddenly, there were conflicts all over the EU when countries like Poland and Hungary rejected her open borders policies. She lived to regret her decision when she publicly stated "Multikulti ist Tot" and mass migration became so intense that it threatens Schengen Treaty arrangements. In her case, her decision did not involve engaging Germany in an all out war.

Friedrich Merz decision to authorize the use of German long range weapons against the Russian Federation is a completely different cup of tea with catastrophic consequences. Berlin has been told, over and over again (by Berlin I mean the German authorities) that such measure will in effect mean a declaration of war against the Russian Federation and that, therefore, the Russian Federation will be entitled to attack Germany. What Friedrich Merz has done, unitelaterally, is to put every single NATO country on a direct collision course with the Russian Federation.  Now, how can the Russian Federation attack Germany? Nuclear War.

Herr Merz got elected with less than 24% of the vote, taking into account that CDU did not get 24% of the vote. CDU/CSU got about 24% of the vote. His coalition partner - SPD - got 16% of the vote. It remains to be known what the German public actually thinks about Friedrich Merz statement and about the consequences of such statement. 

Friedrich Merz took such decision not as a NATO member. This was not a NATO decision. It was Germany´s decision, but it is a far reaching decision that will undermine Europe. I would say that such decision is not supported by Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty. Article 5 refers to defense, not offense. 

Now, Chancellor Merz sent a Panzer group to Lithuania, a country that is pretty close to the Russian Federation. It is easy to see that if there is war between the Russian Federation and Germany then German forces in Lithuania will be targetted. 

We have not seen any reactions from other European countries. Do other countries want to be involved in an all out war? Like Angela Merkel, Friedrich Merz had no consultations with other European countries regarding the statement that he just made. Is this a German thing? i.e. making decisions that will affect everybody else, without even asking what other people in the European Union think about it?

This confirms my belief that Britain´s exit from the European Union was a very good thing. I also believe that dismantling NATO would be the next good thing. Why? Because one country can create a disaster for everybody else. So, if Germany wants war with the Russian Federation, Germany alone can pay the price of such a disastrous decision.

Alexander Gauland: one plus one equal two

 

Alexander Gauland: one plus one equals two

One of the co-founders of Alternative für Deutschland knows full well that so called maintream political parties have miserably failed to provide answers for very difficult problems. He knows that they keep proposing failed recipes that keep making matters a lot worse because they are guided by ideological nonsense that goes against reason.

Because so called mainstream political parties control mass media they are still getting away with murder and the outcome of the 2025 Federal Elections in Germany could still produce the same nonsense that will compromise Germany's very existence.

Since the end of World War Two the idea of the victors was to prevent a German true revival and have done so brilliantly maintaining a massive military occupation of German land and dictating to the German peoples foreign policies that go against Germany's genuine interests. So called mainstream political parties have been complicit in promiting anti-German policies.

Today, present circumstances are a calculated risk that could lead Germany to be involved in a catastrophic war against her will. German voters will have to choose between political parties that will take such risk and a political party that openly and strongly speaks against any Germany involvement in any kind of war.

A New Political Era for Europe: Germany falters

The announcement that the German coalition headed by SPD has collapsed leaves in power a government headed by a political party that in three recent state elections failed dramatically to capture the public imagination. In three consecutive elections, Grüne barely managed to get 7 representatives out of 88, 119 and 88. This is how bad things are and they are bound to get worse. Support for the war in Ukraine has banrupted Germany and attempts to increase borrowing led to a political showdown leading to the end of coalition that was unsustainable from the very begining.

FDP and Grüne are exact opposites in various ways and such agreement was bound to end in tears. Can a Federal Election clear the air? Such election would take place in March 2025 and not in September 2025. Germany has been leading and financing the European Union. Changes in German politics are bound to have a significant effect in terms of German leadership and of the survival of the European Union. Talks about increasing defence expenditure are bound to go anywhere as Germany tries to sanitanize its own finances. Job losses already announced are not going to make the present coalition popular amongst voters.

Who could be the real winners in March 2024? There could be three potential winners: CDU, a new political party that had success in recent state elections and Alternative für Deutschland. The one party that has a real project for Germany is Alternative für Deutschland, a project that takes care of Germany´s energy needs and of migration - a subject that is a major concern in many European countries, including Germany. 

Why mainstream political parties are losing ground and fringe parties have become mainstream?

 

Just a decade ago, CDU/CSU used to call the shot in German politics and European politics. In fact, the German Chancellor and the French President used to have the final word in quite a few of the most important decisions made by the European Union.

But it must be said that CDU/CSU had to cohabitate with SPD in a marriage of convenience and this lasted until CDU/CSU fell catastrophically opening the way for the unthinkable: a coalition between German Conservatives FPD, SPD Social Democrats and Grüne Socialists.

The EU Parliament Elections have shown a rebirth of CDU and allowed AfD to surpass SPD while FPD and Grüne have fallen.

The call is very straightforward: German peoples do matter and must be the main priority for Germany. Decades of open doors and policies that mainly benefit non Germans have been rejected by German voters that face a very uncertain future as German economics has been seriously undermined both by environmental policies and an energy crisis that has increased energy costs and cut energy supplies.

Pushing forward environmental policies at the expense of the German economy is not good policy. The first two gigantic mistakes were made by Angela Merkel when she decided to get rid of nuclear power and open the floodgates for migration. Her almost unilateral decisions created animosity in Eastern Europe as most people coming to Germany had to go through Eastern European countries to reach Germany. Then, she made the equally astonishing statement ´Multikulti ist tot´ (Multikulturalism is dead). We are not in the mind of Angela Merkel, but we can guess that since then she has regretted getting rid of Nuclear Power and of having open the floodgates for migration.

By the end of her reign as German Chancellor, her own political party was not ready to give her a blank cheque. In order to remain as German Chancellor she was forced to resign as Leader of the CDU.

In France, Emmanuel Macron saw that he could not go on as usual when his official candidate for Prime Mnister got barely 15% in the European Parliament Elections. The decision to call for a Parliamentary Election was not easy but it had to be taken. Left, Right and Centre rejected his policies. Now, on June 30th and on July 1st, he faces the challenge and the possibility of having a Rassemblement National Prime Minister and a hostile National Assembly till the end of his term as French President. Emmanuel Macron will still have veto power, but from a political point of view he might have to deal with policies that go very much against his own policies. So both in the French Assembly and in the European Parliament decisions would be in the hands of Rassemblement National.

 

CDU demise followed by rise of AfD

 In what has been qualified as a watershed moment in German politics, what could have been easily predicted has happened. AfD won a local election with 52.8% of the vote. The town of Sonneberg, in Thuringen, has elected Robert Sesselman as District Administrator. As it is customary, those who oppose anything truly German will use the usual labels to downgrade, insult and misrepresent the outcome of the election.

Next year in Saxony, Thuringen and Brandenburg there will be state parliament elections and this success points AfD in the right direction. 

They say that a majority of voters have turned their back on democracy. Well, the election was democratic and voters used their democratic right to choose an AfD candidate. They have not turned their back on democracy. They have merely use their democratic rights to choose who they want to rule them.

AfD is advancing thanks to the failures of CDU/CSU and it must be remember that SPD is now ruling Germany as head of a coalition without having increased their electoral votes. What actually happened is the SPD that didn't increase their electoral votes and had to form a coalition with FDP and Grunne is only represented in 11 of 16 German states.

AfD was founded by academics and bankers in 2013 and barely ten years later has 20% support across Germany. Two important characteristics: intellect and economic power, a winning recipe that is being felt across Germany.

The Human Cost of Energy Crisis and the threat of war to make money

 

When the President and the Vice President of the USA so casually talk about war, lets be reminded of what war means. Neighter Joe Biden nor Kamala Harris have ever been closed to a real threatre of war.

In Britain, writing for The Guardian, Simon Jenkins says 'that Britain shuold stay well out of Russia's border dispute with Ukraine. Also in Britain The Independent states in one of its articles that USA wishes to go to war.

Before there is any major war in Europe, energy costs are crippling economies and causing prices to rise throwing more and more families into poverty. Can you imagine what could happen if there was a real major conflict in Europe?

Cost of energy in Germany are leading to major inflation rises and the idea that Germany will not be able to rely on imports coming from the East - namely the Russian Federation - is nothing less than a nightmare. Year after year, the political environment in Germany has become more and more fragmented. SPD only manage to win the Federal Election not because of gaining more votes, but because CDU/CSU went down dramatically. Germany is polarized between right and left and those who know the history of Germany know that this no good. 

Both France and Germany are pushing for talks with both Ukraine and the Russian Federation - a group of four talks - to bypass NATO and the USA. They do so because they don't trust the USA's intentions?  USA wants War in Europe, a war that will be completely detrimental for Europe. But greed in the USA has no limits. For several years, the USA has been stockpiling oil and gas and especially gas that comes from fracking and needs to make money with it. By blocking the Baltic pipeline between the Russian Federation and Germany, Europe becomes ever more dependent of American exports that the USA is sending to Europe as 'aid to alleviate shortages'. So there is money to be made and the American intention of going to war against Russia is yet another economic war as the illegal invasion of Iraq was an economic war.

Ursula von der Leyen muss weg

 

To say that Ursula von der Leyen was incompetent as German Defense Secretary and has been incompetent as appointed President of the European Commission would be a gross understatement.

She started by making a mess in Northern Ireland and in the Republic of Ireland by going against established EU policies and later backtracking when she was bombarded with criticisms, including criticisms expressed by the German mass media. Shge managed to unite Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland against her.

With regards to the fight against Covid-19, she hasn't been on top of her brief and has stood paralized while EU countries stopped acting as EU countries and went against each other. Austria is leading a group of six EU countries that want to have access to Russian vaccines and Germany has now joined them while France and others remain stuck with rising number of infections, hospitals that cannot cope with the number of cases and rising deaths leading to further quarentine measures.

The latest chapter was the embarrassment during a meeting in Turkey. She allowed herself to be sidelines and later complained saying that she had been sidelined. She doesn't have the guts to act on the spot. Is she really the President of the European Commission? If she is the President of the European Commission she should start acting as the President of the European Commission. If she doesn't have what it takes to be the boss, she should put herself aside and allow somebody else to be the boss.

The office of President of the European Commission is being downgraded, the EU project is being downgraded, and her former boss Angela Merkel is doing no better. Hesitation, gigantic errors of judgment, followed by meaningless apologies that give way to more hesitation, more gigantic errors of judgment, followed by more meaningless apologies. Angela Merkel no longer has what it takes to be leader and voters are turning against CDU/CSU across Germany, election after election. Time for change, but what will replace them? The very authority of the German Chancellor as now former party leader - she had to resign the leadership of CDU to remain in power until the next German Federal Election - is being challenged by members of her own party. She had to come out and threaten members of her own party that were found working with Alternative fur Deutschland in several regions.

To sum up, a mess in Germany and a mess in the European Union. 

Corona Virus is a test for the European Union as a whole

Corona Virus is a test for the European Union as a whole

National reactions to the Corona Virus crisis show the true state of the European Union. Border fences up. Freedom of Movement and the Schengen agreement go out through the window. National priorities kick in.

Germany is on a slippery slope downwards. The 2017 Federal Elections proved extremely difficult for Angela Merkel's CDU. After losing ground, SPD - their coalition partner - walked away not wanting to be in a coalition. In a desperate effort, Angela Merkel tried to reach an agreement with FDP and Grünen, attempt that proved to be unsuccessful. Why would the Grünen want an agreement with a losing political party when their numbers are going up? They went up in the Federal Election and they went up in state elections after the Federal Election. In fact, Grünen and Alternative für Deutschland are the net winners. In Brandenburg, in Bavaria, in Saxony, in Hesse and in Thüringen, the trend is very similar. Moreover, in Thüringen, CDU joined forces with Alternative für Deutschland to get rid of the Die Linke head of government and soonafter that the heir apparent of Angela Merkel (Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer) resigned soonafter.

The context for the new European Union budget includes the fact that Germany and others will have to fill up the financial gap generated by the British withdrawal. Tens of billions of Pounds will have to be found and the remaining 27 countries don't seem to be able to reach an agreement. France is facing an internal struggle with internal political problemas of her own. Spain just had elections in which no political party got an overall majority and a compromise had to be found to appoint a new government. Italy is still on the grip of an ongoing political struggle and shaken by migration. We could go on analyzing what other EU countries are going through. On top of all the troubles comes the Corona Virus with a whole new set of challenges. European Union economies are bound to suffer a great deal and the response to the crisis has been fragmentary. Unless the European Union manages to find common ground, a response based on closure of national borders will do very little to reassure members of the public about the integrity of the European Union. 

Having said that, there are other concerns. If the European Union cannot show unity and integrity when faced with a health emergency, what will happen if the European Union is faced with external aggression. Will it withstand external aggression or will it collapse along the cracks of national borders?  Whoever has a potential interest in testing the European Union's capatity to react as a block is carefully tracking European Union countries responses? Will they come together as one or will they fail to achieve a common response?

Brexit: Then and Now

Brexit: Then and Now

In ten days time, Britain will be on its way to be as it was before entering the Common Market. Will it be like it was before entering the Common Market?

So much has happened in more than 40 years. There has been a demographic revolution and London - its capital city - is completely unrecognizable. The Monarchy itself is unrecognizable. We have had Harry-exit. Diana's boy is now in Canada, without a Royal title. SNP seems to rule Scotland and is threatening to break up the United Kingdom. Let us remember another earthquake that happened in the United Kingdom in the 1920, the partition of Ireland and the creation of two separate entities - the Republic of Ireland in the south and the Province of Northern Ireland in the north. A hundred years later, we are witnessing events that have generated realities that we couldn't possibly have imagined thirty years ago.

But when it comes to surprising changes, Britain is not alone. The European Continent is on the move and significant political developments are taking place. 

Merkel, Medvedev, Schroeder

Germany is also unrecognizable. CDU/CSU is faltering and Alternative für Deutchland and Grünen are rising stars. In France, Emannuel Macron - the opportunity candidate that rose to power as to prevent National Front (Now National Rally) from winning the French Presidential Election is facing war as discontent rises. As the Socialists were on the way out, the French Centre Right faced the unthinkable and had to create a fantasy on the back of a massive propaganda effort.

Brexit is not the main issue, Europe is facing. Much more serious developments are on the way. Unfortunately, and perhaps in a premeditated manner, the mass media have their own agenda and they don't report about certain events to the point that when something dramatic happens it seems to have come from nowhere.

European Union: Poland's troubles are just the beginning.

European Union: Poland troubles are just the beginning

Recent internal elections in SPD in Germany have led to new problems for Angela Merkel. The new leadership of SPD is demanding further concessions that Angela Merkel has dimmed unacceptable and this could mean the end of the ruling coalition. The German Chancellor who is no longer the leader of her own poilitcal party -CDU - knows that additional financial burdens that come on top of having to supply additional monies for the European Union will have a political cost that she cannot afford. 

SPD is making more financial demands, regardless of the fact that SPD lost the 2017 Federal Elections and has lost in every single state election that came afterwards -= Bavaria, Brandenburg, Saxony and Hesse in which Alternative für Deutschland and Grünen made huge advances. Alternative für Deutschland is the official German Opposition in the Bundestag and commands support in every single one of the sixteen regional parliaments in Germany.

It has been reported that it could take up to a year to approve the European Union budget and German taxpayers are in no mood to increase financial contributions via higher taxes or increased borrowing. If the German coalition falls, Angela Merkel could become the Chancellor in a minority government or even fall from power to be replaced by the present leader of CDU.

This comes as more and more CDU politicians are choosing to work together with Alternative für Deutschland despite threats issued by Angela Merkel herself to deter CDU membrers from effectively joining Alternative für Deutschland at local level. Let's remember that Germany is the driving force within the European Union and that her main partner - France - is facing times of great political uncertainty.

The landslide victory of the Conservative Party led by Boris Johnson in the United Kingdom must have come as a bucket of cold water not just for Germany but for others within the ruling elites of the European Union who are now threatening to refuse to approve the Withdrawal Agreement that they themselves negotiated with the Conservative Government. The mere possibility of a No Deal outcome is what Germany's CDU fears most. They know that Germany will have to face pressures coming not just from the USA that doesn't want EU unfair trade practices but also from an invigorated United Kingdom. Germany sees its position as net expoeter threatened and this means less votes if the German economy falters.

If Poland were to leave the European Union soon to be followed by others, one wonders what could be worse: the political and psychological implications of mone countries leaving the European Union or the financial consequences. Just a few weeks ago, President Macron blocked the accession of Albania and North Macedonia arguing that it would no be advisable to incorporate new countries without implementing urgent reforms before such accession is even contemplated. Adding more countries that will be net receivers of EU funding is a recipe for disaster at a time when the main funders of the European Union are facing troubles of their own.

   

With Angela Merkel's tremor, German faces political tremors

With Angela Merkel's tremor, German faces political tremors

There is fantasy and there is political reality. At ta time when the EU faces extraordinary challenges, to see the German Leader going through what was justified as dehidration is extremely worrying, no matter what they say to justify what is in plein view.

The EU faces a potentially extraordinarily damaging set of circumstances. The struggle with the USA in terms of economics, the upheaval affecting several key EU countries and also some later newcomers into the EU, the prospect of a war in Asia Minor and the Middle East that could make other conflicts looks like minor incidents and the set of circumstances that have led to the loss of faith in so called centre parties are very much part of the picture.

None of those set to replace Angela Merkel is well known enough or has the necessary profile to keep the German ruling coalition together. Let us remember how the present coalition was born. In 2017, the CDU/CSU won a very narrow victory with an ever smaller majority. Because of the reluctance of SPD to form a coaltion after SPD was severely beaten, Angela Merkel had to go for FPD and Grünne. When her attempt to form a coalition with |FPD and Grünne, in despair, she went back to SPD that seeing that the absence of a coalition would lead to yet another Federal Election in which much more could be lost decided to agree terms with Angela Merkel. After that, came several regional elections - one in Bavaria and another one in Hesse where CDU, CSU and SPD lost ever more ground for the benefit of Alternative für Deutschland and Grünne.

As a consequence of loss after loss, Angela Merkel agreed to resign as CDU Leader while remaining German Chancellor until the end of her term in office. Now, the possibility of Angela Merkel having to resign as Chancellor brings back the reality of yet another Federal Election that in view of what is happening right now could lead to major electoral losses and the rise of other political forces including Alternative für Deutschland.

So what you see could herald significant political changes with enormous geopolitical implications.

Germany and the Nationalist Movement in Britain

Germany and the Nationalist Movement in Britain

Unlike the CDU/CSU and SPD coalition, true German Nationalists are now in Britain working together to build a movement that will work for an Europe of Independent European Nations with their own identity working together.

At a meeting in Bromley, Southeast London, German representatives met to launch a new initiative that will completely change the face of British Nationalism in the United Kingdom. For decades, British Nationalism was associated with National Front and British National Party - a shoot of National Front. More recently we have seen the rise of organisations like the United Kingdom Independence Party, English Democrats, Britain First, For Britain and others. But the aforementioned never had a clear view nor a proper strategy. They have been seen as either Protest organisations and/or organisations with a very narrow and limited agenda.

Moreover, at one point or another the emphasis has been on winning elections and electoral losses have been followed by frustration leading to division and disintegration. The new approach is dramatically different. The idea is to disregard elections and focus on ground work that will provide the structures and leading figures that can have much greater influence working inside the system rather that trying to attack the system and wasting an enormous amount of resources in the process.

Financial resources and know-how and proper training are being provided. One of the crucial aspects of political activity is that firstly those doing the job were not paid and secondly that many resources are wasted in sterile campaigning that includes improper control of resources. One clear example is the British National Party that after a series of successes was destroyed by infighting and improper use of resources. At this very minute, the Leader and the Deputy Leader of the British National Party are facing a legal challenge for improper use of resources and political dereliction of duty.

The general idea is that in the present climate that includes a hostile mass media the traditional ways of being involved in politics could not provide the desired outcomes.

British elements will be coached and trained both in the United Kingdom and in Germany proper and individual are chosen using a very strict vetting process. Minimum remuneration for those chosen will be of not let than £50,000 a year.

Theresa May; The Plot thickens about what will be the outcome of one of the worst political crisis in British History with dramatic repercussions for EU

Theresa May: The Plot thickens about what will be the outcome of one of the worst political crisis in British History

As events come to a climax in the House of Commons with the final vote on the Brexit Deal broke out by Prime Minister Theresa May, we keep an eye on what is happening in Germany at the heart of CDU - one of the key components of the ruling German Coalition headed by Chancellor Angela Merkel.

Angela Merkel gave up his place as Leader of CDU and was succeeded by Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer that is seen as a moderate Leader that came up a winner leaving behind Angela Merkel's archenemy Friedrich Merz.

But in spite of this, it could be the case that Angela Merkel will not last until the end her term as German Chancellor that is conditional to their junior coalition partner the SPD.

When in Germany there is the equivalent of a political tsunami, in France things are getting thicker by the minute. The Gilet Jaune Movement could lead to a state of emergency of even the use of the military against protesters. If this were to happen, it would prove that President Macron on top of being one of the least - if not the least - popular President in the history of France has literally not a leg to stand on.

As Germany and France keep pushing towards forcing EU member countries to accept immigrants or face a heave price by having to subsidise countries that do accept immigrants, the situation in the remaining EU countries is not straightforward. If the Theresa May's deal is rejected by the House of Commons it will also add to the political uncertainty in the European Union piling up financial tensions. Without British money (Britain is the second most important donor to finance the EU Budget), Germany and France would have go cap in hand to ask for more monies to finance the EU budget and pay for flood immigration.

Let us remember that the budget proposed for Italy by the Italian ruling coalition was rejected by the European Union and that Italy is not fit to provide any more funding for the EU. Other countries, including Greece but not exclusively Greece don't have the financial capacity to pay more for the EU Budget either.

In the last election, Angela Merkel that barely managed to gather the votes to form a government was forced to engage in a series of negotiations with FDP and Grünen. When efforts to reach an agreement with FDP and Grünen failed, at the last minute she reached an agreement with SPD. What happened next tells the full story. In state elections in Bavaria, both the CSU (associate party of CDU) and SPD were routed in the elections. Then came CDU's turn in Hesse with comparable losses. The natural consequence was that Alternative für Deutschland has now representatives not just in the Bundestag but also in every single State Parliament in Germany. Will a fragile ruling coalition be able to extract more money from German taxpayers without causing another political rift?

At this point in time, all those who want Britain to remain a member of the European Union must ask themselves very serious questions. They need to be thinking very carefully about the kind of the European Union that is coming. Zac Goldsmith - Jewish Conservative MP - spoke very clearly about the political threats in an European Union that is in meltdown.

Britain is due to leave the European Union on March 29th 2019. For all the talk about a transition period that could go as far as 2020 in some cases or even 2022, or even become an "indefinite transition period", it is impossible to predict the kind of European Union that will be around during such transition period.

For Theresa May the date is December 11th 2019, according to the latest bit of news. But there are rumours about the vote in the House of Commons being postponed to avert a disastrous defeat that could put an end to Theresa May's Premiership leading to massive political conflicts. What will actually happen on December 11th 2019 and soon after December 11th 2019 is everybody's guess but what we have seen and heard is not reassuring.

Merkel Out / Merz In? CDU marching towards the Right?

Angela Merkel / Friedrich Merz

CDU marching towards the Right or the Far Right?

The repercussions of what happened during the last Federal Elections and of two consecutive state elections - Bavaria and Hesse - are spreading.  Angela Merkel's announced departure both as party leader and as Chancellor (she will be withdrawing from public office and not standing in elections) come together with the debate of who is going to succeed her firstly as party leader and later on as candidate to become German Chancellor. Let's look at positions maintained by one of the most probable contenders for leadership of CDU:

This shows why Friedrich Merz might be a very attractive choice. CSU tried somehow to take on board part of Alternative für Deutschland's agenda in a desperate effort to avoid defeat but was defeated anyway. It was so obvious that it looked like a cynical attempt. Now, the change would be taking place not in Bavarian CSU but in CDU. If CDU adopt similar o identical policies to those proposed by Alternative für Deutschland, voters might decide to vote for the real thing instead of voting for a copy of the real thing that opened the floodgates and created the problems that led to consecutive electoral defeats.

The question is: once the successor is chosen, will whoever is chosen be an ally or a rival of Angela Merkel? How safe her position will be after December 2018? Will she be in power until March 2019? What about her political backing in terms of negotiations? Will her successor be inclined to alliances that go against party policies? Too many coalitions and too much uncertainty at a time when unity and clarity are key in any decision making process.

Germany: Poverty Threatens Nearly One In Five In Germany

The Truth Shall Set You Free - The fall from favour of Angela Merkel has deeper roots than previously thought. The collapse of CDU/CSU and of SPD is due to Flood Immigration and to the consequences of Flood Immigration in terms of lowering German standards and condemning million of German to a life in poverty. Driven by the same ideological nonsense that is dominant in other European countries and in the USA, people like Angela Merkel promoted Flood Immigration and ordinary Germans are having to deal with the dire consequences of it.

I have known for a long time and all those who are constantly attacking National Socialist Germany should know better that Germany is not the kind of country that can maintain political stability when things go wrong in financial terms. The National Socialist Party didn't rise in Germany merely because of grievances about the Versailles Treaty or bullying by political groups. Things a lot deeper than that. Millions of people across Germany had been condemned to a meagre existence that any self-respecting individual would have rejected and found offensive. And this is exactly what is happening right now across Germany. Quite a few ordinary Germans live in poverty and Flood Immigration can only make a bad situation worse.  In a rich country, one of the most wealthy countries in Europe, having people who are living in poverty is not just nonsensical and shameful but also dangerous, as dangerous as it was in Germany after World War One.

Heimat and Deutschland, Deutschland über Alles are now extremely relevant but so called mainstream political parties are oblivious to what is really happening and keep promoting their 'mainstream ideological nonsense' that more and more Germans, including those who traditionally supported so called mainstream political parties, are turning against. 

The rise of the so called Far Right is a cry for social and economic justice. The Far Right is not just Far Right. It is Absolutely Right when it asks for Germans to be Priority Number One.

Katie Hopkins: Straight questions and the answer is more than obvious

The vast majority of those fleeing Muslim countries end up in Europe or in the USA. Why? Why do they choose Christian countries? A straight question that demolishes Multiculturalism. Multiculturalism is much more than failed proposition. Multiculturalism is a recipe for ethnic cleansing. 

Those who pursue such failed proposition that leads to ethnic cleansing should be pushed out of the way and this is more or less what is happening in Germany. Angela Merkel got in in a very disputed Federal Election facing Gerhard Schröder. She became the strong woman that opened the immigration floodgates without consulting with other EU countries and generated a mess of massive proportions that is leading the European Continent towards the Right. She should have received a medal awarded by Islamic State. Single-handed she has caused more chaos than Islamic State could have caused if it had had the opportunity. Now, after two disastrous electoral results in Bavaria and in Hesse, Angela Merkel had to beg her own political party to allow her to continue as Chancellor having resigned the leadership of CDU. "Please, I give up CDU Leadership but allow me to continue as Chancellor." It would be a complete and utter disaster for CDU if she stood in the coming Leadership Election in December. 

The Fall of Angela Merkel is significant. She is no longer the Strong Leader she once was and her disciple Emmanuel Macron even dared to contradict her on fundamental issues of Foreign Policy. And what about Brexit? Since Angela Merkel has been the deal breaker, the one who decides what kind of Brexit there will be, her fall from grace will have repercussions. Although she could stay as Chancellor the political calculations are not in her favour.

In the Federal Election, CDU/CSU lost and also her temporary partner SPD lost by association with Angela Merkel. In Bavaria, CSU and SPD lost. In Hesse, CDU and SPD lost. By contrast the Grünen and AfD were the real winners. What will this mean in terms of budgets and policies? Will she be a Lame Duck Chancellor at a time when critical decisions need to be made?

Germany is one piece of the puzzle. An entire continent is moving against Liberalism. Movements for strong national identities are winning the day and stating very clearly that Islam doesn't belong in Europe. In the United Kingdom, the Political Establishment is panicking and taking extreme measures. We are told that MI5 is going to take over Police duties and we might end in a situation in which any dissident that rejects Multiculturalism, rejects Islam and supports a strong National Identity might be seen as Extremist or Terrorist. We see has is already happening to those who campaign against Islamic Extremists. Paul Golding, Jayda Fransen, Tommy Robinson and others are being targeted by the Political Establishment. They have either being in jail, threatened with jail sentences or on their way to jail. Lizzie Dearden from The Independent as always involved in witch-hunting is now targeting Social Media and comments about cooperation between Movements across national borders is the talk of the day.   

Angela Merkel's Dilemma: If there is no Brexit deal, German car exports in danger?

A No Deal in Brexit negotiations could prove fatal for Angela Merkel as German Chancellor and Leader of CDU, after the battering suffered by CSU in Bavaria. Why? German Car Exports are vital for Germany's economy. CDU's leadership election by the end of this year will be the next thing to follow to know if Angela Merkel would still be German Chancellor by March 2019 when UK is due to leave the European Union. With the issue of Immigration as hot potato that is seriously damaging relations between EU countries, adding financial uncertainty at a time when German taxpayers will have to be asked to pay more to replace the monies provided by the United Kingdom to the EU is not the best move. Having said that, what would then be Germany's choices?

Considerations about the political future of Angela Merkel and of the ruling coalition are on the horizon. After performing very badly in a Federal Election, Angela Merkel firstly tried to form a coalition with FDP and Grünen. When this failed to produce a viable coalition, Angela Merkel reached out to try and persuade SPD to come on board. Looking at results in Bavaria, both CSU and SPD lost badly and Grünen was one of the winners.

Now, this is the political map. CDU is in coalition with CSU and SPD (both losers in Bavaria's election) and CSU could be forced to form a coalition with Grünen in Bavaria. What kind of policies can come out of such political mix?

More than ever before, Angela Merkel needs a deal to protect the German Car Industry to keep the German economy on track to be able to increase its financial support for the European Union. Factor 1: Germany needs whatever financial contribution it can get from a successful deal with the United Kingdom. Factor 2: Germany needs to make sure that its German Car Exports are not dramatically affected. There are reports indicating that Germany could lose up to 57% of its Car Exports.

Whatever happens elsewhere in the European Union, Germany is the country to look at. Germany was a key country to form the Common Market, later called European Community and now called European Union. If Germany falters, the entire project would be in danger.

There are many pieces of the EU puzzle. France is another key piece and President Macron is nowadays of the most unpopular Presidents in the history of France. His approval levels have fallen dramatically. Italy is at odds with EU. On the one hand, Italy desperately needs to spend to maintain some kind of economic stability and avoid a political meltdown but its budget needs to be approved by an EU that doesn't like big deficits. No one would have enough resources to salvage both the French economy and the Italian economy while other minor players like Greece are themselves in dire straights.

The EU desperately needs trade to stay afloat. Much of the "intransigent approach of the European Union" is based not on real strength but on fear. The European Union is big but very slow. There are far too many differences and inconsistencies between European Union countries.

A good Brexit Deal benefits all parties. A No Deal could simply accelerate the process of disintegration of the European Union.   

Brexit and Merkel: British journalists' myopia

 

Brexit and Merkel: British journalists' myopia

When you witness the coverage of negotiations about Brexit, much of the British mass media suffers from political myopia. They try to emphasize how much trouble the British Prime Minister Theresa May is in but they fail to understand the amount of trouble those seen as the stronger party - EU - are facing. In spite of the said myopia, I heard an enlightening question: how much coverage and interest there is in other parts of the EU about Brexit? The answer: not much. In fact, in the rest of the EU the political world is much more interested in a rift caused by differences between EU countries and in particular about the issue of immigration. Brexit is very low in the EU list of priorities given the enormous problems that EU is facing in other areas.

One of the main players - if not the main player - German Chancellor Angela Merkel faces the prospect of not being German Chancellor for much long. She is heading a last minute Coalition of Despair. If any of her partners - either CSU or SPD - or both falter, her government would fall. She could be out before March 2019. In a few days time there will be State Elections in Bavaria - CSU territory. In an effort to keep AfD at bay, the CSU has been increasingly critical of Angela Merkel. Whether this is an electoral strategy to fool German voters or genuine CSU concerns, CSU popularity ratings have been falling.

Germany's energy is Germany's survival

Germany's energy is Germany's survival

The request for Germany to get rid of 70% of its energy supply is a lot more that mere talk and comes at a crucial time when Germany - the most important economy in Western Europe - is going through a period of political instability with Chancellor Angela Merkel barely managing to remain in power.

Despite Energiewende (the policie of energie transformation towards increase use of renewable energy), Germany very much depends on energy imports include gas and oil and is one the biggest energy consumers. The main source of electricity in Germany is coal. Russia, Norway and United Kingdom provide most of the oil used in Germany. Natural Gas comes from Netherlands, Norway and Russia

The United States of America promoted the rise of Adolf Hitler in Germany. Because of the mess the USA got into in Wall Street, American banks deprived Germany of the money it needed to recover its economy and this led to mass unemployment in Germany than in turn led to the rise of the National Socialist German Workers' Party (NSDAP).

The present chaos involving CDU/CSU could look and sound like child play if the German economy starts to deteriorate and there are dramatic changes of the political environment. Once again, Germany would have to make transcendental choices: An impoverished and politically unstable Germany inside NATO or an Independent and Rich Germany outside NATO.

As always "Deutschland, Deutschland über Alles".