January 20th 2025: Let's Hope that Joe Biden does not start World War Three

Let's Hope that Joe Biden does not start World War Three

We are almost two months away from the inauguration of a new USA President and there are reasons to be concerned when Joe Biden authorised the use of long range weapons against the Russian Federation. 

The Russian Federation acted with extreme caution knowing that in two months time, Joe Biden will no longer be around. The use of intercontinental ballistic missiles against Kiev show that the capability exists to wipe out Kiev in a single move. The payload might be conventional but this is something that not even the USA and others with all their technology can prevent. The technology to prevent an attack with such missiles does not exist.

London is merely 15 minutes away from a nuclear catastrophe. The British Prime Minister Keir Starmer knows that. Paris and Berlin are even closer to a Nuclear Holocaust. Only the Russian Federation's rational and measured approach has prevented World War Three, but I reckon this is the last call. 

Whoever cut submarine communication cables is preparing for war. China has not been practising about how to destroy satellites without a plan and is preparing for the worst case scenario. A world without communication satellites is a world that will go back decades. Nowadays, everything depends on either communication satellites or submarine cables. Without advanced communication systems, the economy will be the first critical casualty and with it will go any sense of political stability. This goes beyond hacking, when there will be nothing left to hack.

The financial losses without advanced communication systems will be catastrophic in every possible sense. Somebody said that should the Gulf Stream cease to exist this would trigger a new Ice Age. The losses will be not less dramatic.  An entire way of life will be wiped out.

Nuclear sites will be immediately targeted and no one knows for certain what would happen when silos containing vast amounts of nuclear weapons are hit. One can only imagine the dimension, what happens when ammunition depots are hit. Although in this the case, the ammunition will not be conventional ammunition, but hydrogen bombs.

Britain is building depots for nuclear weapons in at least three locations in the United Kingdom. Should any of those depots be hit, Britain as we know it will no longer exist. 

 

 

Question marks and more question marks = Elections that can change the geopolitical map

 

Elections that can change the geopolitical map are taking place throughout 2024. We start with France in a few days time when European Parliament Elections could signal what will the potential outcome of the French General Election be.

In the United Kingdom, many assume that Keir Starmer will be the next British Prime Minister. Is this set in stone?

And in the USA, please have a look at those running as Vice-Presidential Candidates. We should not underestimate the possibility of Vice-Presidential Candidates becoming key figures during the next mandate starting in 2024. Will the outcome of these elections be clear enough to avoid the precedent of litigation when elections in certain states were strongly contested?

There are important developments happening not only in Eastern Europe and in the Middle East. In October 2025, Federal Elections in Germany. In the Federal Election of 2021, the SPD - head of the ruling coalition with FDP and Grüne - 23.4% of the vote. It now has an expectation of vote of 15%. FDP had 11.4% and it now has 5%, while Grüne had 14.7% and it now has 12%. CDU had 24.2 % and it now has 30%. In any case, results point towards yet another coalition.

The impact of what is happening in Germany has had obvious consequences - all members of the present coalition have seen their support going down. In 2021, 23.4 plus 11.4 plus 14.7 = 49.5 

Today, support for the coalition is 15 plus 5 plus 12 = 32

Alternative für Deutschland has the same level of support that Grüne and FDP have put together. But other surveys indicate that SPD has 15% and AfD has 17%. This means that Alternative für Deutschland has more support than the political party that is now ruling Germany. Should anything major happen, how will any major event - war included - affect the outcome of German elections?

In a few months time, the warmongers of today will be history

Whether it is USA, Britain, Germany, France, et cetera, one thing is certain: key warmongers of today will not be around for long.

How much time has Biden left? How much time has Rishi Sunak left? How much time Scholz and Macron have left?

Look at America. What is happening in Latin America? There was a time when in Uruguay the Colorado Party has an almost completely monopoly of power. Then came the Partido National, the other Conservative Party of Uruguay. What happened next? The Frente Amplio (Broad Front) took the reins of power and the conservative parties of Uruguay could only come back as a coalition. 

What is happening in Argentina, in Chile, in Brazil, even in Bolivia? The old certainties have disappeared. The Partido Justicialista arrived completely divided in the October round of elections to select the new Argentinian Parliament - with barely 30 something of support compared to a completely political grouping that also got 30 something. Now, we wait for the second round of elections to see who is elected President of Argentina and on what basis. If Milei manages to attract the attention of younger generations chances are that he could be the winner replacing both Justicialistas and Radicales. But as political commentators remarked during the first round of elections, the issue is fundamentally not who is in charge but what can whoever is in charge do to revert a 134% rate of inflation.

Strategies to scare people and deter them from supporting alternative political forces are failing to do the job. People don't want continuity. They want positive changes. They are tired of a bit of the same. In Germany of all places the idea of banning a political force that already represents more than twenty per cent of the electors is a sign of desperation. Olaf Scholz knows that he is walking on a high rope with failing political partners. The SPD tried to distance itself from CDU/CSU as coalition member precisely because it was losing support. FPD is losing support and SPD itself is losing support. So how will the German coalition last? In spite of what politicians and mass media say, how feasible is a coalition of Alternative für Deutschland and other conservative groups. In the days of Angela Merkel, local CDU representatives were comfortable enough to work together with Alternative für Deutschland.

France is a bit of a puzzle. Macron is unpopular, but fears about the rise of Rassemblement National motivated some people to support what they did not like. Marine Le Pen did the right thing by choosing to have different young leaders to attract younger generations of voters.

Both in Germany and in France, political parties are exploiting what is happening in Palestine. Never mind what is happening in Palestine if what happens in Palestine helps them promote a certain narrative seeking to advance Nationalism in Germany and in France. Are you really and truly German? Are you really and truly French? Politics moves towards identity politics. You belong or you don't belong. You are part of the national culture or you are not part of the national culture. Multiculturalism is seen as a failure and Identity politics is no friend of Multiculturalism.

In Britain, with differences in political language approach, the message is clear: 'Multiculturalism is becoming a National Security issue' and the Home Secretary - herself a member of an ethnic minority - is investing a lot of political capital going against Multiculturalism. She does not explicitily say it, but the nature of what she is saying is obviously going against Multiculturalism. Other political operators are less shy and strictly say 'that is not British, they are not British'. She is diving the country and Mosques are becoming a target again. Not a target for people like Paul Golding that has dedicated his political career to attack Mulisms. They are becoming a target for the privileged political classes, because the privileged classes are closer to Jewish interests than they are to Muslim interests.

For one reason or another, Identity Politics is being promoted by people who used to say that they stood against Identity Politics. In a reversal of roles, Identity Politics is not been promoted by now defunct political forces like the BNP, the National Front or Britain First. Identity Politics is coming from the very top of British politics. Listen to commentators like Nigel Farage. What is he constantly talking about?

Whatever happens today you must remember that the warmongers of today will shortly be history. Even hawkish scarecrow Mr John Bolton might not be around too long. He criticizes Joe Biden saying that Jo Biden is not aggressive enough. Well, John Bolton was fired by President Trump because John Bolton wanted President Trump to be more aggressive. In retirement, a few cups of lime tea will do John Bolton a lot of good.

 

 

Palestine: Present troubles were triggered by the United Kingdom

Until 1948, Palestine was Palestine, but then Britain intervened and troubles began. After tne initial partition of Palestine, Israel went on swallowing bits and pieces of whatever was left of Palestine and this could only come at a price: a series of wars and atrocities that led to what is happening right now. Western powers completely ignored the local populations and newcomers from all over Europe settled down in what is now Israel. Present inhabitants mainly came from Eastern Europe and fron the then Soviet Union. Instead of integrating with the local populations, they brought their own customs and their own laws and their own systems of Apartheid in which local inhabitants were treated as second or third class citizens. Those who did not want to submit to the powers of the newcomers were isolated in ghettos that we know now as 'the occupied territories'. In fact, the whole of Palestine is 'occupied territories'.

British imperial myopia led to decades of atrocities and later on British mypia was replaced by American myopia and tragedies became a normal occurrence. We can talk about natural divisions and confrontations in the Middle East and Asia Minor, but we must also talk about how Western Powers benefitted from those divisions and confrontations to exploit natural resources that fed the industrial apparatus of the Developed World. For the USA, Britain and others people did not count at all. All they cared about was oil and their own geopolitical interests. They, the supposed heroes of Democracy, have no hesitation when supporting the exploitation of local populations by tyrannical rules. Tyrannical rulers only bother them if they are tyrannical rulers that they cannot control. As long as Saddam Hussein followed the diktats of the USA, he was a good dictator. The moment he turned againt US interests, he had to be eliminated. The same rules applied and apply to other regimes across the world. 

In Latin America, Henry Kissinger was the big mover of the so called Condor Plan, a system of cooperation between Latin American military dictatorships. The USA trained killers that terrorized their own peoples and torture and murder became commonplace with the full support of the US State Department. Now, President Biden talks about 'full support for Israel'. He does not even bother to mention that there are two sides in the conflict, but it is understandable since US has only cared for one side of those in the conflict. The USA does not give a damn about justice and human rights and this is easy to understand since certain peoples are not even seen as human beings. Those who are not part of the US geopolitical calculations do not exist and are totally expendable.

  

Ukraine: Henry Kissinger understands that diplomacy will do what armies cannot do and vice versa

 

Henry Kissinger understands, better that anybody else, that diplomacy will do what armies cannot do and vice versa.

Since the end of the Twentieth Century, Gun Ho policies have led the USA nowhere and one adventure after another has ended in disaster.

It took more than 20 years to fight a war that started with George Bush Jr and finished with Jo Biden in a rather inconclusive manner with Taliban once again in control of Afghanistan. Iraq was completely destabilised entire regions leading to a series of ongoing regional conflicts that have made the world less safe.

When it comes to Ukraine, USA is faring no better in a war by proxy that threatens to totally destroy Ukraine. It is costly for American taxpayers and it is costly for Ukraine in human lives, in a country in which those who went to the front are surrendering in throws and those who were supposed to go the front are hiding to avoid conscription.

Henry Kissinger proposed partition with Ukraine keeping areas that are not ethnically Russian. Taking the fuel away from the fire, the fire has nothing else to keep it going. With utmost regularity, the Biden Administration is having to ask Congress for vast amounts of money - not to keep the costly apparatus of the US administration, but to finance yet another war.

There is also the fact that it will take just the actions of a single NATO country to start World War Three in Europe. Poland is the likely candidate to do such a thing if Poland ever deploys Polish troops inside Ukraine.The Biden Administration is running out of time to prevent the USA from being dragged into World War Three by the Polish government.

Henry Kissinger's proposal was aimed at preventing what now seems inevitable. President Zelensky is doing everything possible to enrage the Russian Federation and by doing this President Zelensky could up like the rebels of Bay of Pigs in Fidel Castro's Cuba. If you antagonise those who publicly support you their support is not going to last too long.

NATO is not a united front and they have conflicting interests. The EU is not a united front and members have conflicting interests. Once again, Winter is around the corner. With falling temperatures, energy consumption will once again go up and energy prices will once again be on the way up putting economies - once again - to the test. It is easy to talk about capping prices in days of plenty with high temperatures. When temperatures drop, prices will go up and this will be felt across Europe.

Giving diplomacy a chance will go a long way to prevent an even major disaster in a European continent  with so many countries in recession.

1945/2023: different times, same justification

 After the bloody battles in the Pacific, President Truman took a momentous decision to prevent a huge number of American casualties during the assault on the Japanese mainland. Hiroshima and Nagasaki. President Truman took care of American interests. Today, Secretary Blinken says that the Russian Federation will use nuclear weapons to put an end to the conflict in Ukraine. Well, the Russian Federation will follow the American example do what is best for Russian interests.

After Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Japan recovered and went on to become one of the great nations of the Developed World. The war in Afghanistan lasted twenty years. The longest war of the century until now. The conflict in Ukraine has lasted more than a year and the Russian Federation might decide that enough is enough and do what USA did in 1945.

This a real possibility and all those seeking to prolong the conflict by supporting one of the sides in the conflict must take this into consideration. If nuclear devices are detonated in Ukraine, bordering countries will the first to be affected. The power of modern nuclear devices is vastly superior and therefore the level of destruction will be much greater and, as the world revolves, air and water will be contaminated. Those who remember the effects of Chernobyl should think about what is coming their way.

At this point, all warmongering attitudes and provision of armament should come to a halt. The likes of Warsaw that suffered under the German assault of 1939 with conventional weapons should take into account the destruction caused by an invisible enemy called nuclear radiation. The consequences of destruction caused by conventional weapons can be dealt with in the short term. The consequences of radiation pollution will last for many years to come rendering entire areas totally uninhabitable. Although Japan ultimately recovered, the legacy was thousands of lives affected for many generations to come. Cancer, birth defects and the like.

If Secretary Blinken is really and trully concerned and if he believes that the use of nuclear weapons is a certain possibility, he should advice President Biden that a strategy change is needed. The more fuel is added to the fire the closer we get to a nuclear reality. 

President Biden publicly threatened that he would order the destruction of Nord Stream pipelines

 President Biden publicly threatened that he would order the destruction of Nord Stream pipelines. USA damaged pipelines. Here is the confession of the President of the USA.

Democrats have two houses of Congress and Biden fails to push legislation through?

 

President Biden in the first two years of his presidential mandate fails to push legislation through Congress despite having majorities in both houses.

He travelled to Saudi Arabia to persuade Saudi Arabia to produce more oil to lower market prices, failed to persuade Saudi Arabia and managed to push up oil prices.

And what will happen in the mid-term elections? Will Democrats lose legislative control with President Biden turning himself into a lame duck President?

This is what America has to face at a very dangerous time in its history.

On the other side of the Atlantic, President Zelenskiy cannot trust his own intellgence officers and sacked none other than the chief intelligence official saying that Ukrainian intelligence services have been infiltrated and this is happening during an ongoing military conflict that Ukraine is losing despite the best propaganda efforts of the BBC, SKY, CNN and other Western media that want to maintain the 'Stalingrad ilusion of a winning Wehrmacht' but this time in Ukraine.

As temperatures soar we might be inclined to forget that temperatures will fall and that Europe will pay a very high price for the so called energy crisis and it is not going to be merely about economics, and issue that is already generating social unrest and will ultimately lead to political crisis and more.

If things don't change soon, this will be the Democrats' Vietnam. Jimmy Carter lost the opportunity of a second presidential mandate because of Iran and the failed rescue attempt of the hostages in Teheran. The withdrawal from Afghanistan was a clear indication that the present American government is not on top of its briefing. It was a popularity disaster as well as a military disaster. Could yet another crisis - this time a financial crisis - sink the Democrats' ship and open to the way to a return of the Republican Party?  

Today was TUC, next week RMT and in the coming weeks it will be education and NHS

 

Today, it was the TUC. Next week it will be RMT and in the coming weeks it will be education and NHS. All started with sanctions against the Russian Federation and following actions that led not only to higher energy prices, but also to suspension of supplies that are turning Europe into a battlefield. This is not just about Ukraine. This is about Europe and about how Europe can withstand the stupidity of the United States of America under a pretty incompetent President Biden that keeps falling and falling and not just in political terms. A sudden physical fall could put an end to his presidency and this opens a whole new can of worms.

In Germany, the survival of the ruling coalition is being questioned as Chancellor Olaf Sholz finds against between a rock and a hard place. In Britain, the ruling Conservative Party is struggling to keep some kind of composture. In the following days several by-elections will put the Conservative Party once again to the test after a series of devious sexual behaviour that led to resignations surrounded by scandals including a conviction of a Member of Parliament accused of molesting a minor.

The Bank of England, once again, raised the basic interest rate as a reflection of what has just happened in the USA where the Federal Reserve put up the basic interest rate to curb inflation that the Federal Reseve itself contributed to create by printing vast amounts of currency. The British Treasury is exhausted and with every 'adjustment' British public debt and British private debt keep rising and rising.

The Summer of Discontent could be followed by the Winter of Discontent when the impact of energy prices will be hitting the country a lot harder. Just accross the Channel, Germany is preparing a list of 'priorities' and big companies likes Bayer and ThyssenKrupp are talking louder and louder. The German economy is a castle built with dominoes and heads of industry are talking about 'castrophic consequences with inflation levels never seen before'. We know exactly what this means. With Europe's biggest economies faltering, political consequences will follow.

Adding logs to the fire: Will Biden go for war simply because the Democrats stand to lose the Mid-Term Elections?

 

Will Biden risk war with the Russian Federation and lead to widespread war in Europe simply because the Democrats stand to lose the coming Mid-Term Elections?

In politics everything is possible. President Biden is one of the most unpopular Presidents in the history of the USA and after less than half term he risk losing the Mid-Term Elections for the Democrats. He also has business interests in Ukraine. Will he lead Europe to war simply because he things that he might rescue an ailing political party in the ballot? What an exchange! Ballots for body bags.

General Leopoldo Fortunato Galtieri went to war in a desperate effort to save the military regime in Argentina. Now, in the USA, President Biden seems willing to kill millions in the USA and elsewhere for internal political purposes.

President Biden is adding logs to the fire for one reason only which is to increase the chances of having a widespread European war. Ukraine is just the excuse to justify murder on a major scale.

The Human Cost of Energy Crisis and the threat of war to make money

 

When the President and the Vice President of the USA so casually talk about war, lets be reminded of what war means. Neighter Joe Biden nor Kamala Harris have ever been closed to a real threatre of war.

In Britain, writing for The Guardian, Simon Jenkins says 'that Britain shuold stay well out of Russia's border dispute with Ukraine. Also in Britain The Independent states in one of its articles that USA wishes to go to war.

Before there is any major war in Europe, energy costs are crippling economies and causing prices to rise throwing more and more families into poverty. Can you imagine what could happen if there was a real major conflict in Europe?

Cost of energy in Germany are leading to major inflation rises and the idea that Germany will not be able to rely on imports coming from the East - namely the Russian Federation - is nothing less than a nightmare. Year after year, the political environment in Germany has become more and more fragmented. SPD only manage to win the Federal Election not because of gaining more votes, but because CDU/CSU went down dramatically. Germany is polarized between right and left and those who know the history of Germany know that this no good. 

Both France and Germany are pushing for talks with both Ukraine and the Russian Federation - a group of four talks - to bypass NATO and the USA. They do so because they don't trust the USA's intentions?  USA wants War in Europe, a war that will be completely detrimental for Europe. But greed in the USA has no limits. For several years, the USA has been stockpiling oil and gas and especially gas that comes from fracking and needs to make money with it. By blocking the Baltic pipeline between the Russian Federation and Germany, Europe becomes ever more dependent of American exports that the USA is sending to Europe as 'aid to alleviate shortages'. So there is money to be made and the American intention of going to war against Russia is yet another economic war as the illegal invasion of Iraq was an economic war.

Democrats stabbed USA in the back: Taliban wins, NATO is on the run and America kneels down in front of Taliban

 

America has surrendered. America has kneeled down and this is becoming a habit.

No more the proud nation of the Star spangled banner.

Taliban is now in command and BLM is destroying American culture from within the USA. 

Iraq was a shambles. Afghanistan is a shambles that surpasses defeat in Vietnam. 

The world of George S Patton depicted in the movie Patton sound hollow, meaningless, void of any historical realism.

American has been been stabbed in the back by a Democratic Party that has turned its back on America to promote every single anti-American cause that they can find.

Welcome to the new USA, a weaker nation that is now leaving the way wide open for China to take over to become the one and only world power.