Dear Helen Hayes MP,
Saturday, 25 January 2025
The Southport Killer was himself a victim, not that politicians and mass media care about it.
Thursday, 28 November 2024
When everybody is celebrating war.....
When more and more people who will not be fighting any wars are jumping in promoting war, you know that something will be going awfully wrong.
Mark Rutter, as many other war promoters who will be watching war, comfortably sitted in their offices or living rooms, could not care less about those who are going to die, including his own compatriots that rejected him in free elections.
The images coming from Gaza give you an idea of how many European cities will look should there be war in Europe. This is something that all those listening to Mark Rutter should internalize. Will David Lammy ever put on an uniform and head for war? Never. They can say 'we will stand. as many times as they wish, but the fact is that they will never stand where it matters. People fighting the war themselves understand the full meaning of what is going on. Mark Rutter will continue getting his monies paid into his bank accounts without ever having to face the possibility of being shot in the battlefield.
However, should a European War happen, then the battlefield will come to us. London, Brussels, Berlin, Paris and many other European cities will be part of the battlefield and your home, the one you have been working for and paying for for so many years will be turn to rubble with you and your family inside. Or perhaps you will be at work in an office or factory when the nuclear blast comes.
Sunday, 24 November 2024
January 20th 2025: Let's Hope that Joe Biden does not start World War Three
Let's Hope that Joe Biden does not start World War Three
Monday, 18 September 2023
Does Mike Pence understand what he is proposing when he talks about Americans being sent to die in Ukraine?
As seasoned American politician and as former Vice President of the USA, Mike Pence should understand the messages that he is sending to the American public and to the world.
Talking about American ready to die in Ukraine, he is not just talking about Americans. He is inviting the World to face World War Three and the use of nuclear weapons that could well fall on American soil transforming Washington, New York and other major cities into modern copies of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
Fighting in Iraq and in Afghanistan, it was all about Americans and few other participating countries that also had losses. Europe is a completely different cup of tea. If any Americans get directly involved in the fighting, all NATO countries will be involved and this precisely because an issue of numbers will involved Nuclear Weapons.
We understand that Mike Pence is biding to become the next Republican Presidential Candidate but if he is showing such careless approach in political speeches made before he even becomes a candidate then what kind of President could he possibly be when he has the finger on the nuclear button.
Americans should listen very carefully to what those who stand to fight for the nomination of Presidential Candidates and ultimately for the Presidency are actually saying. His words show total disregard for the certain risks of getting NATO directly involved in the conflict.
Many have criticized the Organisation of the United Nations and in fact the United States of America has disregarded the Organization of the United Nations more than once and has carried out military adventures without the approval of the Organization of the United Nations. But even taken such record into account, any such military adventures will terminate the Organisation of the United Nations. We are talking about Permanent Members of the Security Council of the Organization of the United Nations taking sides against each other. World War One signal the end of the League of Nations. World War Three will signal the end of the Organization of the United Nations.
One could say that if there was World War Three, the world would no longer need any such kind of organisation as the world as we know it today will no longer exist.
Tuesday, 12 September 2023
Ukraine: RAF actions in the Black Sea region will trigger war between UK and the Russian Federation
Black Sea is a battlefield and the British government is pushing Britain towards war. Any direct intervention is much more than provocation. It is an act of war. The British Prime Minister will a have a lot to explain if suddenly bombs start dropping in the United Kingdom because of an incident in the Black Sea Region.
This is not the Twentieth Century. This is the Twenty-first Century, a century in which a nuclear missile flying from Kaliningrad can reach London in 15 minutes, a missile that cannot be intercepted. Does Rishi Sunak think that this is a price worth paying?
During World War Two, the Wehrmacht did not have the capacity to launch nuclear missiles. No matter how damaging V1 and V2 were and in spite of the fact that they had to travel a lot shorter distances, they are nothing compared to a nuclear missile. To think that all main British cities could be wiped out in less than half a hour is a sobering thought.
Rishi Sunak broke a record by becoming the first Asian British Prime Minister - regardless of the fact that he was not elected by the British Electorate and was not elected by members of the Conservative Party, but appointed by Members of Parliament without the consent of members of the Conservative Party.
But if the Prime Minister happen to be in London when a missile attack takes place, not even the Prime Minister will have the time to leave London if London is attacked. He and more than 8 million Britons will perish.
Now lets look at the first direct consequences. There will be no British government and no Parliament. London will be a non existing city and people outside London will have to take over to manage whatever is left of Britain as a country. Democracy and elections will be a thing of the past for a very long time.
The first concern will be how to avoid a civil war caused by absence of authority. As the French saying goes, it will a case of 'sauve qui peut'. With London's population decimated and political authorities out of the way, chaos will immediately take over. For whoever manages to survive the impact of a nuclear device, life will not be easy. If radiation does not immediately kill any survivors of the first impact, many will suffer the consequences translated into all kind of diseases including incurable cancer. Riots and looting carried out by both desperate peoples and opportunists will make the entire city unsafe. All medical facilities and emergency services will no longer exist.
Somebody said that the next war will have similarities with regards to the previous wars, but that in essence it will be a different kind of war. In the 1930, France was preparing for yet another war of trenches similar to what happened during World War One and was totally unprepared for Blitzkrieg. As a direct consequence of the lack of preparedness, France was defeated in a few weeks. We don't know what fate has ready for us in the next war.
Sunday, 23 July 2023
Keir Starmer will say whatever he thinks you want to hear without actually meaning what he says
Keir Starmer's turnaround regarding ULEZ, about tuition fees and about two-children welfare payments tell you everything you want to know. He made promises to Stop Oil to get their financial support and to show certain factions of his own political party that he is truthful about environmental goals, but this is about it.
Keir Starmer is the kind of politician that will make meaningless promises. He will kneel down and tell you that he believes that women have penises and whatever else he thinks is popular only to turn against what he says if he senses that such statements will not bring him votes and his is oblivious to the feelings of segments of his own party that go against his declared official policies. If you need somebody that will take into account the entire country, Keir Starmer is not the man for the job.
As the budget to deal with illegal immigrants rises and rises, he will continue talking about open floodgates because segments of his own party have been indoctrinated to accept what is illegal and pretend that breaking laws and entering the country illegally for the benefit of criminal gangs is perfectly legal and normal. Such lack of consistency is dangerous as it is criminal. If you are a man in charge of enforcing laws and make a political career based on ignoring laws, then you are no different from a career criminal.
The Labour Party has quality politicians like Andy Burham. What the heck is the Labour Party thinking about when it chooses people like Keir Starmer. Things have got to the point when long term Labour supports are being preventing from standing and such is the case of Mayoral Candidate that chose to abandon the Labour Party to stand as independent because the London clique does not want to stand to represent its own constituents.
Andy Burham is consistent and experienced and it has proved it as Mayor of Manchester. Unfortunately, according to the Labour Party rules, Andy Burham cannot stand for Leader because he is not a member of Parliament.And what example is Keir Starmer giving to Londoners, when he turned around and accused Sadiq Khan saying that Sadiq Khan's policies lost the Labour Party the election in Uxbridge? Next year, there will be elections for Mayor of London and the London Assembly. Keir Starmer is dividing his own political party, having more political turnarounds than a merry-go-round, making statements about things he does not really believe, and failing to listen to Labour Party supporters.
Tuesday, 4 July 2023
ULEZ: London ULEZ has national repercussions
With London being the capital city and with millions of people coming to London for all sorts of reasons, the impact of ULEZ will be felt nationwide. People from far across the United Kingdom will be impacted and this has severe connotations for all involved.
Think about commercial transportation and this includes food supplies coming to London. If transport companies have to pay for every single vehicle that comes to London every single day then the cost will reach consumers with the speed of light. People have been complaining that food prices in shops and supermarkets are going skyhigh.. Well, from the day ULEZ is implemented those prices are going to go up, making London a very expensive city to live in. This is actual inflation. The pint of milk that farmers get very little from is going to be more pricey. Distributors will not lose any money. They will just pass the cost onto customers.
If driving electric vehicles is going to be charged by the mile then, yet again, costs will go up. And then you add up all additional costs. Parking spaces, parking permits, commercial permits for companies working in London. If you come from Surrey or anywhere else in the UK and you come to work in London, you will have to pay all additional costs. The loft conversion or refurbishment that you have been saving for will be a lot more expensive. What about gas, electricity, water, telephones and Internet? If service companies have to pay to move around London, they are going to pass the costs to you. Energy costs migth be going down, but as taxes go up the savings of lower energy costs will be lost several times - and especially because bringing fuel into London will cost more. Fuel is transported with tankers and if driving a tanker into London costs more then the cost will be added to you fuel bill. If electricity prices go up, then driving your vehicle is going to be more expensive.
Wherever we look at, there is a multiplier effect. How much in terms of salary rises will people need to have to afford to live in London? And even if you don't live in London, but you need to come to London, then you will have to be able to afford it.
What about key staff that commute? What about hospital restaurants? If transportation goes go up, the National Health Service will have to charge extra to feed its own staff that the moment eat with subsidized prices.
The impact impact of ULEZ is massive and it goes well beyond London boundaries.
Thursday, 7 July 2022
Moscow and London: How signals are interpreted
How signals are interpreted
Sunday, 8 May 2022
Conservative Party is being defeated by demographics
Whether this is accepted or not, the fact remains that demographic changes are changing the political map of England and in particular of London. There are swades of people that might abstain from voting Labour, but would certainly not support the Conservative Party. During the recent local elections in London, there were block votes and mixed votes. Block votes is when all votes on the ballot paper are for a single party. A mixed vote is when on the ballot paper votes are for different political parties.
After recent changes in terms of the number of wards and of the candidates that could be chosen to represent each ward, it became apparent that people in general could support Labour and Greens or Lid Dems on the same ballot, but very few could bring themselves to choose a mixed vote that included Conservatives. Another option, for many voters who did not want to vote Labour was simply to abstain in a sort of protest vote.
In Conservative ranks there is the view that 'Westminster is poisonous'. This means that events happening at national level are somehow putting off Conservative voters and anybody else who in theory would be willing to support Conservative candidates.
The race card and the socio-economic card play a huge part in local elections in London. The Conservative Party managed to lose the only Councillor it had in Clapham, Lambeth. Members of ethnic minorities would not support the Conservative Party. I have chosen the label 'ethnic minorities' when in fact so called ethnic minorities have become majorities in several London boroughs.
London politics is tribal and tribalism is very much undermining democracy when people vote along racial lines driven by misconceptions about what candidates actually represent. One can understand why Labour demonises candidates of other political parties as a way to keep itself in power, but this undermines relationships between communities. If politics is dominated by ghetto mentalities, and ideas about 'us and the others', peaceful coexistence cannot be promoted.
Saturday, 5 March 2022
The realities of Nuclear War
Correspondence also sent to London Metropolitan Police and
to Home Secretary Priti Patel
On the left, the image of London areas affected that could
be bigger if instead of a 100 kiloton bomb there were several nuclear heads
multiplying the destructive power. A missile can carry 14 nuclear heads.
Within the four inner circles, buildings will be erased and people will die immediately. Within the outer circle and beyond, radiation effects will take over. Some will die immediately and others will die painfully slowly. The descendants of those who manage to survive will be born with mutations and deformities.
During the evening, London has a population of about 8
million people. During daytime, the population of London grows because of
commuting to the capital. So the estimate is that more than 4 million people
will die immediately, the rest will die slowly suffering from high radiation
doses.
The Russian Federation has stated very publicly that any
no-fly zone will be a declaration of war while the Ukrainian President is
attacking NATO for not implementing a no fly-zone. Since central areas of London
are the site of political authorities and financial sectors, it would be
expected that most Members of Parliament will be killed in the first blast.
Buckingham Palace will be wiped out. Downing Street and other key departments
like the Treasury will be wiped out. The City will be wiped out. Government,
banking, communications, transport, financial activities will be paralysed.
London will come to an abrupt halt.
London will have 15 minutes to prepare for it and it will happen when Britain least expect it for maximum repercussion and dire consequences. This will lead to the point of having to declare martial law in the United Kingdom. Civil rule will come to an end. In the chaos, healthcare facilities will not be able to cope. The rule of law will collapse with authorities struggling to maintain public order. Perfect environment for violence and widespread looting. Judging by the consequences of the riots because of the death of a black man in Tottenham some years ago and the inability of Police authorities to cope and prevent the spread of violence and looting across London that included burning of public and private property, I doubt very much that in a nuclear attack scenario Police forces will be able to cope and I also doubt that Armed Forces will be able to cope as radiation levels in Greater London will be so high that everybody who enters the area will be exposed to deadly radiation levels.
Some
years ago, there was a nuclear accident in Chernobyl. For many years, radiation
exposure reached as far as Scotland. If a nuclear incident happens in London
(or in several big cities including London) the entirety of the United Kingdom
will be affected. The losses for Britain will be catastrophic. The human,
social and financial consequences will be catastrophic. The British way of life
will be wiped out.
This is why I feel so strongly that certain public statements made as knee-jerk reactions are extremely damaging and extremely dangerous. Cutting communication links is suicidal and this has effectively led to tit for tat reactions on both sides of the argument across the world. I always remind everybody about the Law of Unintended Consequences when events have a life of their own, when we lose control and end up just reacting to events that unfold and cannot be stopped.
I would suggest that only the British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has the authority to issue official statements about the conflict. I copy this correspondence to London’s Metropolitan Police because they will be the ones leading with first stages of dealing with the catastrophe.
Faslane and other military installations as well as nuclear reactors and communication networks including airports and port facilities are obvious targets. With the fallout, digital transactions across the United Kingdom will be affected and this means that every aspect of life in the United Kingdom will be disrupted.
Within 20 minutes, depending on the location of launching sites, most of what we know will be destroyed forever.
This is why I believe that restraint both in terms of what is said and of what is done is crucially important. Public hysteria promoted by mass media in the United Kingdom spreads across all levels of society in the United Kingdom.
Karl Hohenstauffen
London England United Kingdom
Thursday, 22 April 2021
Extinction Rebellion: From protecting the environment to criminal activities
Thursday, 1 April 2021
London Assembly Elections 2021 - Record number of candidates and of political parties
Record London-wide Assembly Member list
Official
list of London Assembly List parties/candidates for 2021 elections
A total of 18 political parties and 171 candidates
are standing to win the 11 London-wide London Assembly seats for the next three
years. In 2016, 12 political parties stood.
- A list of parties and
independent candidates standing for the 11 London-wide Members of the
London Assembly contest is below.
- The
14 Constituency Returning Officers will each publish their lists of Constituency
candidates
- The complete list of all
Mayoral and London Assembly candidates is published together on the London
Elects website.
The full list of parties standing in the London-wide contest are as follows:
- Animal Welfare Party
- Christian Peoples Alliance
- Communist Party of Britain
- Conservatives
- Green
Party
- Heritage Party
- Labour
Party
- Let London
Live
- Liberal
Democrats
- Londependence
- London Real Party
- National Liberal
Party
- ReformUK
- Rejoin
EU
- Social Democratic
Party
- Trade Unionist and Socialist
Coalition
- UKIP
- Women's Equality Party
Voters will receive three ballot papers when they
go to vote: one for the Mayor, one for the London-wide Assembly Members and one
for the Constituency Assembly Members.
18 political parties are standing to win the 11
London-wide London Assembly seats.
Fourteen London Assembly Members are also elected
to represent London’s 14 Assembly Constituencies. There are 78 Constituency
candidates – so 249 London Assembly candidates in total.
Nominations for the Mayor of London and London
Assembly elections closed at 4pm on Tuesday 30 March. The Greater London
Returning Officer is required by law to publish the list by 4pm on Thursday 1
April.
London Elects will send an information booklet to
each of London’s 6 million registered voters. This will begin arriving in
letterboxes from next week and includes a ‘mini manifesto’ from 17 of the
Mayoral candidates, the full list of Assembly candidates and information about
how to vote.
Important dates: These dates apply to both the Mayor and the London Assembly.
Polling station
voting:
Thursday 6 May (polling stations open from 7am to 10pm)
Count
commences:
Friday 7 May (9am) and continues Saturday 8 May (8am)
If you are registered to vote, you should have
received your poll card already.
The last day to register to vote in the Mayor of
London and London Assembly elections is 19 April 2021.
To vote by post, electors need to register as a
postal voter by 5pm Tuesday 20th April.
For more
information, please contact the London Elects media office.
London Elects Head of Media:
Alison Bell - 07887 832 918 or 020 7983 4228 – City
Hall
Follow
us on Twitter @londonelects
Wednesday, 31 March 2021
Record number of Candidates standing in the Elections for Mayor of London
Official List of Mayor of London Candidates for 2021 Elections
Since due to the situation generated by the Covid-19 pandemic the Elections due to take place last year were suspended, the candidates will be standing for office of Mayor of London for the next three years.
We have been informed that the full list of candidates for London-wide Assembly Members elected by proportional representation will be announced by London Elects.
The full list of Constituency Assembly Members elected by the system First-Past-the-Post will be announced by each relevant Constituency Returning Officers.
The complete list of all Maytor and London Assembly candidates will be published together on the London Elects website as soon as they are all available.
The following list indicates the order in which the names of the candidates will be printed on ballot papers including their chosen party or independent description.
BAILEY Shaun Conservative Party Candidate
BALAYEV Kam Renew
BERRY Sian Green Party
BINFACE Count Count Binface for Mayor of London
BROWN Valerie The Burning Pink Party
CORBYN Piers Let London Live
FOSH Max Independent
FOX Laurence The Reclaim Party
GAMMONS Peter UKIP
HEWISON Richard Rejoin EU
HUDSON Vanessa Animal Welfare Party – People, Animals, Environment
KELLEHER Steve Social Democratic Party
KHAN Sadiq Labour Party
KURTEN David Heritage Party
LONDON Farah Independent
OBUNGE Nims Independent
OMILANA Niko Independent
PORRITT Luisa Liberal Democrats
REID Mandu Vote Women’s Equality Party on orange
ROSE Brian London Real Party
Greater London Returning Officer, Mary Harpley, said:
“The Mayor and the London Assembly hold important and powerful roles. The winning Mayoral candidate will be responsible for issues that affect every Londoner – from transport and policing, to housing and the environment. 2016 saw a then-record number of 12 Mayoral candidates. This year, there will be 20, the largest number yet.
“It’s up to Londoners to make a decision on who will run the capital for the next three years. Our website www.londonelects.org.uk tells you everything you need to know about these elections and what the Mayor and London Assembly Members are responsible for. Remember also to look out for the booklet coming through your letter box in April.”
Voters will receive three ballot papers when they go to vote: one for the Mayor, one for the London-wide Assembly Members and one for the Constituency Assembly Members.
A list of parties and independent candidates standing in the London-wide contest will follow.
Fourteen London Assembly Members are also elected to represent London’s 14 Assembly Constituencies.
Nominations for the Mayor of London and London Assembly elections closed at 4pm on March 30. The Greater London Returning Officer is required by law to publish the list by 4pm on Thursday April 1.
London Elects will send an information booklet to each of London’s 6 million registered voters shortly, with a ‘mini manifesto’ from 17 of the Mayoral candidates, the full list of Assembly candidates and information about how to vote. To include a mini manifesto in the booklet, candidates were required to pay a £10,000 fee set in law.
Important dates: These dates apply to both the Mayor and the London Assembly.
Polling station voting: Thursday 6 May 2021 (polling stations open from 7am to 10pm)
Count commences: Friday 7 May (9am) and continues Saturday 8 May (8am)
If you are registered to vote, you should have received your poll card already.
The last day to register to vote in the Mayor of London and London Assembly elections is 19 April 2021.
To vote by post, electors need to register as a postal voter by 5pm Tuesday the 20th of April.
For more information, please contact the London Elects media office.
London Elects Head of Media:
Alison Bell - 07887 832 918 or 020 7983 4228 – City Hall
Follow us on Twitter @londonelects
- A full list of candidates standing in the Mayoral contest, London-wide contest and each of the 14 constituency contests will be available at https://www.londonelects.org.uk/im-voter/candidates
- Candidate and party descriptions are given as on the nomination forms submitted by candidates. This is how they will appear on the ballot papers (along with party emblems).
- The election itself will see nearly 3,900 polling stations set up across London on 6th May. The stations will be staffed by more than 12,000 people between 7am and 10pm. Another 2,000 staff will then be on hand to help with the count.
- London Elects is the body responsible – under the direction of the Greater London Returning Officer (GLRO) – for delivering and encouraging participation in the Mayor of London and London Assembly elections.
Thursday, 25 March 2021
Rebecca Sabben-Clare QC: knowledgeable or just negligent?
Rebecca Sabben-Clare QC: knowledgeable or just negligent
She took out a dangerous dog without a muzzle, lost control of the dog and the dog killed in Hammersmith, West London. In this case, the victim was a seal. It could have been a child. She didn't know how to handle a dangerous animal. As if this wasn't enough, she took legal action against mass media to prevent them broadcasting the sad news caused by her negligence.
Friday, 30 October 2020
Labour Party: Factional struggle Starmer/Corbyn
The fact that Jeremy Corbyn is no longer Labour Party Leader doesn't the problem of factions within the Labour Party go away. Curiously enough, the problem becamse a lot worse with the creation of the London Assembly, Devolution and the existence of City Mayors.
Keir Starmer was a star member of Jeremy Corbyn's Shadow Cabinet up to the point when an investigation into Anti-Semitism within the Labour Party started.
Keir Starmer, married to a Rabbi's daugher and with children raised in the Jewish tradition became the obvious contender to conter Anti-Semitism within the Labour Party and it was also pretty obvious that Jeremy Corbyn who had invested much of his political career supporting the Palestinian movement was a self-made target.
Sadiq Khan thought that becoming Mayor of London would give him the public exposure necessary to rise within the ranks of the Labour Party, but his association with Muslims involved in terrorism doesn't help. Andy Burham as Mayor of Greater Manchester is presently involved in a struggle battling with British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and has relatively a higher profile, adding to the fact that he is not part of London's circles. Andy Burham can claim has he is more relevant because he cannot possibly be associated with London's Labor Party nor with developments involving Anti-Semitism.
The Kinnock brand was damaged when the heir of Neil Kinnock was chastised for having criticized the policies of Israel in Palestine and this happens at a time when the Labour Party leadership is trying to distance itself of any possible charges involving Anti-Semitism or bias against Israel.
Putting aside personalities, divisions within the Labour Party have not gone away and cannot be attributed merely to personality feuds and under Lockdown the chances of organising a popular resistance movement are very limited. This means that this is a window of opportunity for Keir Starmer to counter divisions that could bring him down before the next General Election. Having said that, the fact that Keir Starmer is going after the man that he very publicly supported does not fare well for the Labour Party.
Being accused by the Equality and Human Rights Commission (EHRC) is no minor issue: The charges are:
- Political interference in Anti-Semitism complaints
- Failure to provide adequate training to those handling anti-Semitism complaints
- harassment, including the use of anti-Semitic tropes and suggesting that complaints of anti-Semitism were fake of smears
If the office of Jeremey Corbyn was involved, there is no way to separate Jeremy Corbyn from the charges being made. The first stage was to depose Jeremy Corbyn. The second stage is to put Jeremy Corbyn on notice. We could end up hearing about expulsion from the Labour Party, but this could prove to be a step too far. Jeremy Corbyn was supported by Labour Party activists against the will of the Parliament Labour Party that was wacked in the recent General Election where heartland Labour seats were lost to the Conservative Party. If factional differences lead to a break up of the Labour Party, any hopes of electoral success will go up in smoke.
Keir Starmer himself is under siege. Andy Burham has not been involved in the struggle between Keir Starmer and Jeremy Corbyn. Therefore, Andy Burnham appears to be the obvious challenger.
Monday, 6 April 2020
London under Corona Virus
London under Corona Virus
The lonely bagpiper standing on Westminster Bridge, pretty close to the Houses of Parliament and some of the most visited London attractions.
London is in lockdown. Most shops are closed. Amenities like restaurants, theatres, museums, galleries, and casinos are closed. Big companies are suffering the strain of having to close doors to the public and some have already gone into administration.
People are still dying in big numbers and there is even different versions of events indicating that there could be more than one strain of Corona virus going around. The education system is working at minimal levels and only to meet special needs. Only companies providing essential services are still working.
Another angle of the crisis is the fact that things are dire for those most vulnerable and especially those who have little or financial resources to get by. There are huge issues to deal with. How much social and financial damage would the country have suffered when and if the Corona Virus crisis comes to an end.With borrowing and unemployment going up, it is difficult to assess the repercussionms of the lockdown. Will it be a matter of weeks? Months? Years? The consequences will be long term.
Thursday, 2 January 2020
Sadiq Khan: London Mayoral Election 2020
Despite what happened in the rest of the country and in the Labour Party in particular, I don't think there is a natural challenger that could unseat Sadiq Khan as London Mayor.
Whoever aspires to defeat Sadiq Khan will have to have enough political weight to have any chance of winning against a London Mayor that built his own political profile regardless of the troubles of the Labour Party led by Jeremy Corbyn.
Regardless of his stances on Brexit and his statements on foreign affairs i.e. his war of words with President Donald Trump, I reckon Sadiq Khan could even benefit from his stances and statements because London is a completely different cup of tea when compared to the rest of the United Kingdom.
Who are the other contenders? Well, Shaun Bailey will be standing as Conservative Party Mayoral Candidate. The Liberal Democrats have Siobhan Benita who previously stood in 2012 as Independent. Siän Berry will stand for the Green Party. Sue Black will stand for the Women's Equality Party, Rosalind Readhead would be standing as Independent, and Rory Stewart, former Conservative MP would be standing as Independent Candidate.
Despite the fact that opinion polls indicate that Sadiq Kahn went from 62% down to 44% (December 2018 until November 2019), none of the contenders seem to have the charisma and the experience Sadiq Khan has. So unless there is a last minute change with a bigger hat being thrown into the ring I reckon the Sadiq Khan's mandate will be extended for another four years.
Greens and Labour will be fighting for predominance in the London Assembly. As it was stated in a husting in London before the 2019 General Election, the Green Party is a serious challenger and would do well on the London Wide List. The credibility of the Lib Dems was seriusly damaged with the loss of many MPs - including those who defected from the Labour Party and the Conservative Party and their leader Jo Swinson but they could do well enough to get Siobhan Benita elected as London Assembly Member if they play their cards right.
With regards to UKIP and Brexit Party and other political contenders, they were routed or not even stood in December 2019. Therefore, I believe that they wouldn't stand a chance. They would lose not just the election but also all their deposits.