Rishi Sunak vs Keir Starmer?

Recent years in Britain has been the scene of a political catastrophe, from David Cameron, Theresa May, Boris Johson, Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak to the soon to be Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Is this a fait accompli or could there be other developments in the making?

Looking at the teams - and this is about teams - what are the major differences between the two teams?

This is a specially tricky time both in national affairs and in international affairs. There are major concerns in terms of international events that could send countries over the edge. We need to look in both directions - across the Atlantic to see what is happening in the USA and across the Channel to see what is happening in France. If the unthinkable happens, whoever is Prime Minister in Britain might be dealing with Donald Trump in the USA and with Marine Le Pen in France.

Could we end up with a hung Parliament? Could the unthinkable happen leading to a Conservative win, whatever tight it might be?

If anything, apart from mass media reactions and the fact that not less than 73 Conservative MPs announced that they will not be standing for re-election, there is widespread apathy. Could the Labout Party be divided along national borders, ethnic differences and ideological differences to the point that an easy victory can turn out to be not just a tight victory but also a tight defeat?

Who can we believe? Can we believe mass media? Both major parties are losing membership support and voters are crossing new boundaries. Both Greens and Reform did pretty well all things considered and this in local elections - particularly in London. Could disaffected voters look for other alternatives?

Conservative government: What next?

 Conservative Government: What next?

Since the days of Boris Johnson and in spite of then then 80 seat majority, the Conservative Administration has been plagued by both issues that they could not possible foresee and control and by situations that arose because of measures they took that turned into yet another crisis.

The Covid Pandemic declared in March 2020 put everybody to the test and lockdown measures adopted to apparently tackle the pandemic generated a whole new series of issues, increasing divisions within the Conservative Government. It was about 'Lockdown or no Lockdown'. 

The start of declared hostilities in Ukraine was yet another test. Sanctions against the Russian Federation backfired and produced an energy crisis that destabilized the British Economy. The long standing stability with low prices and low interest rates gave way to higher interest rates and higher prices that in turn produced a series of strikes and forced the government to add more protection measures on top of the protective measures adopted during Lockdown to prevent a sudden rise in unemployment due to lack of economic activity.

Once the government started to regain control the crisis in Palestine opened a whole new can of worms. The fact that people immediately took sides reflects the tribal nature of Britain and this, unavoidably, led to yet another reshuffle to try and have some kind of equilibrium both in national terms and in terms of geopolitics.

All the way, from Covid, going through Lockdown, sanctions against the Russian Federation that led to rising inflation and the present issues involving Palestine, fractures within political parties became fairly visible. It is like walking on a high rope without a balancing pole. As the saying goes, 'keep your friends close and your foes even closer'. Loyalties are being tested to destruction. If Britain were to be involved in a real war tomorrow morning, this is a government that is struggling to survive until the next General Election due to take place in May 2024 and that will not be capable of dealing with war at home and war abroad. What would a General Election in 2024 achieve? For starters, it could be change, even if it is change for change sake. Having said that, when you look at what is happening across the home nations, political realities are much too complex to be able to foresee what the outcome of a General Election would be. 

North of the border, at times it looks like the SNP will collapse. At times it looks like any expectations about the demise of the SNP are very much an exaggeration. In Wales, the Labour administration might be unpopular, but then people might decide to stick to what they have got for fear of worse political realities. In Northern Ireland, political paralysis is a reality with Sinn Fein winning spaces and without a cross party agreement to return to the Northern Ireland Assembly. In England, the mainstream political parties are fragmented depending on what are the most important issues according to regions.

There are far too many issues that generate divisions both in terms of national politics and of international politics. You cannot promise one thing to please one side without alienating another side and you don't have the luxury of being vague in terms of where you stand politically.

Gone with the wind: Where shall I go? What shall I do? Frankly, my dear, I don't give a damn.

The now former Home Office Secretaty was expressly asked by the Prime Minister not to make a certain statement and she, ignoring the concerns of the Prime Minister, went ahead and made the statement.

Direct consequence? She is now out of a job. She left Rishi Sunak with no choice. She had to be sacked because she was underming the authority of the Prime Minister.

Now, as a backbencher, she can say whatever she pleases as long as she does not get herself in any other mess that could lead her to lose the party whip for bringing the Conservative Party into disrepute. After her dismissal she stated that in coming days she will have something to say. Well, it will depend on what she says and the way in which she says what she says. She is desperately to be controversial in order to raise her profile, but she is managing to raise her profile for the wrong reasons. Saying outrageous things that promote violence is not the right course of action. Ignoring the authority of the Prime Minister is not the right course of action. She aligned herself with those who are on a collision course with the Conservative Party.

The arrival of David Cameron in difficult times when it comes to geopolitical issues sends a clear signal. Rishi Sunak is now trying to surround himself with heavyweights and the former Prime Minister David Cameron might be invigorated after a necessary vacation after the battles that he himself had to fight to keep the Conservative Party together during the Brexit war. Let's see what David Cameron can put on the table to salvage a struggling Conservative Party.

It is an interesting time with David Cameron as Foreign Secretary and Boris Johnson as GB News presenter. What will Boris Johnson have to say about the new Cabinet?

  

A Prime Minister must have the power of his/her convictions and strength of character

Worrying sings appear when we see Prime Ministers and potential Prime Ministers falter and hesitate very publicly because it generates uncertainty and this is especially dangerous in difficult times. Britain is not any country. Britain is constantly at the centre of very difficult circumstances that can lead to international disasters.

We have enormous obstacles to overcome both nationally and internationally. A Prime Minister must inspire respect and confidence. Financially, politically and militarily, Britain is in the eye of the storm. The world looks at who is the British Prime Minister, almost in the same manner the world looks at who is the President of the USA.

More than ever before we need reassurance and the biggest problem for all concerned is that at the moment no British Prime Minister and no potential British Prime Minister inspires confidence and respect. Short-termism, hesitation, no sense of direction with decisions made today replaced the following day with decisions that go in exactly the opposite direction does not inspire confidence. Ordinary people are asking what those who represent them and those who stand to represent actually stand for and we don't get any credible information about the state of the parties.

It is usually said that we get what we vote for, but at this point in time we not even know what we are voting for. When you ask all the logical questions and either you don't get answers or get soundbites or fabrications instead of proper answers, when you are given a description that is totally at odds with reality, you have every reason to be concerned.

For more than a year we have heard talk about all kinds of very serious potential confrontations but when we look at the state of preparedness to deal with the said confrontations, what do we see? Total British military manpower: 73,000. There is talk of reducing the British Armed Forces by ten percent. How can anybody trust that what we are told is the truth, all the truth and nothing but the truth? In plain language, we cannot trust and we instinctively know that speeches and reality do not fit in. You cannot expect any serious participation in any military conflict given the size of British Armed Forces. We are not fit to fight in any external conflict and we are not even fit to defend the realm. When you are forced to use big ships to patrol British coastal waters and you are failing to keep Britain safe, you are not fit to fight any kind of war. Protecting borders is a sine qua non requirement for any country and Britain is failing to protect its own borders.

Thousands upon thousands of undocumented men in fighting age are entering Britain every year and what do the powers that are do about it? In fact, the numbers of those entering the country illegally vastly surpass the total numbers of the British Armed Forces that for many years have been suffering recruitment difficulties. When you look at recent announcement in terms of working conditions for members of the Armed Forces with the smallest salary adjustments when compared to other branches of the adminstration and of the private sector, you can immediately understand that this leads to widespread demolization. To start with, you can only have accommodation as long as you are a serving member of the Armed Forces, accommodation that you will no longer have once your leave the British Armed Forces. Then you will have to procure your own accommodation at market prices and you will not be able to save enough to do so because a private, for example, earns less than half the monies earned by a bus driver. When leaving the Armed Forces you will be poorer and force to leave in much worse conditions.

Neither the government nor the Opposition seem to care about the state of the British Armed Forces. Ben Wallace MP, the now leaving Secretary State of Defense, talks about quality being more important than quantity as justification for a ten per cent reduction of manpower. Well, in an international conflict you will need both quality and quantity and the British Armed Forces are getting neither.

UK: Smaller parties will not stand aside, even if it means division

What has become ostensibly clear is that smaller parties will not stand aside even if it means taking away votes from the Conservative Party. In years past, they would abstain. Not anymore. They believe that the Conservative Party has turned its back on Conservative Values and that they deserve to be punished.

Is Northern Ireland an integral part of the United Kingdom? The agreements reached by the Conservative government mean a de-facto separation of Northern Ireland that will continue under EU rule.

Has the government dealt with illegal migration? Absolutely not. It has come to the point when legal applicants seem to have the same rights as illegal immigrants.

Has the government dealt with environmental issues effectively? Absolutely not. The green belts continue to be built over and square kilometres of the green belts will be covered with concrete.

Local economies in the most deprived areas - especially in coastal towns - have been decimated firstly by COVID measures and secondly now by illegal migrants housed in hotels and community centres. Even when the weather was fair and plenty of people were willing to visit coastal towns and invest in their economies, it would be impossible to visit because accommodation that could be used for visitors is now used to house male illegal migrants.

To all accounts, the Conservative Party has failed to deliver on the environment, on migration, and on sovereignty. UK is not longer a souvereign country. So this is why smaller parties that have a nationalist agenda will also be campaigning against the Conservative Party.

When it comes to choosing candidates for the London Assembly, the Conservative Party is as divided as ever and there are those who say that all candidates now on the shortlist don't have a political profile and don't have the political experience to step up to the challenge. Some say this is the equivalent of standing paper candidates and defeat is the only possible outome. As the remaining contenders themselves stated during a husting in Central London, winning London is very much needed to have a chance of winning the next General Election. If this is the case, the outcome of the 2024 General Election is a given and it means total defeat if the Conservative Party manages to lose more local elections (already lost quite a few authorities) and several Parliamentary seats. The present feud at national level is also influencing the choice of candidates for the London Elections. We hear talk about teams - Team Sunak, Team Johnson. 

Somebody suggested that there are good reasons to create two independent Conservative Parties so that people really know what the political party they choose really stands for. 

Conservative Party: the gloves are off, but it is not about Labour. It is Conservative against Real Conservative

Any hope of reconciliation is very much a lost cause. If anything, the fight goes on. This is not a fight that started with Boris Jonhson's premiership. This started a long time ago. It is an ongoing war for the soul of the Conservative Party fought by people who have very little in common. Listening to Edwina Currie, you can hear loud and clear an outspoken campaigner for globalisation and total rejection of nationalist values. She explicitly said that she despises anything labelled national or nationalism. Her hatred directed against Boris Johnson came up loud and clear. There is not one Conservative Party. There are several Conservative Parties with opposite ideas regarding national policies and foreign policies.

I reckon this conflict within the Conservative Party trumps everything else. In this war, there will be no prisoners. They sense that this battle must be fought even when the price of infighting is the loss of the next General Election. Such is the animosity that reigns supreme within the Conservative Party. They hate each other a lot more than they could possibly hate political opponents from outside the Conservative Party.

If the issue is infighting amongst the Parliamentary Conservative Party - namely between Members of Parliament - the paradox is that a catastrophic electoral defeat could be benefiticial for the Conservative Party. 

If the Conservative Party is defeated in two by-elections, what party line voters are against? Are they against the Conservative Party per say or are they against the fact that for many the Conservative Party is no longer Conservative? Are voters hungry for a real Conservative Party? This is why any victory for an alternative party should be brought into question. Moreover, these are by-elections. We know that by-elections can be seen as punishment, a way to push a political party to stick to its promises. Voters know that without or without this by-elections the Conservative Party will still be in power until 2024 and therefore they want to send a message to Rishi Sunak to force him to abandon 'non-Conservative policies'.

Anger is growing against Policing. Ordinary britons are angry because the government seems to have allowed protesters to get away with murder. Change in laws means that legal migrants have now the same status as illegal migrants. This is an absurdity because it goes against the official line about countering, stopping, illigal migration, and many are fuming about it. The Prime Minister said, stated, promised, that under his watch illegal migration would come to a halt. It has not. And on top of that, illegal migrants are allowed to stay in Britain and even given accommodation and welfare benefits.

Local elections and by-elections with the feel of a General Election

In another time, it would only about local elections and by-elections. Apart from the fact that London has always been a focal point, this looks like a referendum that directly affects the standing of the Prime Minister and of the British government as a whole.

The scene for the local elections is already ongoing with selection processes of candidates in full swing. You have a chance to do a bit of sightseeing travelling to places where by-elections are due to take place.

What happened to Ukraine. Well, a lot has been said and done and there is mass media fatigue. After seeing a few buildings destroyed and images of refugees, all destroyed buildings and images of refugees start to look exactly the same. People want to talk about something else. Even the debates about Phillip Schofield and Prince Harry's adventures can become tedious. What else is there to be said that hasn't been said before? Like the falls of President Biden, after a while things become a bit boring.

Now, minds are focused on politics. Time for walking and talking before voting or not voting. 

  

Johnson Vs Sunak: The big loser is the Conservative Party

 

Rishi Sunak has played right into the hands of the Opposition by using a Committee headed by none other than Harriet Harman. Now, who is Harriet Harman? The MP standing for Peckham was so unpopular in her own political party that when she was on the list to appoint the next Speaker of the House, she could practically count on her vote only. Harriet Harman publicly declared that she was out to get Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak and Conservative MPs that made up the special committee played along. This is the state of Conservative Party that is now facing at least three by-elections in a row, that recently lost thousands of Councillos in local elections and that faces the propect of losing most if not all the seat that were won when Boris Johnson was at the helm of the Conservative Party. It was Boris Johnson's political dexterity that led thousands of Labour voters in the so called Red Wall to trust the Conservative Party. Now, Rishi Sunak has committed harakiri by getting rid of the man that gave the Conservative Party an 80 seat majority. Before Boris Johnson, Theresa May managed to lose a Conservative majority by calling an election that was an utter disaster for the Conservative Party. Theresa May's ill adviced election call was what allow John Bercow as Speaker of the House Commons to manipulate the democratic system to the point that even the unelected Judiciary had a say in the democratic process. John Bercow was later publicly exposed as a bully and was not even allowed to enter the Houses of Parliament.

What happens next? Well, Labour voters who trusted the Conservative Party because of Boris Johnson might not be around a second time. Conservative voters completely disenfranchised could vote for other political parties or abstain - whether they vote for other political parties or abstain matters very little. What matters is that they will not be supporting the Conservative Party. And the next question is: is the present Conservative Party a Conservative Party? The Conservative leadership under Rishi Sunak has not told members of the public that no new legislation is needed to prevent illegal migration. In fact, the legislation already exists and has international recognition, but the present administration does not want to implement it. If present legislation were used, no Rwanda schemes and no ship schemes would be necessary. Instead, cranky schemes after cranky schemes are abandoned at huge cost for British taxpayers and migration levels keep rising unabated. If your local economy has been ruined by illegal migration under a Conservative administration, would you still vote to have more of the same?

Smaller political parties that before used not to put forward candidates because they did not want to divide the vote are not going to be abstaining. They are going to stand up even if this means ensuring the demise of the Conservative Party because they say that what is shown on the label is not what is in the bottle that they have been offered.

Now, let's compare the two men's credentials. Boris Johnson was chosen by the electorate and by members of the Conservative Party. Rishi Sunak was not chosen by the electorate and he actually managed to lose internally because Conservative members chose Liz Truss instead. Apart from the election that allowed him to become a Member of Parliament, Rishi Sunak has not won any election and, even more, Rishi Sunak was not chosen by Conservative Party members. 

Boris Johnson not only won elections to become a Member of Parliament and Conservative Party Leader. Boris Johnson has a history of winning elections including elections to become London Mayor. Being a successful businessman does not make you a good politician. Boris Johnson has the political acumen that the Conservative Party failed to have this year when local elections were fought and lost, and acumen that is not going to be around at the General Election and at the local elections including the London Elections in 2024.

The next General Election is due to take place on May 2nd, 2024. In previous elections, the Conservative Party was wiped out in Wales and in Scotland and this time England will follow. And what will happen to investors' trust? What will happen to economic recovery? Britain could be on her way to become a gigantic Slough Authority under the rule of a political party that promises one thing on Monday only to change its mind the day after. Tuition fees or no tuition fees? Green plans or no Green plans? They promise something because it sounds nice and popular, without making the sums to know if they can deliver or not what they are promising.

 

 

Boris Johnson and Nadine Dorris resign their seats. What now for the Conservative party?

Boris Johnson and Nadine Dorris resign their seats as Members of Parliament. Will more MPs follow suit?

Undoubtedly, there is not one single Conservative Party as divisions regarding fundamental issues clearly show.

When the Conservative Party is just started preparations for next year local elections, including the London Assembly Election, water is pouring in into the ship. In the next few weeks, two by-elections will be fought - one in a marginal seat and another in what was considered until now a safe seat. Political commentators guarantee that a crucial seat will be lost and state that is a safe seat with a 20 or so thousand majority is also lost, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak will struggle to remain at the helm. The rule created under a Conservative Liberal Coalition is no more and a General Election could in theory be called before 2024. The so called Red Wall seats won under Boris Johnson's leadership are bound to be lost and several serving MPs have publicly stated that they will not be standing for election in 2024.

In a few days time, meetings will take place to select candidates for the coming local elections. Would you step in as a candidate given what is happening at national level? One major concern for local organisers is to get not just calibre candidates to step in. A major concern is to get somebody to stand as candidate. I guess paper candidates will be chosen in more than one case, people who don't mind to stand when defeat is almost guaranteed. Recent local elections were not brilliant. If there is a repeat of what happened in 2023, at both local and national level, the Conservative Party will be done for quite some time.

Another issue of concern is: will Boris Johnson be asked to lead a new political party - or as it has been called 'a new centre right party'? If this is the case and a new political party is formed, then the chances of the Conservative Party staying in power could be practically nil.

 
 

 

European Union could re-start war in Northern Ireland: Rishi Sunak hanging from a thread

European Union is bent on destroying the United Kingdom, but the nearest chapters could be very bloody. Forcing Rishi Sunak to accept unacceptable terms, EU could trigger a new conflict in Northern Ireland that could spread and affect community relations motivating attacks against Asians if such deal is seen as the actual partition of the United Kingdom and there are precedents. Prime Minister Theresa May was very quickly given her marching orders and there were no other repercussions apart from the end of her political aspirations. In Rish Sunak's case the situation is a lot worse. If anger grows against an Asian Prime Minister classified as a traitor, things could become extremely ugly. This is one of the reasons why Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is being very cautious. He knows that Boris Johnson and Liz Truss are not the worst that could happen to him and his family and countless of other families across the United Kingdom.

Many politicians, including some in the European Union, have claimed that they want to protect the Good Friday Agreement and Peace in Northern Ireland, but paradoxically they are doing their worst to destroy the Good Friday Agreement and Peace in Northern Ireland. The Northern Ireland Assembly has been paralized not once, but several times forcing the Westminster Parliament to impose some kind of direct rule. If a deal means the end of power sharing then the Good Friday Agreement will be dead and violent confrontation will flare up with little to prevent it. Because of the ethnicity of the Prime Minister, there is the certain danger that things could spread like wildfire across the entire United Kingdom.

What happens in Northern Ireland is being closely followed by external operators, and especially at a time when NATO is bent on making things worse in Europe.

Politics can change at very short notice and so can geopolitics

Keir Starmer

What happened in the last 48 hours is the equivalent of a political earthquake. Two political figures - Jeremy Corbyn and Nicola Sturgeon have been sidelined or so is that the forces that put them out of the way want to believe.

Nicola Sturgeon was not so much important as the Scottish leader that moved to break down the United Kingdom. She has been the tool used by those in charge of the European Union to put hurdles across the way of the Conservative governmenty in Westminster. She has been the outspoken defender of the EU against the British government. Who will have the political caliber to replace her and will the replacement follow the orders of the European Union? This remains to be seen.

No one apart from Nicola Sturgeon has the profile to play such a role and the Alba Party led by Alex Salmond will surely capitalize on her departure, in spite of the fact that Alex Salmond has been one of those targetted as part of the anti-Russia campaign. 

Some say that the Labour Party in Scotland will benefit, but this remains to be seen. The Labour Party is considered to be a London Metropolitan Party, not a national party, not a defender of Scottish interests at all and whoever has hopes regarding independence will not support the Labour Party.

The command given to Keir Starmer was to erradicate the left of the Labour Party that has been traditionally supportive of Palestine and very critical of Israeli policies in the occupied territories. Keir Starmer might not be Jewish, but his wife is Jewish and daughter of a Rabbi and their children are raised as Jews. Starmer married Victoria Alexander in 2007. The couples's son and daughter are being brought up in the Jewish faith of their mother. Victoria worked as a solicitor and now work in the National Health Service in occupational health. Victoria is originally from Poland and Keir Starmer stated that 'on her father's side there are mitzvahs, synagoques - there's all the traditions'. And also, presumably, all the related geopolitical allegiances that come with it.

Therefore, you don't have to struggle to guess what his views in terms of geopolitics and regarding the State of Israel actually are and this is why just a few hours ago he declared that Jeremy Corbyn will be excluded from the Labour Party and not allowed to stand as a Candidate in Islington, a seat that Jeremy Corbyn has represented for a very long time.    

In recent elections, the Conservative Party won control of the so called Red Wall, turning traditional Labour seats into Conservative seats. I wonder how traditional Labour and in particular Labour areas that have a predominantly Islamic population will react. Keir Starmer is a Metropolitan Londoner. It will be hard to persuade non Londoners and especially Northerners and Middle England. In the north, Andy Burnham, despite his retiscence to declare his aspirations regarding the leadership, has the right age, the right amount of experience and the right profile and as Mayor of Manchester can claim that he is not a privileged Southeasterner when a sizeable number of voters claim that Westminster has forgotten the rest of the country. In this regard, Keir Starmer's allegiance to Israel, his total contempt for the cause of Palestine, his inability to define what a woman is (surely he knows what a woman is, but he is afraid of straight answers that could put him on a collision course with segments of his own political party). To gain some support he will have to stop being a lawyer and become a politician. He will have to show courage and take real risks.

In terms of public image, he hasn't done extremely well. Kneeling down for the cameras was not his best moment. Emulating Boris Johnson by travelling to Kiev was not his best move either. His at best lukewarm support for the trade union movement did not dress him with flying colours either and it must be remarked that some critically important segments of the trade union movement no longer support the Labour Party. Will his charge against Jeremy Corbyn and his supporters win him many votes? Given the present political environment, the next General Election is for Keir Starmer to lose. Having said that, as we never expected Nicola Sturgeon to fall from power so ungratiously and so dramatically, it remains to be seen if Keir Starmer will be Labour leader in 2024. Will Jeremy Corbyn's supporters accept the invitation to leave the Labour Party? Will the Trade Unions that still support the Labour Party continue to support the Labour Party? What if the Labour Party is once again divided? Worse still, what if Labour voters as it has happened in recent times, decide to abstain?  

Ben Wallace: To be or not to be?

For British Secretary of State for Defense Ben Wallace MP the issue is pretty clear: to be or not to be? British politicians have been claiming that after the USA, Britain is the second most powerful country in the world and one wonders on what such claims are based.

Spending less than 2 per cent of the budget on Defense, Britain is below the 2 per cent required by NATO and with less than 80,000 troops the country is behind Germany in terms of capable combattants. Even Margaret Thatcher that is now in history as the one Prime Minister that was at the helm in 1982 when Britain faced Argentina in the South Atlantic was about to mothball the navy right up to the point when the country had to embark in a naval campaign for which NATO resources had to be moved south and private ships had to be used to transport troops. Lucky for Britain that the Harrier jump jets were available and were the key for success as Britain had completely underestimated the amount of resources it needed for such endeavour.

Today, reality tells us that Britain is not fit for war. Britain was not fit for war in Iraq and Britain was not fit for war in Afghanistan. Even when it acted as second fiddle to the US, its failings were immediately apparent. When you send troops to a theatre of war in vehicles that are not fully armoured and were only meant for riot control, you know that something is extremely wrong. As soon as they drove over landmines, British soldiers were turned into mincemeat. Britain's capacity to move troops around was very limited as there were no enough air transport resources and British commanders had to use American aircraft to move around in a theatre of war. 

Talking about the present conflict in Eastern Europe, if you give away British military resources and you don't invest to replace or increase British resources you know, once again, that things are extremely wrong. The country could run out of ammunition in a week. Britain build two very expensive sea mammouths at a huge cost only to realize that they were not fit for purpose. One of the biggest embarrassments were massive ships that were not sea worthy.

It was Ben Wallace that had to counter statements made by Rishi Sunak regarding the deploymenty of British jets in Ukraine stating that sending jets would undermine British security because it would trigger retaliation against the British homeland. But I am sure that it was Ben Wallace's awareness of the present state of the British Armed Forces that pushed him to act without delay to reject the promises made by Rishi Sunak as Prime Minister. Who could be the right Prime Minister if Britain faces the prospect of a protracted European War? I am sure that many Conservatives are asking such question. An opportunistic Boris Johnson? Bureaucracts like Lizz Truss or Rishi Sunak? Lizz Truss herself support a 10 per cent reduction of the British Armed Forces while at the same time trying to sound threatening on the world stage.

Eleven billion Pound might sound like an impressive amount of money, but it is just money. You need to train human resources, you need time. You don't build reliable Armed Forces on the hoof. Politicians and Church leaders seem more interested in promoting homosexuality and social decadence than in promoting a Britain that is fit for purpose and capable of performing in a theatre of war. In a country in which supporting illegal migrants is more important that supporting Britons, you know in which direction the wind is blowing. When local populations rebel against invasion and are labelled 'Far Right extremists', you know that the political system is rotten to the core.

Rotten to the core by militant homosexuality, social decadence and the destruction of British identity, Britain is not fit for purpose.

Countdown: Rishi Sunak becomes British Prime Minister

 

Rishi Sunak becomes British Prime Minister and this in itself is a bit like a Christian entering the Roman Colloseum to be eaten by lions.

Given the fate of his precedecessors in recent times, the newly elected Prime Minister is well advised to keep his friends close and his enemies closer.

Perhaps this is the idea of integrating his Cabinet with people from various sides of the political map of the Conservative Party.

Hopefully, his political honeymoon will last longer but, as always, in British politics 24 hours seem like an eternity and he is very much aware that he is cruising along very treacherous waters.

It has been well established that when the electorate votes, the electorate votes for a particular political party and not for an individual. Boris Johson managed to get a majority of more than 80 seats in the House of Commons and this, at least theoretically, would give him enough room to maneuver. Having said that, with such a majority neither Boris Johnson nor Liz Truss managed to survive. The issue is then not British voters as a whole, but loyalties within the Conservative Party. For many, having avoided a General Election until now is a blessing as many risked having their seats go up in smoke if a General Election took place in the present circumstances.

The next hurdle is January 2023, month when travelling fares are usually adjusted according to rate of inflation. The British government managed to alley fears about utility rates rises until April 2023, but it cannot go on providing lifeboats if inflation keeps going up. Although TFL is said to have been thinking about a 4% fares rise, TFL has no control of other areas of public transport. The present inflation rates is above 10%. Rises can only be avoided with bigger subsidies and in the end no one wins because bigger subsidies are paid with borrowed monies. If we try to avoid borrowing then we have to think about higher taxes or budget cuts.

Lizz Truss bet on lower taxes as a way of boosting economic activity. Rishi Sunak campaigned to avoid tax cuts and therefore will have to get better results to avoid entering a cycle of higher taxes and falling tax receipts that could ultimately push the country towards austerity budgets.

Inflation is eating away public budgets. If this goes on, very soon public administration bodies, local and regional authorities will ran out of money and will be unable to maintain service levels.

Conservative Party members argue that Boris Johnson was elected by Conservative Party Members and that his name should be on the ballot to elect a new party leader

 https://conservativepost.co.uk/borisballot/

More than 7,500 Conservative Party members support petition to include Boris Johnson on the ballot to elect the new party leader arguing that Boris Johnson was elected by the members and that the will of the members has been ignored.

Britain: When the Chancellor of the Exchequer and other key figures resign....

 

When key figures of the government resign is a serious issue, but having none other than the Chancellor of the Exchequer walking away when the economy is facing Armageddon is more than serious.

If there is war in Europe, where is the money to beef up the Armed Forces going to come from at a time when Britain faces widespred industrial unrest?

Look at the state of the second most important country in the North Atlantic Alliance. Who will want to take the burning handle of the pan? Any takers? The country cannot be without a Chancellor of the Exchequer at such a crucial time. After the FTPA was repealed on March 22nd 2022 (Fixed Term Parliament Act), could the government fall and an advanced General Election be called?

Some will say that the Conservative Party has a mandate until 2024 and that any changes should happen within the Conservative Party. Others will say that given the present state of affairs another General Election should be called to restore public confidence. What will happen? Political instability worsens economic instability and any uncertainty could lead to hyper inflation.

Liz Truss: Supports plan to cut British forces by about 10,000 to possibly go to war?

 

So, where there is danger of having to fight a war in Europe the best solution is to reduce even more the size of the British Armed Forces by about 10,000 troops?

In term of manpower the total number of the British Armed Forces is about 80,000. The Foreign Secretary Liz Truss go to a NATO meeting and support plan to cut down the British Armed Forces. Is this really happening? Is this the logic of a Foreign Secretary who is totally inadequate to be in charge of such a delicate branch of the British government?

When it comes to war or the threat of war, size matters and matters a lot, something Liz Truss seems to ignore. She then speaks to the situation in Asia and talks about the risk posed by China. So, let's be clear. Liz Truss MP talks about the danger of war while at the same time talking about reducing British military capability to deal with war. Does Prime Minister Boris Johnson agree with her judgement? Forget the so called 'Covid parties'. Forget any lies or cover ups. Forget about MP molesting minors or watching porn in the Houses of Parliament. Forget all that. We are talking about the real possibility of war in Europe and in Asia and we have got somebody that has no military acumen representing Britain in NATO and supporting plans to make Britain ever weaker. We all due respect, the question must be asked: was she appointed Foreign Secretary to embarass and weaken Britain? What was the agenda behind her appointment?

 Abortion: while everybody talks about geopolitical crisis and economics, an earthquake hits the USA

I don't think that many people were expecting this to happen. It is a bit of a 9/11 moment. The Twin Towers have been hit all over again. Some call it a Constitutional Earthquake. It is thought that terminations will be instantly banned in not less than 13 of the 50 states and that in at least 26 states the will be moves to ban abortion altogether. Anti-abortion demonstrators gathered outside the USA Supreme Court to celebrate the ruling. 

Now, let's look at the list of states that have what is called 'trigger laws' in place: Arkansas, Idado, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah and Wyoming.

The USA is changing direction of travel and what happens now in the rest of the Anglo world. It is reported that this evening there will be demonstrations at the USA Embassy in London. According to the ruling, the authority to regulate abortion is returned to the peo-ple and their elected representatives.

Christian Conservatives are turning the clock back. What else is in store to surprise us even more? This could be the beginning of a crusade to bring back a more traditionalist USA, a version of the USA that is closer to the version the Founding Fathers imagined and hope that America could be. Will the American winds reach Europe? Prime Minister Boris Johnson immediately stood up to criticize the move and said that it was a move backwards. Since when America sneezes Britain catches a cold, I don't doubt that traditionalist sector of the British society will soon been invigorated by the ruling of the USA Supreme Court and the debate will be re-ignited in the United Kingdom and elsewhere. What will happen in Hollywood? The movie industry created an image of the USA that people believe to be America itself. Later on, Hollywood openly portrayed a more liberal approach that promoted the acceptability of abortion and homosexuality. Hollywood changed America. Will America now change Hollywood? Looking forward to see how this pans out.

Labour Party talks about honesty? Let's look at the percentages

 Prime Minister Boris Johnson was first elected with more than 50% of support and now has got more than 60% of support. The Labour Party says that Boris Johnson should resign because of lack of support. Well, let's look at the numbers. With what percentage did Keir Starmer get elected Labour Party Leader?

Since the Labour Party says that more than 60 per cent is not enought to be leader of the Conservative Party, should Keir Starmer resign as leader of the Labour Party? Look at the numbers. Keir Starmer got 41.5%.

There was a time when the BBC used to provide accurate information. Not anymore and for a very long time the BBC has failed to do due diligence. If the BBC had done its homework, it would have discovered that existing data is against the argument used by the Opposition and would have avoided the usual distortion in its new broadcasting output that has degraded the BBC. Bias is one thing. Sheer stupidity is quite another.

The Men in Grey suits decide the fate of the Conservative Government and of the country as a whole without a General Election

Margaret Thatcher was never defeated in a General Election. She was defeated by the men in grey suits, a group of people from within her own Conservative Party.

This evening the fate of Prime Minister Boris Johnson is not been decided by the British Electorate and it is not been decided by a win of the Opposition Labour Party.

Between 1800 and 2000 this evening, a major decision will be made that could turn the Conservative Party upside down not just by replacing the present Prime Minister but also the present Cabinet and all it stands for.This is the closest we have got to a General Election because the decision made this evening will affect every aspect of politics and even geopolitics and therefore we could be jumping into the unknown.

There are several sides within the Conservative Party and up to the time when we know who will be in charge of the British government everyting will be in the air. 

Ukraine: Blockade or no Blockade? British foreign policy stances could cost Boris Johnson his premiership.

Western countries - especially USA and UK - have been supplying weapons to Ukrainian forces. Economic sanctions, bans and political bans have been applied against the Russian Federation and against private Russian citizens. No wonder then that when President Macron of France and others ask Russian authorities to lift the blockade of Ukrainian ports to allow safe passage for Ukrainian exports like wheat Russian authorities are not willing to lift the blockade. I don't think that after everything that has been done and is being done against the Russian Federation there is any mood for negotiation.

There is an ongoing military conflict and Western countries are not neutral in this conflict. There is a massive anti-Russian propaganda machine and some countries have gone as far as banning Russian mass media so a mass media war is very much part of the war in Ukraine and the United Kingdom is the main culprit in what is happening concerning Ukraine.

The mood for confrontation is pretty obvious and the level of madness is rising with the British Foreign Secretary Liz Truss MP now threatening that she is going to ban Chinese investors being China another piece of the puzzle of another potential conflict that could make what is happening in Eastern Europe look like a game for small children. The fact that Britain does not have its own foreign policy and simply follows what the USA wants or does not want is a recipe for disaster and British consumers are already paying a very high price for such short-sighted approach. In political terms, the consequences for the ruling Conservative Party would be catastrophic.

After the Covid pandemic and the cost of dealing with the Covid pandemic, the British Chancellor Rishi Sunak was counting on resources to repair the economic damage generated by pandemic and the policies implemented to keep the British economy afloat. Now, the British Chancellor is having to go farther along lines that contradict what many in the Conservative Party believe the Conservative Party should stand for. Prime Minister Boris Johnson has now become a very visible target within his own ranks. Never mind the innefficacity or the incompentence of the leadership of the Labour Party. The British stance on Ukraine could cost Boris Johnson his premiership and open the way for a return of the Labour Party to power.