Dear Helen Hayes MP,
Saturday, 25 January 2025
The Southport Killer was himself a victim, not that politicians and mass media care about it.
Saturday, 25 May 2024
Rishi Sunak vs Keir Starmer?
Recent years in Britain has been the scene of a political catastrophe, from David Cameron, Theresa May, Boris Johson, Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak to the soon to be Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Is this a fait accompli or could there be other developments in the making?
Looking at the teams - and this is about teams - what are the major differences between the two teams?
This is a specially tricky time both in national affairs and in international affairs. There are major concerns in terms of international events that could send countries over the edge. We need to look in both directions - across the Atlantic to see what is happening in the USA and across the Channel to see what is happening in France. If the unthinkable happens, whoever is Prime Minister in Britain might be dealing with Donald Trump in the USA and with Marine Le Pen in France.
Could we end up with a hung Parliament? Could the unthinkable happen leading to a Conservative win, whatever tight it might be?
If anything, apart from mass media reactions and the fact that not less than 73 Conservative MPs announced that they will not be standing for re-election, there is widespread apathy. Could the Labout Party be divided along national borders, ethnic differences and ideological differences to the point that an easy victory can turn out to be not just a tight victory but also a tight defeat?
Who can we believe? Can we believe mass media? Both major parties are losing membership support and voters are crossing new boundaries. Both Greens and Reform did pretty well all things considered and this in local elections - particularly in London. Could disaffected voters look for other alternatives?
Monday, 12 June 2023
Can Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage create a new alliance?
Can Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage create a new alliance?
As the Conservative Party stands today, commentators believe that the outcome of the 2024 General Election is a given: Keir Starmer as new British Prime Minister and Rishi Sunak to follow Liz Truss on the way out.
It is also said that the SNP stands to lose the next General Election thus given the Labour Party MP seats that it needs to win the General Election.
Now, it the success of Keir Starmer a given. There are many doubters within Labour ranks that don't see that Keir Starmer has traditional labour values at heart. The campaign against Jeremy Corbyn made Keir Starmer some friends, but also many enemies. And what about the A team of the Labour Party? Is it really an A team.
Another factor to be taken into consideration is that Scottish Nationalism might be stronger than many commentators like to think, such levels of emotion regarding independence that will make may Scottish voters who could be reluctant to support SNP the strength to ignore SNP's many failures for the sake of keeping the campaign towards independence going. If this is the case, then Labour might collect some seats, but the SNP might be able to maintain its electoral force. The Greens that have been SNP allies might benefit by allowing SNP to keep its mandate in Scotland while extracting, at the same time, some more concessions in terms of the environmental agenda. A bit like the Greens in Germany entered a coalition with SPD to allow Olaf Scholz to form a coalition.
There are already three test in the immediate future that the Conservative Party must face. One is the seat of the now Former Prime Minister and Former MP in Uxbridge. Another is the seat of Nadine Dorris. And yet another is Nigel Adams' seat. Uxbridge is a marginal seat. The bar in terms of losing Uxbridge is very low. Thus should Boris Johnson's supporters decide to abstain the seat will be lost. Conservative voters will have to decide regarding Nadine Dorris' seat and Nigel Adams' seat. Will Conservative voters decide to punish Prime Minister Rishi Sunak by abstaining?
In the coming days, should there be more resignations, Rishi Sunak's leadership will be under enormous strain. After the rout of recent local elections, losing three or more by-elections, and this on top of MPs - some from the so called Red Wall - that have not decided to stand for election in 2024, could lead to the unthinkable, but some say that the unthinkable for the Conservative Party will be like committing harakiri. the unthinkable has been defined as yet another leadership contest within the Conservative Party to replace Rishi Sunak. It was Boris Johnson that made the seemingly impossible happen. Boris Johnson as leader managed to persuade Labour Party supports to support the Conservative Party. The Red Wall successes were due to Boris Johnson's leadership and voters feel betrayed.
Some commentors say that many Conservative MPs did not wish to resign because it would be the equivalent of turkeys voting for Christmas. Let us be reminded that this is not happening right at the beginning of a Conservative administration. They would not be turkeys voting for Christmas because Christmas will happen anyway in May 2024.
If Boris Johson comes to an agreement with Nigel Farage, the Conservative Party could be a goner even before the next General Election. Rishi Sunak is not seen as a leader, but as an administrator. Given what is happening, Rishi Sunak could be a defined as a Caretaker Prime Minister. It must be remembered that Rishi Sunak was not elected by the Electorate and on top of that Rishi Sunak was not elected by Conservative Party members either. He is also remembered as the man who rebeled against Boris Johnson and was part of a coup to unseat Boris Johnson. It woul also be said that his reluctance to support Boris Johnson against what has been qualified as a witchhunt was a calculated effort to get rid of Boris Johson. It would very difficult for Rish Sunak to appeal for party loyalty.
Thursday, 16 February 2023
Politics can change at very short notice and so can geopolitics
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Keir Starmer |
What happened in the last 48 hours is the equivalent of a political earthquake. Two political figures - Jeremy Corbyn and Nicola Sturgeon have been sidelined or so is that the forces that put them out of the way want to believe.
Nicola Sturgeon was not so much important as the Scottish leader that moved to break down the United Kingdom. She has been the tool used by those in charge of the European Union to put hurdles across the way of the Conservative governmenty in Westminster. She has been the outspoken defender of the EU against the British government. Who will have the political caliber to replace her and will the replacement follow the orders of the European Union? This remains to be seen.
No one apart from Nicola Sturgeon has the profile to play such a role and the Alba Party led by Alex Salmond will surely capitalize on her departure, in spite of the fact that Alex Salmond has been one of those targetted as part of the anti-Russia campaign.
Some say that the Labour Party in Scotland will benefit, but this remains to be seen. The Labour Party is considered to be a London Metropolitan Party, not a national party, not a defender of Scottish interests at all and whoever has hopes regarding independence will not support the Labour Party.
The command given to Keir Starmer was to erradicate the left of the Labour Party that has been traditionally supportive of Palestine and very critical of Israeli policies in the occupied territories. Keir Starmer might not be Jewish, but his wife is Jewish and daughter of a Rabbi and their children are raised as Jews. Starmer married Victoria Alexander in 2007. The couples's son and daughter are being brought up in the Jewish faith of their mother. Victoria worked as a solicitor and now work in the National Health Service in occupational health. Victoria is originally from Poland and Keir Starmer stated that 'on her father's side there are mitzvahs, synagoques - there's all the traditions'. And also, presumably, all the related geopolitical allegiances that come with it.
Therefore, you don't have to struggle to guess what his views in terms of geopolitics and regarding the State of Israel actually are and this is why just a few hours ago he declared that Jeremy Corbyn will be excluded from the Labour Party and not allowed to stand as a Candidate in Islington, a seat that Jeremy Corbyn has represented for a very long time.
In recent elections, the Conservative Party won control of the so called Red Wall, turning traditional Labour seats into Conservative seats. I wonder how traditional Labour and in particular Labour areas that have a predominantly Islamic population will react. Keir Starmer is a Metropolitan Londoner. It will be hard to persuade non Londoners and especially Northerners and Middle England. In the north, Andy Burnham, despite his retiscence to declare his aspirations regarding the leadership, has the right age, the right amount of experience and the right profile and as Mayor of Manchester can claim that he is not a privileged Southeasterner when a sizeable number of voters claim that Westminster has forgotten the rest of the country. In this regard, Keir Starmer's allegiance to Israel, his total contempt for the cause of Palestine, his inability to define what a woman is (surely he knows what a woman is, but he is afraid of straight answers that could put him on a collision course with segments of his own political party). To gain some support he will have to stop being a lawyer and become a politician. He will have to show courage and take real risks.
In terms of public image, he hasn't done extremely well. Kneeling down for the cameras was not his best moment. Emulating Boris Johnson by travelling to Kiev was not his best move either. His at best lukewarm support for the trade union movement did not dress him with flying colours either and it must be remarked that some critically important segments of the trade union movement no longer support the Labour Party. Will his charge against Jeremy Corbyn and his supporters win him many votes? Given the present political environment, the next General Election is for Keir Starmer to lose. Having said that, as we never expected Nicola Sturgeon to fall from power so ungratiously and so dramatically, it remains to be seen if Keir Starmer will be Labour leader in 2024. Will Jeremy Corbyn's supporters accept the invitation to leave the Labour Party? Will the Trade Unions that still support the Labour Party continue to support the Labour Party? What if the Labour Party is once again divided? Worse still, what if Labour voters as it has happened in recent times, decide to abstain?
Wednesday, 15 February 2023
Jeremy Corbyn: No way back, says Starmer
What brought Jeremy Corbyn down was not Anti-Semitism in the Labour Party, but Jeremy Corby's stances on Palestine and the cause of the people of Palestine.
Jeremy Corbyn was brought down because of issues that very much divide the people of Israel. Jeremy Corbyn was also targetted because of his geopolitical views and because his views on economics. No doubts about that. Now, it is up to those who genuinely support Jeremy Corbyn's views to remain or not to remain as Labour Party members and this is something Labour Party members and voters will have to consider looking forward to the 2024 Parliamentary Election. There is no guarantees either in terms of Keir Starmer being the Labour Party Prime Ministerial candidate in 2024. Keir Starmer was brought in to replace Jeremy Corbyn and now that Jeremy Corbyn is out, why should Keir Starmer remain as leader? This is a case that Keir Starmer will have to make himself and especially when he is at odds with the trade union movement that very much finances the Labour Party.
For a man that does not dare to publicly define what a woman is, things will not be easy as another leader who came up with unsavoury stances on sexuality came to realise. Nicola Sturgeon said that 'the issue regarding transgender and transexuality was not the issue that broke the camel's back.' Well, Nicola Sturgeon in on the way out and perhaps not just because of 'the issue that didn't break the came's back'. As Nicola Sturgeon recognized, Scotland is not a united country and the SNP is not a united party and remaining as SNP leader was not a viable proposition as she defined herself as a very divisive leader.
Having stated that she has campaigned from a very early age for Scottish Independence, she clearly stated that remaining as First Minister would only undermine the cause for independence as more and more people will turn against her because of issues that are not related to Scottish Independence. She clearly stated that the longer she stays as First Minister politics will turn to be more about personalities than about a proper debate.Failings in terms of governance - the state of the Scottish NHS comes to mind - and controversial policies that are not supported by members of her own party - might have sealed her political fate.
And talking about fate, the Church of England is under assault. Militant Homosexuals are trying to force the Church of England to abandon Christian values in favour of political correctness and this is proving to be extremely corrosive.
From media reports:
The Archbishop of Canterbury, the Most Rev Justin Welby has spoken of being "threatened with parliamentary action" in an attempt to "force same-sex marriage" into the Church of England.
He was speaking at the global Anglican Consultative Council meeting in Ghana.
It comes after reforms within the church allowing the blessing of same-sex couples in civil partnerships.
The change was made after a motion was passed by the General Synod, the church's legislative body, this month.
Its position on gay marriage will not change and same-sex couples will still be unable to marry in church.
The Telegraph reports Mr Welby met with MPs at the House of Commons last month, and pushed back on further changes to its status on same-sex marriage.
Speaking ahead of the changes, broadcaster Sandi Toksvig said a meeting in January with the archbishop, last month was "very disappointing".
Ms Toksvig is a high-profile campaigner on LGBT+ issues, and although not a member of the church, she told the BBC she spoke out because she felt the impact of the message being sent out by the bishops was having an impact far beyond the Church.
The changes in the church have been unpalatable to some conservatives, but also fall well short of what many progressives had wanted.
Giving the presidential address on Sunday, Mr Welby said "many" members of the General Synod have "dismissed" his concerns about recent reforms.
He told those at the meeting, held in the Ghanian capital Accra "rules about sexuality in the Church of England" have been tabled for discussion as a "result" of growing atheism in the UK.
The archbishop said in the global north, Christian values of "community and mutual responsibility" have been "almost eliminated" in favour of "individualism".
Undoubtedly, Britain is in a state of flux at every level and there is an abundance of examples showing that the United Kingdom is a very disunited Kingdom. It comes as no surprise that more and more people will be tempted to take matters into their own hands to defend what they believe in and this is certainly a recipe for more and more confrontation.
Tuesday, 28 June 2022
Owen Jones: If Labour does not stand up for people, Unions will
Sometime ago, a high ranking Liberal Democrat, Vince Cable, proposed the creation of a new political force that would unite Labour and Liberal Democrat politicians. The talk about cooperation in terms of voting strategies in recent by-elections also suggest that something is cooking.
Vince Cable, like many other Liberal Democrat politicians are closer to the City than they are to the Trade Union Movement, and Keir Starmer seem to have turned farther right than his predecessors. In fact, getting rid of Jeremy Corbyn was part of the strateg, but all might no be what it seems. The Labour Party is split from the very top and The Guardian's suggestion that 'Labour's hostile posture to a newly assertive trade union movement could prove a costly error'. It is not a secret that Trade Union that finance several Labour MPs and that certain guidelines have been adopted in term of withdrawing financial support for those who do not support the Trade Union Movement as much as the Trade Union Movement wants to be supported. Even David Lammy came out saying that 'he does not support strikes'. Labour's stances are a double edged sword that can hurt its aspirations.
The Leadership of the Labour Party knows fairly well that the present troubles are not really caused by economic policies implemented by the Conservative Party. They know that there are geopolitical issues that are accelerating inflation and leading to industrial unrest, unrest that would exist one way or another under a Conservative government or a Labour government, issues that would undermine any administratoion regardless of political orientation.
By-elections are by-elections, won one day and lost the next. Some Conservatives are not happy with a government that they think is 'not Conservative enough'. They might prefer to stick to the old ways, talking about lower taxes, a smaller state, and so forth. Do we favour the use of more fossil fuels or do we favour the environment with less use of fossil fuels? Energy costs are going up and will continue to go up, pushing prices up and leading to an effective devaluation of the Pound. If you can buy less with your Pound, then this is in fact devaluation of the Pound or you can call it also 'a salary reduction'. Nominally, you might have the same number of Pounds, but due to inflation you will only be able to buy less with your money.
Monday, 28 June 2021
Keir Starmer: Keeping your eye on the ball
Wednesday, 23 June 2021
Batley and Spen: George Galloway launches a crusade against Keir Starmer
While Keir Starmer is busy in a game of chairs to maintain control of the Labour Party after a series of electoral defeats including Hartlepool and Chesham and Amersham where the Labour Party was put behing the Greens with a few hundred votes, the chase is on.
It was Diane Abbott, a close associate of Jeremy Corbyn - former Labour Party Leader thrown out of the Labour Party and now standing as an Independent in the House of Commons -, who said that defeat in Batley and Spen would be the end of the leadership of Keir Starmer.
George Galloway is another former Labour MP involved in a crusade to defeat the Labour Party in Batley and Spen - the seat that used to be represented by Jo Cox where none other than Kim Leadbeater sister of Jo Cox is standing for election.
Who can Keir Starmer trust inside the Labour Party shadow cabinet? Who can he count on should there be another leadership challenge? Every reshuffle is a bruising experience. Could there be a Labour Dominic Cummings in waiting?
As previously reported, the gap between Labour and Conservative has been getting smaller since the seat went to Labour in 1997. Now, Muslim voters that constitute a sizeable minority in Batley and Spen and other disaffected Labour voters most of whom voted for Brexit see little in the present Labour Party. If we take this into account then Batley and Spen is a very marginal Labour seat and ready for the taking.
Saturday, 19 June 2021
Could George Galloway win in Batley and Spen?
Could George Galloway win in Batley and Spen?
The present Labour Candidate Kim Leadbeater, sister of Jo Cox, joined the Labour Party with few days to spare, to be able to stand as Labour Candidate in a seat that has been Labour since 1997.
Having said that, Batley and Spen is a very special Labour Party seat. In Batley and Spen, 60 per cent of voters voted for Brexit and about 30% of the population is of Asian descent and mostly Muslim.
With Jeremy Corbyn ousted from the Labour Party, Jeremy Corbyn's associates stated that should the Labour Party lose the election in Batley and Spen then it would Keir Starmer turn to leave his post as Labour Party Leader.
It has been reported that the official Labour Party is concerned about the arrival of George Galloway in Batley and Spen and should be worried for several reasons. Apart from the fact the 60% of voters supported Brexit and 30% of the population is of Asian descent and most Muslim is enough to be worried. George Galloway's arrival could be used to oust Keir Starmer as Leader.
The gap between Labour and Conservatives has been getting smaller and smaller in favour of the Conservative Party. If George Galloway takes away just enough votes away from Labour to breach that gap, this would open the door to the Conservative Party. And what if George Galloway actually wins in Batley and Spen? He would return to the House of Commons and be there until the next General Election and there will at least the temptation for several Labour Party MPs to join him thus hurting the official Labour Party very badly.
Kim Leadbeater has already complained about 'external forces taking part in the Batley and Spen by-election. It is a by-election. Voters know that this would not change the present compositioin of the House of Commons and that at the end of the day the Conservative Party would still be in power. After what happened in Hartlepool and what happened in Chesham and Amersham where votes for the Labour Party were counted as hundreds behind the Green Party, voters might decide to give Keir Starmer a bloody nose. For supporters of Jeremy Corbyn, Keir Starmer - more than Boris Johnson - is the real Enemy Number One.
The official Labour Party has used Kim Leadbeater to play the emotional card since she is the sister of Jo Cox, but in doing so Labour Party rules were bent to allow Kim Leadbeater to stand as she has not been a Labour Party member long enough to stand as a candidate for Member of Parliament.
For those supporting Keir Starmer, this is about the survival of his leadership. For those supporting Jeremy Corbyn this is about getting rid of Keir Starmer and George Galloway despite being outside the Labour Party is a Labour Party man. For all the aforementioned, Batley and Spen could be a very interesting by-election to watch.
Candidates standing for election in July 2021
- Paul Bickerdike, Christian Peoples Alliance
- Mike Davies, Alliance for Green Socialism
- Jayda Fransen, Independent
- George Galloway, Workers Party
- Tom Gordon, Liberal Democrats
- Therese Hirst, English Democrats
- Howling Laud Hope, Official Monster Raving Loony Party
- Susan Laird, Heritage Party
- Kim Leadbeater, Labour Party
- Ollie Purser, Social Democratic Party
- Corey Robinson, Yorkshire Party
- Andrew Smith, Rejoin EU
- Ryan Stephenson, Conservative Party
- Jack Thomson, UK Independence Party
- Jonathan Tilt, Freedom Alliance
- Anne Marie Waters, The For Britain Movement
Monday, 17 May 2021
Keir Starmer: Captain, what are your orders?
What has become self-evident is that the Labour Party won certain elections in spite of Keir Starmer's term as Labour Party Leader and not because of Keir Starmer Leadership.
Both friends and foes keep asking: what that the Labour Party actually stand for? Now, Keir Starmer has come up with one word: Modernisation. He says that the Labour Party needs to be modernised to win elections.
What does 'modernisation' mean in this particular case? Can he be more specific?
The most important issue is to define what exactly the Labour Party stands for under his leadership. He is the captain of the ship. The shadow cabinet is his team of officers onboard and the grassroots are his sailors. Do the officers know what the captain wants them to do? Do the sailors know what the captain expects them to do? Where is the ship heading to?
Right after the election, the main complaint was that the party doesn't know what it stands for, that the grassroots don't know what the party stands for and that voters don't have a clue about what the party stands for. Many Labour supporters couldn't bring themselves to vote for anybody else and stayed home in despair. The role of the captain is to lead and this is exactly what Keir Starmer is not doing.
How many hours did the Shadow Cabinet spend criticizing the government? How many hours did the Shadow Cabinet actually spend talking about specific and detailed policies? He came up presumably to get rid of anti-Semitism in the Labour Party. Is that all he has to offer?
Being an experienced lawman, an experienced barrister, does not make you a political leader. Keir Starmer has a one in a lifetime opportunity to make a difference. The obvious question would be: Does Keir Starmer know what he wants to do with the Labour Party?
In 1972, Robert Redford starred in the movie The Candidate. The son of a former Senator got himself elected Senator. On the day when his victory is confirmed, his agent finds him in his bedroom in a state of anxiety and fear. Instead of rejoicing because of his electoral victory, he is absolutely desperate and asks his agent 'What do I do next?' and begs for help because he doesn't know what to do.
Keir Starmer is a good and honest man. He is an experienced lawman. He expresses his opinions openly, but this does not necessarily make him a good political leader. Jeremy Corbyn is a conviction politician, somebody that trully believes what he is saying, but not necessarily a good political leader either.
The rules of the Labour Party dictate that to be a Labour Party Leader you must be a Member of Parliament. This would not allow Andy Burnham to stand for Labour Party Leader. Because of his role as Mayor of Manchester, Andy Burnham was very comfortably re-elected a few days ago. Every leadership change can be traumatic and there are still open wounds caused by the manner of the departure of the previous leader. The Labour Party is now more factional than ever before. The next General Election is due to take place in 2024. There was a reshuffle when Jeremy Corbyn was deposed and there has been yet another reshuffle after the May 2021 Elections. People are going to keep asking: what does the Labour Party stand for? Captain Starmer, what are your orders?
Thursday, 4 February 2021
Now Labour wants to follow Britain First
Sunday, 2 February 2020
Another day, another Muslim terrorist attack in London
Another day, another Muslim terrorist attack in London
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Sudesh Amman |