Keir Starmer vs (John McDonnell, Nigel Farage and Angela Rayner)

 

Keir Starmer was employed to get rid of Jeremy Corbyn. This was his main job. In so doing, he tried to wipe out every one who was seen, openly or under cover) as a supporter of Jeremy Corbyn.

When started moving towards the right, Keir Starmer started creating a void in areas that have been traditionally Labour Party territory.

Keir Stamer won an election telling lies about what Labour was going to do. He made promises and turned promises into slogans. Like George Bush and the famous "read my lips, no more taxes), Keir Starmer proposed auterity on top of austerity. It has been an absolute disaster, given Reform the golden opportunity to make a very successful incursion into Labour´s traditional territory.

Many years ago, the Labour Party turned its back to the British working class and opened the floodgates to mass immigration, bringing in thousands upon thousands to replace the white working class that, left without representation, joined the National Front and the British National Party. Even a London Assembly Member elected to represent the British National Party was a well known Labour Party member that disillusioned with the Labour Party decided to joine the British National Party then led by Nicholas Griffin.

The working classes trusted the British National Party and the British National Party had resounding victories, including the election of local councillors (it was the official opposition in Barking and Dagenham) and had elected members in several local authorities, had a London Assembly Member and had two Members of the European Parliament.

Some years ago, a Conservative Leader, Boris Johnson, won the vote of the working clases in the so called Red Wall. Now, Reform threatens to do exactly the same by taking onboard former Labour Party policies, and this comes after a massive electoral success, having taken over most of the local authorities being disputed in local elections and turning other local authorities into no overall control, several mayoral seats and winning an additional parliamentary seat in Runcorn.

And what is the danger for Keir Starmer. Two factions are threatening his authority from inside the Labour Party. Undoubtedly, although John McDonnell was practically forced to become independent, people who support the line supported by John Mcdonnell can see this as an opportunity to get rid of Keir Starmer. Angela Rayner went all the way to the BBC, appearing in one of the main, if not the main, political programme of the BBC to say that she has no intention to challenge Keir Starmer. She should have added "not yet". 

Foreseen events like strikes in the state education sector, in the NHS and in several areas of the public administration, combined with comings and goings when it comes to economic policies will be fertile ground to cut short Keir Starmer´s Prime Ministerial Career.

Any more faux pas, any more mishaps, any more electoral disasters could be the iceberg that sinks the Titanic. Interesting to see the outcome of the next local elections, including local elections in London, in 2026. 

Rachel Reeves is a key player and her room for maneuver is schrinking in size one day at a time. She herself might decide to throw the towel and this would be an absolute disaster. Labour´s argument is entirely based on the economy and the resignation of the Chancellor of the Exchequer would be undeniable evidence of the total failure of the Labour Administration.    

Johnson Vs Sunak: The big loser is the Conservative Party

 

Rishi Sunak has played right into the hands of the Opposition by using a Committee headed by none other than Harriet Harman. Now, who is Harriet Harman? The MP standing for Peckham was so unpopular in her own political party that when she was on the list to appoint the next Speaker of the House, she could practically count on her vote only. Harriet Harman publicly declared that she was out to get Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak and Conservative MPs that made up the special committee played along. This is the state of Conservative Party that is now facing at least three by-elections in a row, that recently lost thousands of Councillos in local elections and that faces the propect of losing most if not all the seat that were won when Boris Johnson was at the helm of the Conservative Party. It was Boris Johnson's political dexterity that led thousands of Labour voters in the so called Red Wall to trust the Conservative Party. Now, Rishi Sunak has committed harakiri by getting rid of the man that gave the Conservative Party an 80 seat majority. Before Boris Johnson, Theresa May managed to lose a Conservative majority by calling an election that was an utter disaster for the Conservative Party. Theresa May's ill adviced election call was what allow John Bercow as Speaker of the House Commons to manipulate the democratic system to the point that even the unelected Judiciary had a say in the democratic process. John Bercow was later publicly exposed as a bully and was not even allowed to enter the Houses of Parliament.

What happens next? Well, Labour voters who trusted the Conservative Party because of Boris Johnson might not be around a second time. Conservative voters completely disenfranchised could vote for other political parties or abstain - whether they vote for other political parties or abstain matters very little. What matters is that they will not be supporting the Conservative Party. And the next question is: is the present Conservative Party a Conservative Party? The Conservative leadership under Rishi Sunak has not told members of the public that no new legislation is needed to prevent illegal migration. In fact, the legislation already exists and has international recognition, but the present administration does not want to implement it. If present legislation were used, no Rwanda schemes and no ship schemes would be necessary. Instead, cranky schemes after cranky schemes are abandoned at huge cost for British taxpayers and migration levels keep rising unabated. If your local economy has been ruined by illegal migration under a Conservative administration, would you still vote to have more of the same?

Smaller political parties that before used not to put forward candidates because they did not want to divide the vote are not going to be abstaining. They are going to stand up even if this means ensuring the demise of the Conservative Party because they say that what is shown on the label is not what is in the bottle that they have been offered.

Now, let's compare the two men's credentials. Boris Johnson was chosen by the electorate and by members of the Conservative Party. Rishi Sunak was not chosen by the electorate and he actually managed to lose internally because Conservative members chose Liz Truss instead. Apart from the election that allowed him to become a Member of Parliament, Rishi Sunak has not won any election and, even more, Rishi Sunak was not chosen by Conservative Party members. 

Boris Johnson not only won elections to become a Member of Parliament and Conservative Party Leader. Boris Johnson has a history of winning elections including elections to become London Mayor. Being a successful businessman does not make you a good politician. Boris Johnson has the political acumen that the Conservative Party failed to have this year when local elections were fought and lost, and acumen that is not going to be around at the General Election and at the local elections including the London Elections in 2024.

The next General Election is due to take place on May 2nd, 2024. In previous elections, the Conservative Party was wiped out in Wales and in Scotland and this time England will follow. And what will happen to investors' trust? What will happen to economic recovery? Britain could be on her way to become a gigantic Slough Authority under the rule of a political party that promises one thing on Monday only to change its mind the day after. Tuition fees or no tuition fees? Green plans or no Green plans? They promise something because it sounds nice and popular, without making the sums to know if they can deliver or not what they are promising.

 

 

Can Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage create a new alliance?

 

Can Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage create a new alliance?

As the Conservative Party stands today, commentators believe that the outcome of the 2024 General Election is a given: Keir Starmer as new British Prime Minister and Rishi Sunak to follow Liz Truss on the way out.

It is also said that the SNP stands to lose the next General Election thus given the Labour Party MP seats that it needs to win the General Election.

Now, it the success of Keir Starmer a given. There are many doubters within Labour ranks that don't see that Keir Starmer has traditional labour values at heart. The campaign against Jeremy Corbyn made Keir Starmer some friends, but also many enemies. And what about the A team of the Labour Party? Is it really an A team.

Another factor to be taken into consideration is that Scottish Nationalism might be stronger than many commentators like to think, such levels of emotion regarding independence that will make may Scottish voters who could be reluctant to support SNP the strength to ignore SNP's many failures for the sake of keeping the campaign towards independence going. If this is the case, then Labour might collect some seats, but the SNP might be able to maintain its electoral force. The Greens that have been SNP allies might benefit by allowing SNP to keep its mandate in Scotland while extracting, at the same time, some more concessions in terms of the environmental agenda. A bit like the Greens in Germany entered a coalition with SPD to allow Olaf Scholz to form a coalition.

There are already three test in the immediate future that the Conservative Party must face. One is the seat of the now Former Prime Minister and Former MP in Uxbridge. Another is the seat of Nadine Dorris. And yet another is Nigel Adams' seat. Uxbridge is a marginal seat. The bar in terms of losing Uxbridge is very low. Thus should Boris Johnson's supporters decide to abstain the seat will be lost. Conservative voters will have to decide regarding Nadine Dorris' seat and Nigel Adams' seat. Will Conservative voters decide to punish Prime Minister Rishi Sunak by abstaining? 

In the coming days, should there be more resignations, Rishi Sunak's leadership will be under enormous strain. After the rout of recent local elections, losing three or more by-elections, and this on top of MPs - some from the so called Red Wall - that have not decided to stand for election in 2024, could lead to the unthinkable, but some say that the unthinkable for the Conservative Party will be like committing harakiri. the unthinkable has been defined as yet another leadership contest within the Conservative Party to replace Rishi Sunak. It was Boris Johnson that made the seemingly impossible happen. Boris Johnson as leader managed to persuade Labour Party supports to support the Conservative Party. The Red Wall successes were due to Boris Johnson's leadership and voters feel betrayed.

Some commentors say that many Conservative MPs did not wish to resign because it would be the equivalent of turkeys voting for Christmas. Let us be reminded that this is not happening right at the beginning of a Conservative administration. They would not be turkeys voting for Christmas because Christmas will happen anyway in May 2024.

If Boris Johson comes to an agreement with Nigel Farage, the Conservative Party could be a goner even before the next General Election. Rishi Sunak is not seen as a leader, but as an administrator. Given what is happening, Rishi Sunak could be a defined as a Caretaker Prime Minister. It must be remembered that Rishi Sunak was not elected by the Electorate and on top of that Rishi Sunak was not elected by Conservative Party members either. He is also remembered as the man who rebeled against Boris Johnson and was part of a coup to unseat Boris Johnson. It woul also be said that his reluctance to support Boris Johnson against what has been qualified as a witchhunt was a calculated effort to get rid of Boris Johson. It would very difficult for Rish Sunak to appeal for party loyalty.