Showing posts with label Russia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Russia. Show all posts

Thursday, 6 March 2025

Unconditional Surrender: Lessons from World War Two

 

The words Unconditional Surrender bring echoes of World War Two to the present conflict in Ukraine. After the Battle of Kursk, the greatest tank battle in Human History, Germany knew that it would be all the way to Berlin.

It dawning on EU Leaders and UK Leaders that as a long as the battle goes on there will be no ceasefire and this is why they now understand that unless a permanent solution is found before forces of the Russian Federation reach Kiev there will be nothing left to negotiate. EU or UK could hardly stand as "peacekeepers" when they have been supporting one of the sides in the conflict against the Russian Federation.

Macron and Starmer should be under no illusion. This is why after making extraordinary statements they will be on their way to Washington. They very well know that France, Britain and others are fully unprepared at a time when they are facing extraordinary national challenges. Britain has no Independent Nuclear Deterrent. Without US support, Trident is finished. Without American aircraft, the Royal Navy has no jets for its newest aircraft carriers. No one has nearly enough the number of enlisted men and women to face any serious challenge. They can kick and scream against the USA, but they know that without the USA, EU and UK are finished. So back to the USA, to mend relations with the USA. Lord Mandelson was criticized for saying that UK should implement President Trump´s Plan for Peace. Now, France, UK and Ukraine go to kneel down in Washington and to accept terms of engagement.

Thursday, 30 June 2022

Liz Truss: Supports plan to cut British forces by about 10,000 to possibly go to war?

 

So, where there is danger of having to fight a war in Europe the best solution is to reduce even more the size of the British Armed Forces by about 10,000 troops?

In term of manpower the total number of the British Armed Forces is about 80,000. The Foreign Secretary Liz Truss go to a NATO meeting and support plan to cut down the British Armed Forces. Is this really happening? Is this the logic of a Foreign Secretary who is totally inadequate to be in charge of such a delicate branch of the British government?

When it comes to war or the threat of war, size matters and matters a lot, something Liz Truss seems to ignore. She then speaks to the situation in Asia and talks about the risk posed by China. So, let's be clear. Liz Truss MP talks about the danger of war while at the same time talking about reducing British military capability to deal with war. Does Prime Minister Boris Johnson agree with her judgement? Forget the so called 'Covid parties'. Forget any lies or cover ups. Forget about MP molesting minors or watching porn in the Houses of Parliament. Forget all that. We are talking about the real possibility of war in Europe and in Asia and we have got somebody that has no military acumen representing Britain in NATO and supporting plans to make Britain ever weaker. We all due respect, the question must be asked: was she appointed Foreign Secretary to embarass and weaken Britain? What was the agenda behind her appointment?


Saturday, 18 June 2022

Today was TUC, next week RMT and in the coming weeks it will be education and NHS

 

Today, it was the TUC. Next week it will be RMT and in the coming weeks it will be education and NHS. All started with sanctions against the Russian Federation and following actions that led not only to higher energy prices, but also to suspension of supplies that are turning Europe into a battlefield. This is not just about Ukraine. This is about Europe and about how Europe can withstand the stupidity of the United States of America under a pretty incompetent President Biden that keeps falling and falling and not just in political terms. A sudden physical fall could put an end to his presidency and this opens a whole new can of worms.

In Germany, the survival of the ruling coalition is being questioned as Chancellor Olaf Sholz finds against between a rock and a hard place. In Britain, the ruling Conservative Party is struggling to keep some kind of composture. In the following days several by-elections will put the Conservative Party once again to the test after a series of devious sexual behaviour that led to resignations surrounded by scandals including a conviction of a Member of Parliament accused of molesting a minor.

The Bank of England, once again, raised the basic interest rate as a reflection of what has just happened in the USA where the Federal Reserve put up the basic interest rate to curb inflation that the Federal Reseve itself contributed to create by printing vast amounts of currency. The British Treasury is exhausted and with every 'adjustment' British public debt and British private debt keep rising and rising.

The Summer of Discontent could be followed by the Winter of Discontent when the impact of energy prices will be hitting the country a lot harder. Just accross the Channel, Germany is preparing a list of 'priorities' and big companies likes Bayer and ThyssenKrupp are talking louder and louder. The German economy is a castle built with dominoes and heads of industry are talking about 'castrophic consequences with inflation levels never seen before'. We know exactly what this means. With Europe's biggest economies faltering, political consequences will follow.

Tuesday, 31 May 2022

Ukraine: Blockade or no Blockade? British foreign policy stances could cost Boris Johnson his premiership.

Western countries - especially USA and UK - have been supplying weapons to Ukrainian forces. Economic sanctions, bans and political bans have been applied against the Russian Federation and against private Russian citizens. No wonder then that when President Macron of France and others ask Russian authorities to lift the blockade of Ukrainian ports to allow safe passage for Ukrainian exports like wheat Russian authorities are not willing to lift the blockade. I don't think that after everything that has been done and is being done against the Russian Federation there is any mood for negotiation.

There is an ongoing military conflict and Western countries are not neutral in this conflict. There is a massive anti-Russian propaganda machine and some countries have gone as far as banning Russian mass media so a mass media war is very much part of the war in Ukraine and the United Kingdom is the main culprit in what is happening concerning Ukraine.

The mood for confrontation is pretty obvious and the level of madness is rising with the British Foreign Secretary Liz Truss MP now threatening that she is going to ban Chinese investors being China another piece of the puzzle of another potential conflict that could make what is happening in Eastern Europe look like a game for small children. The fact that Britain does not have its own foreign policy and simply follows what the USA wants or does not want is a recipe for disaster and British consumers are already paying a very high price for such short-sighted approach. In political terms, the consequences for the ruling Conservative Party would be catastrophic.

After the Covid pandemic and the cost of dealing with the Covid pandemic, the British Chancellor Rishi Sunak was counting on resources to repair the economic damage generated by pandemic and the policies implemented to keep the British economy afloat. Now, the British Chancellor is having to go farther along lines that contradict what many in the Conservative Party believe the Conservative Party should stand for. Prime Minister Boris Johnson has now become a very visible target within his own ranks. Never mind the innefficacity or the incompentence of the leadership of the Labour Party. The British stance on Ukraine could cost Boris Johnson his premiership and open the way for a return of the Labour Party to power. 



Friday, 1 April 2022

From today, countries that are hostile to the Russian Federation will have to pay for oil and gas with rubbles

 

From today, countries that are seen as hostile to the Russian Federation will have to pay for oil and gas with rubbles. To that effect, they will have to open an account at a Russian bank that will make the monetary conversion to rubbles in order to continue receiving oil and gas from the Russian Federation.

The measure was not unexpected and it makes perfect sense, proving once more, that measures implemented against the Russian Federation will ultimately backfire and end up damaging the economies of countries that allowed themselves to engage in knee-jerk reactions without having a thought about the potential repercussions.

In Germany, Alternative für Deutschland has raised the alarm as Germany faces a struggle with rising energy prices that rather than reducing dependency on fossil fuels increases dependency on fossil fuel at much higher costs. German coal is a crucially important commodity. Whether it is dirty or non-environmentally friendly is absolutely irrelevant. The country needs energy to avoid an economic disaster.

After Covid, some countries in the so called West are living in a permanent state of emergency. In UK, British authorities have announced reductions of Council Tax for certain families for amounts of up to 150 Pound. The only problem is that the same families because of measures taken by British authourities have seen their expenses rise by several thousands of Pound. Little consolation for those facing the direst situations. The number of those living under the radar keeps growing. Cases of families living in a single room shared with complete strangers are on the rise. The number of those falling below the poverty line kees rising and private debt - as well a public debt- keeps rising.

Friday, 18 March 2022

Banning RT in the UK was the greatest sign of British weakness ever

 

By all means a country that barely has 80,000 troops including all branches of the Armed Forces is constantly trying to sound impressive. Cancelling RT license will attract a tit for tat reaction, but it will not change the fact that Britain as a military power is non existing and with every passing day the flow of people leaving Ukraine is growing (according to Western media) and this is no sign of success, but of ultimate defeat.

I have never ever seen so many organisations talking about welcoming Ukrainian refugees. If the Ukrainian side is winning, why according to Western media there are so many people leaving Ukraine? The answer is obvious if you care to use your brain instead of listening to the BBC and other Western mass media. When you see able bodied men in fighting age running away, you know in which direction the wind is blowing.

Ben Wallace MP, British Defense Secretary, together with British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, recently made the announcement of a majestic 30 year plan to rebuild the Royal Navy by constructing a certain number of ships. The only problem is that you cannot fight a war on the continent using ships and thirty years is very long time considering an ongoing conflict.



 



Tuesday, 1 March 2022

Einstein on Ukraine: Doing the same over and over again expecting to get different results is the definition of insanity.

 Dear Helen Hayes MP,

Thank for your prompt reply. I must say that in terms of what came first and what happened second, I do disagree with you. Right after the point when the Soviet Union came to an end and Ukraine returned nuclear weapons, everything was alright. Ukraine was facilitating passage of gas and oil from the Russian Federation to the rest of Europe, consuming Russian gas and oil itself and paying for the delivery of gas and oil that it consumed.

The second stage was the time when it became clear that the economic situation was not the best and some Ukrainian oligarchs were shown to be benefitting while the rest of Ukraine was suffering.

The third stage when payments for gas and oil were not made, the Russian Federation asked for payments that were not forthcoming and the political situation become turbulent and made worse by American politicians and EU politicians that saw an opportunity to damage the relationship with the Russian Federation and this we saw on the streets, is on record and it includes records of pseudo demonstrators that were paid to demonstrate.

The fourth stage was the rise of the paramilitaries that with or without authorization of the central government of Ukraine started to alienate ethnic Russians.

The fifth stage was the actual rise of the conflict in Eastern Ukraine when nothing was done to deter paramilitaries and ethnic Russian had to arm themselves and ultimately declared independence. Even at this point in time, they wanted autonomy, but not total separation from Ukraine. It would have been up to the Ukrainian government to tackle the paramilitaries to prevent a civil war.

For years on end, about eight years, the Ukrainian government could have used whatever degree of authority it had to impose the rule of law and prevent the actions of the paramilitaries.

Instead of providing support to bring the situation under control, the West aka USA used Ukraine as part of its anti-Russian strategy. It was done with Iran because Iran at the time was a close ally of the Russian Federation since the Russian Federation provided nuclear fuel for Iranian reactors and it was done in Syria that was also a close ally of the Russian Federation.

Iraq used to be a buffer zone. In fact, Iraq itself was used before against Iran and at the time the West looked the other way when Iraq used chemical weapons against Iran. What happened was that with Iraq out of the way the whole balance in the Middle East changed. Hundreds of thousands of Iraq flee Iraq after the American bombardment and ended up in Turkey, in Lebanon, in Syria – to name a few places. With Iraq out of the way, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Israel started their quest to fill up the gaps to create a new status quo. What happens in Yemen is very much part of the same game with Britain, Saudi Arabia and USA cooperating with each creating one of the worst human catastrophes because of their conflict with pro-Iranian forces.

So the issues of refugees is not new. It started big way with the disappearance of Iraq and of Libya as buffer zones. Nowadays, the mass media have blamed Belarus from the refugee flood. Let’s not forget that at one point EU was paying Turkey to prevent the waves of refugees desperate to reach Europe.

President Reagan promised Mikhail Gorbachev that with the Berlin Wall gone there would be no further expansion towards the East. Promises that were not fulfilled. Expansion continued apace with the threat of missiles right across the borders of the Russian Federation. What happened with Ukraine was the trigger, but it was not unexpected. The Russian Federation spoke about red lines that were crossed one after another, completely disregarding the concerns of the Russian Federation. Instead of delivering what had been promised, the so-called West – aka USA started to implement sanctions after sanctions and this was rubbing salt in an open wound.

Nothing has changed and the same failing strategies of imposing sanctions go on, antagonizing the Russian Federation ever more.

With regards to energy, despite the conflict in Ukraine, the Russian Federation continues to pump oil and gas towards European countries via Ukraine. Oil prices and gas prices are rising and will keep rising and we will soon see political changes not just in Europe, but most importantly in developing countries that can ill afford the rising costs of energy. This happens at very bad time when we are still recovering after two years of a pandemic that has generated vast financial damages.

We had a choice of bringing about changes via increased trade and development and now we are back again implement the policy of guns. The new German Chancellor speaks about increasing Germany’s defence budget by investing not less than 200 billion Euro. How is this going to work? It is going to pump up debt at the expense of everything else in a country in which there is galloping inflation. Let us remember how we got to this point. In 2017, CDU/CSU with Angela Merkel barely managed to form a coalition. She failed to form a coalition during the first round of negotiations with SPD that refuse to form a coalition. She then tried to form a coalition with FDP and Grünen and didn’t manage to do it. Then, as last resort, she managed to persuade SPD to come onboard again. That was 2017. In the recent Federal Elections, CDU/CSU collapsed from 41% to less than 25% and SPD that didn’t increase its votes was in charge of forming a coalition and did so with FDP and Grünen.  How stable such a coalition will be remains to be seen and energy costs will be a major factor.

If there is growing unemployment, the patience of AG Metal, the biggest union in Germany, will run out and support for SPD that is only represented in 11 of 16 Federal States will collapse meaning the collapse of the German coalition.

Rebuilding the German Armed Forces will not be green. It will require a lot of industrial power mainly based in fossil fuels – coal being the major German resources because Angela Merkel after the Fukushima disaster opted for dismantling German nuclear plants. If Germany becomes unstable – since Germany is the main support of the EU – the EU becomes more unstable.

The situation both in political terms and in geopolitical terms will be solved with more economic activity. Not less economy activity. Sanctions promote less economy activity. Less economic activity promotes unemployment. Unemployment promotes political instability. Political instability that the European continent does not need. You can then cross to France and see what is happening in France. The Socialists after Hollande are out of the game. What is left? Macron and two branches of the so called Far Right.

I haven’t even mentioned the Developing World. Argentina is drowning once again. More than 50 per cent of Uruguayan exports go to China. To name just these two countries, what effect do you think financial issues and the rise of energy prices will have in those two countries? They are not the worst off. Think about the others. In the 1950s and 1960s the collapse of agricultural exports as agricultural prices started to fall led to massive indebtedness followed by massive budget cuts leading to political instability followed by military regimes. Countries live in a cycle of unpayable debt and constant negotiation to refinance debts. How much so-called democratic regimes can take before we are facing another cycle of de facto regimes? In Argentina, there was a cycle of Justicialistas and Radicales. Both of them have proven to be equally ineffective. In Uruguay, the once powerful Partido Nacional and Partido Colorado have only been able to survive by forming a coalition and this is something extraordinary, and this coalition comes after the exhaustion of the so called Frente Amplio that itself is in crisis. What are the political alternatives? Is there a political alternative? What happens in Chile that was once one of the most promising countries of Latin America?

You need to look at the bigger picture. The sooner the present impasse comes to an end, the sooner sanctions are lifted, and trade re-starts in a big way, the sooner we stop talking war and start talking about economic development, the better we all will be.

Look at the big picture. What good came out of the struggle in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Libya and of other military adventures? Is the world a better place because of it? Have you thought about Lebanon and the human tragedy that Lebanon is today?

We keep following the same failed strategies of the US that it itself is a mess with Congress having to pass again and again legislation to increase borrowing to prevent paralysis of the entire Administration and ensuing chaos. Is this the model that we want Britain to follow? Is this the model that we want Europe to follow?

I keep repeating myself and saying that Britain needs its own independent Foreign Policy. We voted for Brexit not to be attached to the designs of the European Union, we talk about trade opportunities, and the first thing we do is to use the same past failed recipes that lead to confrontation, waste, and social chaos.

As Paul Samuelson used to say, the choice is between butter and cannons.

Best regards

Karl Hohenstauffen

Sunday, 27 February 2022

Sir Roger Gale's impersonation of Adolf Hitler

 

Sir Roger Gale MP, Conservative Member of Parliament, stated on radio that 'all Russians living in the UK should be deported to send a message to President Putin'. This happened after Prime Minister Boris Johnson speaking in the House of Commons repeatedly tried to reassure Russian citizens in the UK that the actions of the British government were not aimed at Russian citizens living in the UK, but against the Russian government.

It beggars belief that a Conservative Member of Parliament could make such a racist and xenophobic statement talking not in the House of Commons but on Talk Radio. The statement is very public and is very much in the public domain and I don't think that such statement favours the public image of the Conservative Party.

At a time when tensions are rising, the statement made by Sir Roger Gale MP could be construed as Incitement to Racial Hatred and he would not be protected because what he said was said outside the Houses of Parliament. 

Monday, 14 February 2022

Russian Ambassador in Sweden told things as they are: China and Russian Federation already have an agreement for gas

The United States of America created World War Two. Because of a financial crisis in New York in 1929, as the German economy was recovering in spite of unpayable war reparations imposed by the Versailles Treaty, American creditors withdrew loans and the German economy collapsed. German banks closed their doors and mass unemployment followed leading to a political crisis of major proportions.

Once again, American capitalists are ready and willing to create another major war in Europe, but this time they are dealing with a different Germany and after some major disasters of American foreign policy the US government is about to create an even bigger disaster.

The bigger loser if sanctions go through are Germany and the European Union that without Russian gas would end depending on American fracking oil and from other sources that will come at a higher price while the Russian Federation will be sending gas to China in much bigger quantities and therefore getting a lot more than the amounts the Russian Federation would be getting from the European Union.  

German politicians are aware of the fact that with sanctions against the Russian Federation will be losing twofold. Energy supplies are becoming ever more difficult to find. Due to green policies, supplies from Netherlands will be vastly reduced. Natural gas from the Russian Federation or liquid gas from the US? More than 4,000 massive tankers will have to bring gas from the US to Europe. Even with such amounts being brought from US, 400 thousand million cubic metres of natural gas will not be easily replaced and dependence on Russian natural gas will be even greater.

US will not stop importing natural gas from the Russian Federation, but wants Germany to stop buying Russian natural gas. 

The whole exercise concerning Ukraine is a hypocritical and criminal attempt by the US to damage European countries. Getting rid of nuclear power was a bad idea and following the US is an even worse idea and therefore German interest must prevail over American grid and stupidity.

Thanks to sanctions, all that is achieved is a stronger alliance between Russia and China. German companies lose. 

Germany must implement foreign policies in German national interest instead of getting involved in America's whorehouse.

Tuesday, 8 February 2022

Alison Chabloz: How monies are being spent in court cases that serve no purpose whatsoever

 Alison Chabloz: How monies are being spent in court cases that serve no purpose whatsoever
For several years now, the English legal system has been used as a money making machine for private individuals and as money spending machine for British taxpayers in meaningless court cases that are not going to make things better.

If anything the legal circus is creating more problems and giving ammunition to groups that have as a given agenda the extermination of Jews across Europe including in Britain.

Jews and those who continue this legal circus more than 70 years after the presumed end of World War Two have made Adolf Hitler and his ideas immortal. Just a few days ago in Norway, Anders Breivik during an appeal sessson made a National Socialist salute and people across the world enjoyed the scene.

Some say that we are three weeks away from the start of yet another World War. Nobody rational would believe that should the conflict start in Ukraine it will stop in Ukraine. We know that given the policy of alliances, the conflict in all probability will spread like wildfire across the entire continent and this without taking into account that it could also trigger war in China as China would use this as a golden opportunity to implement its own agenda in Asia.

There are more than enough Far Right groups and Muslim groups in Europe to use the fog of war to go hunting Jews across Europe when countries are engulfed in a World War. What have been the mortal crimes committed by Alison Chabloz? She has written songs and expressed her views on radio programmes. If everybody who does not believe in the Jewish mantra of the Holocaust were to be imprisoned, more than half of the world's population would be in jail and history and especially after the presumed end of World War Two has not been favourable to Jews given the record of Israel and of certain very prominent individuals who have been constantly on the news.

The more people mention the persecution of Jews, the stronger the anti-Jewish movements become. The Jewish rhetoric feeds the anti-Jewish rhetoric in the same manner that the Muslim rhetoric feeds the anti-Muslim rhetoric and this is happening on a daily basis. The rhetorics about Jews and Muslism is mixed with vested interests and geopolitical interests and this is a deadly mix and wars are not the way to maintain social, economic and political stability.

Die Judenfrage is already being talked about and certain groups are rubbing their hands with glee. Chasing artists for writing songs and taking part in radio programmes will not save the idiots who are behind such harassment and persecution schemes. 


Sunday, 23 January 2022

Another Holocaust is coming

Far Right groups and Muslim Extremists are rubbing their hands with glee. In the fog of war Jews in Europe will be exterminated. This is catastrope and is almost upon is. War in Europe will create fertile ground for it to happen.

British military history is not free from tragic examples of delusion leading to catastrophic events. The Narvik campaign is just one of them when forces went to Narvik without air cover, without artillery, without naval cover and without the necessary winter equipment only to be slaughtered by the Wehrmacht from sea, air and land, event that led to the fall of the government of Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain.

Another example of delusion was the sending of two naval units to Asia, once again without air cover, to be sunk by Japanese torpedo aircraft or the bad arrangements in Singapore that led to the fall of Singapore with the arrival of British and Commonwealth troops that only arrived in time to surrender to Japanese troops.

Another example of delusion was the badly planned campaign in the Netherlands by Marshall Montgomery known as Market Garden that was bound to be a disaster with the delivery of Polish paratroopers on the third day that were killed before they set foot in the Netherlands and supplies that were thrown straight into the hands of the Wehrmacht due to lack of proper communications.

Never mind the failed Suez Campaign launched by Anthony Eden or Churchill Gallipoli Campaign.

More recent disasters were the campaign in Afghanistan and in Iraq launched by Tony Blair under false pretences with fabricated evidence about WMDs that never existed and created massive waves of refugees, destabilizing even more regions like Asia Minor and Middle East that were already unstable leading to the rise of Islamic State and events that are well known.

But now we are dealing with an even more worrying situation when Britain is about to engage in a military conflict that could engulf the whole of Europe under a government that has systematically reduced the strength both in terms of material resources and of numbers of the British Armed Forces. How on Earth are we talking about cutting down the numbers of the British Armed Forces a time when everybody is talking about impending doom?

Simon Jenkins writing on The Guardian spoke about how unwise it would be to commit Britain to a military effort in Ukraine and a lady writer writing on The Independent asked the question about American attempts to drive the Russian Federation to a war that the Russian Federation does not want.

How many times is Britain going to make the same kind of disastrous mistakes that lead to tragedy? How many times politicians that should be in a privileged position to prevent a catastrophe act as if they were completely unaware of the consequences? Reports about British cooperation with Ukraine are laughable. Do you really believe that a few anti-tank weapons will prevent an assault by a country that drove the Wehrmacht across Europe all the way back to Berlin? Do you know the history of the Soviet Union of which the Russian Federation was the real driver? Do you think that wars can be won without committing troops on the battlefield?

People in Britain should be told what will really happen if a military conflict in Europe begins because their children are going to be sent to the battlefield to die as children died before in many wars like the First World War and the Second World War. As Sergei Ivanov stated, if there is a conflict you can forget about the Nuclear Deterrent and about ‘weapons of pinpoint accuracy’. This will be a military conflict that will engulf Europe and it will be a protracted war that will make the Afghanistan campaign and the Iraqi campaign look like child’s play.

As always, we hear about the green agenda and the rising costs of energy that can certainly cripple many European economies including the British economy. What do you think the effects of a widespread conflict in Europe will be when it comes to energy supplies and the link with inflationary forces? What do you think the social and political consequences will be if economies become critically unstable to the point when there are very unwanted developments?

When Germany was falling 70 or so years ago, Adolf Hitler prophesized the rise of a new Germany when the two colossus of the time – America and the Soviet Union – were to face each other on the battlefield. Do you know that there are groups in Europe that are rubbing their hands with glee thinking about what they will do if there is war in Europe? For decades now, Europe has been dealing with the scourge of Islamic Extremists. Can you imagine a Europe in which both Islamic Extremists and Far Right elements will have a free hand to do whatever they please because governments will be involved in fighting a European war?

It is not just about being sensible and realistic. It is about not guaranteeing what cannot be guaranteed. It is about avoiding pompous and affected statements that are a far cry away from reality. It is about mass media control not to create an environment leading to war, environment that could lead to reprisals in the United Kingdom. In the event of war, it will take very little for people to start hunting people in the United Kingdom. I have heard people in the UK say that war in Europe is being promoted by Jews in the United Kingdom. I listen to people, and I am concerned about the consequences. I have a dialogue with a Jewish friend in Nevada, USA and we speak about situations happening in Europe right now that are being treated as black and white, as cowboys and Indians, with political postures that could lead to a massive tragedy.

If attitudes in some circles in the West don’t change for the better, we could be faced with very foreseeable consequences.

Friday, 21 January 2022

The Human Cost of Energy Crisis and the threat of war to make money

 

When the President and the Vice President of the USA so casually talk about war, lets be reminded of what war means. Neighter Joe Biden nor Kamala Harris have ever been closed to a real threatre of war.

In Britain, writing for The Guardian, Simon Jenkins says 'that Britain shuold stay well out of Russia's border dispute with Ukraine. Also in Britain The Independent states in one of its articles that USA wishes to go to war.

Before there is any major war in Europe, energy costs are crippling economies and causing prices to rise throwing more and more families into poverty. Can you imagine what could happen if there was a real major conflict in Europe?



Cost of energy in Germany are leading to major inflation rises and the idea that Germany will not be able to rely on imports coming from the East - namely the Russian Federation - is nothing less than a nightmare. Year after year, the political environment in Germany has become more and more fragmented. SPD only manage to win the Federal Election not because of gaining more votes, but because CDU/CSU went down dramatically. Germany is polarized between right and left and those who know the history of Germany know that this no good. 

Both France and Germany are pushing for talks with both Ukraine and the Russian Federation - a group of four talks - to bypass NATO and the USA. They do so because they don't trust the USA's intentions?  USA wants War in Europe, a war that will be completely detrimental for Europe. But greed in the USA has no limits. For several years, the USA has been stockpiling oil and gas and especially gas that comes from fracking and needs to make money with it. By blocking the Baltic pipeline between the Russian Federation and Germany, Europe becomes ever more dependent of American exports that the USA is sending to Europe as 'aid to alleviate shortages'. So there is money to be made and the American intention of going to war against Russia is yet another economic war as the illegal invasion of Iraq was an economic war.


Monday, 17 January 2022

China: Unequivocal expressions of Chinese Ambassador in France

 

Unequivolcal expressions of Chinese Ambassador in France

You need to listen carefully to know where things are heading towards. The reunification of Taiwan with mainland China is just a matter of time.

Insofar the fall of the Shah of Iran was predictable and what happened at the American Embassy in 1979 could have been avoided, something similar seems to be happening when it comes to Taiwan.

The signs exist for those who want to see, who are ready to take into account what is happening right now and take the necessary measures to avoid a catastrophe that is on the cards.

When it comes to Eastern Europe, each side is positioning itself very much as it happens before the battle. Diplomacy will continue until the time when the first shot is fired because diplomacy is used to prevent any side taking action before all preparations are in place. The sides are sizeing each other, looking for strengths and weaknesses. It reminds me of the preparation for battle that you could see in the days of Napoleon Bonaparte. The cavalry, the infantry and the artillery are being made ready for battle.

The Chinese Ambassador does not mention words that could be directly associated with war but the meaning of what he says is pretty clear.The sides are playing for time and when time runs out it will be showdown time. In Poland, there are expressions of concern regarding an imminent conflict. In Germany, there seems to be the belief that something major will happen soon. You need to listen to what is being said and you have to listen what is not been said. You have to pick up the pieces of what is happening elsewhere because there are not going to be merely regional battlefields. When conflict begins the Organisation of the United Nations will cease to exist and all conventions and agreements guaranteed by the existence of the UN will cease to exist. Laws will be written by the victors and a New World Order will be built on the ashes of the present World Order.




Sunday, 16 January 2022

War betwen Permanent Members of UN means the end of the UN

 

The Organisation of the United Nations effectively came to be in 1945 with a Security Council made up of five permanent members namely USA, UK, France, USSR and China. 

The aim was to prevent yet another major conflagration. Having said that, war between the Permament Members will destroy the Organisation of the United Nations.

Nowadays, the Organisation of the United Nations is a lot more than the original signatories intended and many international agreements are based on the existence of the Organisation of the United Nations. Once the UN is no more those agreements will be nul and void and this will effectively means that every country in the world will be on its own. All the safeguards in terms of an international framework will be gone and the stronger ones will prevail and be free do to as they please. This is why, apart from all other immediate consequences, it is important to avert a military conflict between permament members of the Organisation of the United Nations. 

As this has not been talked about and the subject is not on mass media, it is fundamentally important to remind everybody of what is at stake should the situation in Eastern Europe and in Asia get out of hand. 




Thursday, 11 November 2021

Powers controlling the USA are actively promoting a Nuclear War against Russia and China

 In 2019 NATO carried out military exercises for a Nuclear Attack against Russia. What is going on concerning Belarus is a deliberate attempt to provoke Russia into a military confrontation and the same applies regarding China.

Who invaded Iraq in 2003, USA, UK and other accomplices. The American criminals destroyed Iraq, partitioned the country and led to the rise of Islamic State.



Wednesday, 21 July 2021

British? Yes. Far Right? I doubt it

 

Paul Golding in Moscow during a visit to the Russian Parliament British? Yes. Far Right? Not really. 

Whatever the BBC, Sky News, the British Political Establishment  and other political operators want you to believe, reality is quite different from what they try to make you believe.

Because he has been working with Russian Nationalists, something that bothered very much the Political Establishment, a little known piece of legislation called Schedule 7 of the 2000 Anti-Terror Legislation was used to entrap and convict Paul Golding accusing him of terrorism.

Of course the usual media made a fuss about misused terrorism charges, charges that were used for purely political reasons.

Most of those journalists that campaign against the Far Right or what they call Far Right don't seem to have a clue about what is going on. They keep writing articles to suit the official narrative and getting things wrong.


  


Saturday, 3 July 2021

2021: Is war in Europe possible? History chemistry indicates that it is


Adolf Hitler was an ideologue. He described in Mein Kampf about the policies that he would implement during World War Two. Expansion towards the East was a pretty clear intention. Jo Biden is a demagogue, but equally capable of sending Europe into an abyss via pure miscalculation.Just a few days ago, Britain continued playing with fire - the intentions were confirmed in a leaked Ministry of Defense Report. Britain wanted to provoke a Russian military reaction by sending HMS Defender to Crimea.

Wars are possible in any century. All it takes is the right conditions. I believe in what I call history chemistry. If you get the right elements in the right amounts you get war. Winston Churchill was laughed at when he predicted war in Europe.

Two major competing centres of industrial development: Britain and Germany. He concluded that war was inevitable. They were not working together, but trying to outdo each other. At one point in time war was inevitable.

During World War Two, the German Ambassador met the British Ambassador in Switzerland. He told the British Ambassador that if Britain gave Germany a freehand in Europe then Germany would respect Britain's Empire and Germany and Britain could peacefully coextist. Britain foresaw that as soon as German power was consolidated in Europe, expansion would continue. This despite the fact that Adolf Hitler wrote in Mein Kampf that he was not interested in conquest that would involve the sea. He believed that Germany's future was expansion towards the East.

In 1941, when the Luftwaffe had failed to open the way for an invasion of Britain (Goering had promised that the Luftwaffe could control the RAF) he turned and look towards Russia. Soviet Russia had failed to defeat Finland in the first attempt and could only manage to do so in the second attempt. This led to the belief that the Soviet Armies were not fit for purpose after Stalin's purge of the high ranks of Aristrocratic descent. Moreover, Soviet Russia feared a Japanese attack from the East and could not mobilize its armies from Siberia.

Unternehmen Barbarossa started on June 22, 1941, but having to divert forces towards Greece to help Mussolini meant that the push could not happen as planned. As if this was not enough, Japan attacks Pearl Harbour bringing in the USA into the war and freeing Soviet troops from Siberia to come to the West. The German attack against the Soviet Union opened a war in two fronts - something that Adolf Hitler had written against in Mein Hampf - and made the alliance Britain/USA/Soviet Union possible.

Any conflict between the USA and Russia will lead Russia to close ranks with China and China will feel free to launch a military campaign in Asia. Burma is already inside the Chinese area of influence. Japan would be cut off. The smaller countries will fall like a house of cards. There are already regular skirmishes along the border between China and India because of competing interests for oil in the Sea of China. There is a delicate balance and any action that could alter than balance can start a war.

USA and Britain's provocation attempts can only reinforce the will to go to war. China is increasingly bothered by foreign interference in Chinese internal affairs. Russia will not react to provocation, but the ground rules have already been set up by saying that 'any repeats of the incident involved HMS Defender will lead to miitary measures'. Britain wants war in Europe, but any miscalculation could have dramatic consequences. China's economic influence in Africa could turn into something else. 




Sunday, 27 June 2021

British Ministry of Defense and the Black Sea chapter: I smell a rat

 

When the British Ministry of Defense itself is involving in leaking documents you know this is about circus and propaganda.

Cuando el Ministerio de Defensa Británico está involucrado en la filtración de documentos, usted sabe que se trata de circo y propaganda.

The report says: Classified defense documents containing details about HMS Defender and the military have been found at a bus stop, prompting an investigation from the Ministry of Defense (MoD).

El informe dice: Documentos de defensa secretos conteniendo detalles sobre HMS Defender y los militares fue hallado cerca de una parada de autobus, motivando una investigación del Ministerio de Defensa.

So the Ministry of Defense places classified defense documents containing details about HMS Defender at a bus stop in Kent to ensure that they papers were found by a member of the public and when the documents are unavoidably found the Ministry of Defense starts an investigation about how this could be possible. It could not be more theatrical than that.

El Ministerio de Defensa colocó documentos de defensa secretos conteniendo detalles sobre HMS Defender en una parada de autobus en Kent para asegurarse de que los papeles fueron hallados por un miembro del público y cuando inevitablemente los documents son hallados el Ministerio de Defensa inicia una investigación sobre cómo esto pudo ser posible. No podría ser más teatral. 

Immediately, the Labour Party reacts as it was scripted that they Labour Party would immediately react and 'describes the loss of the sensitive information as embarrassing as it is worrying for ministers who are seeking reassurances that national security has not been undermined.'

Inmediatamente, el Partido Laborista reacciona según fue planeado en el libreto de que el Partido Laborista reaccionaría inmediatamente y 'describe la pérdida de información reservada como un hecho vergonzoso que preocupa a los ministros que tratan de que se les asegure que la seguridad nacional no ha sido puesta en peligro.'

So what was it about? The papers included one set of documents that discussed the potential Russian reaction to HMS Defender's travel through waters off the Crimea coast on Wednesday, while another paper laid out plans for a possible military presence in Afghanistan. Adding the Afghanistan bit to make it more credible.

¿De qué se trató? Los papeles incluyen un conjunto de documentos que tratan sobre la posible reacción rusa respecto del viaje de HMS Defender en aguas frente a la costa de Crimea el día viernes, mientras que otro conjunto de documentos tratan de planes sobre una posible presencia militar en Afganistán. Se agrega Afganistán para hacer la historia más creíble. 

A member of the public who wanted to remain anonymus (i.e. a member of the Ministry of Defense) contacted the Ministry of Defense when the 50 pages of classified information which included emails and PowerPoint presentation was found. Surely, a credit to Microsoft designer of PowerPoint because it shows how useful PowerPoint software is that even the British Ministry of Defense is using it for its classified documents.

Un miembro del público que deseaba permanecer anónimo (ejemplo, un miembro del Ministerio de Defensa) se puso en contacto con el Ministerio de Defensa cuando las 50 páginas de información secreta que incluye correos electrónicos y un presentación PowerPoint fueron halladas. Con segurida algo que enorgullece a Microsoft dado que muestra la utilidad del programa de computadora PowerPoint que es tan útil que incluso el Ministerio de Defensa Británico lo usa para producir documentos secretos.

The mission was described by MoD as 'an innocent passage through territorial waters' with guns covered and the ship's helicopter stowed in its hangar. It says that it was done with the expection that the Kremlin would react aggressively.

La misión fue descrita por el Ministerio de Defensa como 'un paso inocente por aguas territoriales', con armas cubiertas y con el helicóptero del buque dentro de su hangar. Dice asimismo que fue hecho con la expectativa de que el Kremlin (el gobierno ruso) reaccionaría de manera agresiva.

The report says that a series of slides showed two alternative routes, one described as 'a safe and professional direct transit from Odessa to Batumi', including a short stretch through a maritime traffic management system, known as TSS, close to the south-west tip of Crimea.

El informe dice que una serie de imágenes muestran dos rutas alternativas. Una de las rutas es descrita como 'tránsito profesional directo y seguro entre Odessa y Batumi', incluyendo un trecho corto a través del sistema de gestión de tráfico marítimo conocido como TSS, cerca del extremo suroccidental de Crimea.

The Labour Party as part of this comedy has to say via John Healey (Labour's shadow Defense Secretary) that an internal inquiry carried out immediately should establish how highly classified documents were taken out of the department in the first place and then left.

El Partido Laborista como parte de esta comedia tenía que decir mediante John Heley (que ocupa la posición de Ministro de Defensa en la Oposición) que una investigación interna urgente debería determina cómo documentos muy secretos fueron sacados de una oficina y dejados en la vía pública.

It must be said that national security was never compromised. This is a circus organised by the Ministry of Defense with full knowledge of the Labour Party and of 10 Downing Street. No classified documents of such nature would ever place near a bus top so that anybody passing by would find them.

Hay que decir que la seguridad nacional nunca fue puesta en peligor. Este es un circo organizado por el Ministerio de Defensa con pleno conocimiento del Partido Laborista y del gobierno. Ningún documento de tal naturaleza hubiera sido puesto cerca de una parada de autobus para que cualquiera que pasara por el lugar lo pudiera encontrar.

They were placed on purpose near a bus stop in full view of members of the public or possibly it was never placed anywhere near a bus stop. They had to improvise a version of events to make the report about the loss documents more colourful to attract as much mass media attention as possible.

Fueron colocados de manera deliberada cerca de la parada de autobus de manera visible para cualquier miembro del público o posiblemente nunca fueron colocados cerca de una parada de autobus. Tuvieron que improvisar una versión de lo ocurrido para hacer que el informe sobre los documentos perdidos fuera más atractivo para atrar tanta atención de los medios como fuera posible.

From the start the intention was to provoke a Russian response knowing full well that the British warship would be entering territorial waters violating the 12 miles limit.

Desde el comienzo, la intención fue provocar a Rusia sabiendo que el buque de guerra británico entraría en aguas territoriales violando el límite de 12 millas.

For many years, Britain supported the idea of the 12 miles limit when other countries stated that the limit should be 200 miles as part of the denominated 'exclusive economic zone'.

Durante muchos años, Gran Bretaña ha apoyado la idea de las 12 millas cuando otros países sostuvieron que el límite debería ser 200 millas como parte la denominada zona de exclusión económica. 

Uruguay and Argentina defended the thesis to dictate that the River Plate is a river and not an ocean and that therefore Argentina and Uruguay have absolute control of it.

Uruguay y Argentina defendieron la tesis para dictaminar que el Río de la Plata es un río y no un océano y por ende Argentina y Uruguay tiene control absoluto del río.

The so called 'innocent passage' was never meant to be an 'innocent passage'. It was a premediated provocation seeking a military response with political aims. 

El llamado 'paso inocente' no era la intención. Fue provocación deliberada tratando de provocar una respuesta miliar con fines políticos.








Monday, 3 May 2021

China: Wars are about money

 

It is no secret that while USA has been waging wars on credit and getting increasingly into debt, China has beed working hard, spreading its influence across the world and investingly heavely in the UK, in the USA and in many other countries.

The 2008 financial crisis is a clear example of how the USA has been operating, getting into debt, fuelling or creating conflicts around the world and using the consequences of conflicts it has created to invest more and more in the weapons industries - investing monies that the USA does not really have.

When the obvious consequence of such folly becomes self-evident, the recipe to ignore where the root of the problem really lies is to blame China and Russia as if demonising China and Russia the problems of the USA could be magically solved.

The conflict in Ukraine, for example, is a Ukrainian issue, but it is constantly used by the USA to justify massive military deployments. The conflict in Hong Kong and in Taiwan is a Chinese issue, but once again it is used by the USA to justify accusations about 'Chinese aggression and lack of democracy'. China has been a Comunist country since the days of Mao Tse-Tung, but the West including the USA were very happy to ignore whatever was going on in China because they wanted to invest in China to make money by using cheap labour and then sell manufactured products back in the West.

China took the transfers of resources and increasing indebtness of the West - including the USA - to develop its own economy and perfect technology to compete with the West and buy in the West whatever it could buy. China buys soy from Argentina and invests in Brazil in the creation of gateways to link the Atlantic Ocean to the Pacific Ocean across Brazil. China invests in Africa because Africa is rich in mineral resources that China really and trully needs to develop its industries. China invests in New Zealand and Australia that now see their economic future that depends on their relationship with China.

While America speculates with dubious financial investments that ruin its economy and condemn millions of Americans to abject poverty, China - despite its ideological stance - is creating more wealth that the USA and heading towards pole position when it comes to world powers. 


Friday, 9 April 2021

Ursula von der Leyen muss weg

 

To say that Ursula von der Leyen was incompetent as German Defense Secretary and has been incompetent as appointed President of the European Commission would be a gross understatement.

She started by making a mess in Northern Ireland and in the Republic of Ireland by going against established EU policies and later backtracking when she was bombarded with criticisms, including criticisms expressed by the German mass media. Shge managed to unite Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland against her.

With regards to the fight against Covid-19, she hasn't been on top of her brief and has stood paralized while EU countries stopped acting as EU countries and went against each other. Austria is leading a group of six EU countries that want to have access to Russian vaccines and Germany has now joined them while France and others remain stuck with rising number of infections, hospitals that cannot cope with the number of cases and rising deaths leading to further quarentine measures.

The latest chapter was the embarrassment during a meeting in Turkey. She allowed herself to be sidelines and later complained saying that she had been sidelined. She doesn't have the guts to act on the spot. Is she really the President of the European Commission? If she is the President of the European Commission she should start acting as the President of the European Commission. If she doesn't have what it takes to be the boss, she should put herself aside and allow somebody else to be the boss.

The office of President of the European Commission is being downgraded, the EU project is being downgraded, and her former boss Angela Merkel is doing no better. Hesitation, gigantic errors of judgment, followed by meaningless apologies that give way to more hesitation, more gigantic errors of judgment, followed by more meaningless apologies. Angela Merkel no longer has what it takes to be leader and voters are turning against CDU/CSU across Germany, election after election. Time for change, but what will replace them? The very authority of the German Chancellor as now former party leader - she had to resign the leadership of CDU to remain in power until the next German Federal Election - is being challenged by members of her own party. She had to come out and threaten members of her own party that were found working with Alternative fur Deutschland in several regions.

To sum up, a mess in Germany and a mess in the European Union.