Showing posts with label Taiwan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Taiwan. Show all posts

Monday, 30 October 2023

Teaching children about fairness is the wrong thing to do. The world is about power.

The world is about power. Not fairness.

We have spent generations after generations teaching children about fairness and giving them a very idealitic view of the world that is not real. The world is run by opposites and a status quo is established when all parties know that there is a risk when trying to go beyond that status quo. This is why borders tend to be respected but borders can suddenly change as a consequence of a conflict. If a party is not strong enough to prevent a change of borders then it becomes a conflict leading to a fait accompli and a new status quo is established.

The history of the world is a history of changing boundaries and conflicts. Is there a country that wasn't born because of conflict? Wars of aggression, wars of independence, wars, wars, wars. The United States of America celebrate today the 4th of July and the Declaration of Independence, but even after the 1776 Declaration of Independence fighting went on. So the creation and further expansion of the United States of America happened because of wars. Bloodshed allowed the expansion of the United States of America.

The same can be said of many other countries and this tends to be the rule rather than the exception and it is still happening and will continue to happen.

When you look at the map of the British Empire, after a series of expansions came contraction. Territorial acquisitions overseas were lost and even the borders within the British Isles changed. Until 1920, the United Kingdom comprised also the entirety of the islando of Ireland. Since 1920, as a consequence of a treaty, the Republic of Ireland with its capital Dublin was established and Ulster/Northern Ireland in the north remained as a integral part of the United Kingdom. Should movements towards the independence of Scotland eventually succeed or if suddenly Ulster becomes part of a united Ireland because of the Sinn Fein/Ira electoral successes in Northern Ireland caused by both a sudden change of the mood between communities or simply because of demographics - Catholic families tend to have more children, once again the borders of the United Kingdom will be redrawn. One thing we can take from history is that the presumptions in terms of borders can suddenly change. Yugoslavia is a perfect of example of a country that imploded leading to many different countries. In the case of Yugoslavia, the fact is that Yugoslavia itself was from the beginning like pieces of a puzzle. You can go as far as the Austro-Hungarian Empire that included regions or entire countries in terms of countries that are a reality today. Austria and Italy - throughout the history of Europe have exchanged regions. France and Germany's example - Alsace and Lorena - at one time part of Germany and now part of France. Britany and Normandy - once part of the British Empire are now part of France. And we could mention many other cases not just in Europe but across the world. At one point Bolivia had costal waters and that was the case until a conflict between Peru, Bolivia and Chile left Bolivia isolated and having to pay a fee to have access to the Pacific Ocean.

When it comes to Palestine we have yet another example of changing borders and changing owners. The history of Palestine is a history of conflicts between empires and between countries. When the Ottoman Empire collapsed many countries were born, one of them Iraq that itself comprises three distinctive regions. For a brief period Palestine was in the hands of the British until partition led to the creation of the State of Israel and fighting continued between Palestinians and newcomers from Europe that continued the process of expansion taking land from within Palestine and from neighbouring countries. How long will the status quo last? Presumably as long as the parties involved are strong enough to maintain such status quo and this is not a guarantee for any lasting peace.

Going back to Europe, Poland keeps asking Germany for war reparations in spite of the fact that much of the Germany that was before World War Two and before World War One was taken over by Poland and this include a huge chunk of Easter Germany including Danzig and Memel. Danzig is now known as Gdansk. The birthplace of Immanuel Kant, Konisberg is now Kaliningrag in what used to be Eastern Prussia. 

We don't know the outcome of the ongoing conflict in Ukraine - another country that was made up with bit and pieces taken from other countries including Poland, Hungary and Russia. In fact, the present conflict is very much the consequence of the way Ukraine was made with Western Ukraine in direct conflict with Eastern Ukraine - one predominantly Polish and Hungarian and the other predominantly Russian. The conflict is a mix of geopolitical divisions and ethnic divisions.

Borders can change and borders will change. So we can expect that there will be conflict along the way and further bloodshed can be guaranteed. Whether China decides to recover what is know today as Taiwan remains to be seen but there is certainly the prospect of yet another conflict as the multipolar world replaces the bipolar world created by World War Two.





Thursday, 17 August 2023

China will make a move taking the world by surprise

 

My belief is that China will make a move when the world least expect China to move. Taiwan might not be a strategic target from a territorial point of view, but it has huge political significance. The West, and in particular the USA, have made Taiwan a target. By recoving the territory we today called Taiwan, China will be making a gigantic political statement and will leave the West at a loss and facing massive embarrassment.

By making regular political statements that it cannot back up with actions, the West will be left eggfaced. Taking back Taiwan, China will gain massive credibility as the West will lose credibility. American allies and pseudo allies in Asia will have to think very hard about their political and strategic alternatives.

How soon might China launch a military operation to bring back Taiwan into the fold? As minds are focus on the European continent, China knows that keeping things together in Europe will require every bit energy and no matter how many allies or psedo allies USA has in the region, the support and/or capability of the said allies and peudo allies cannot be guaranteed.

Will defeat in Asia, after the failures in Iraq and in Afghanistan, be an all-time low for American foreign policy?






Monday, 17 January 2022

China: Unequivocal expressions of Chinese Ambassador in France

 

Unequivolcal expressions of Chinese Ambassador in France

You need to listen carefully to know where things are heading towards. The reunification of Taiwan with mainland China is just a matter of time.

Insofar the fall of the Shah of Iran was predictable and what happened at the American Embassy in 1979 could have been avoided, something similar seems to be happening when it comes to Taiwan.

The signs exist for those who want to see, who are ready to take into account what is happening right now and take the necessary measures to avoid a catastrophe that is on the cards.

When it comes to Eastern Europe, each side is positioning itself very much as it happens before the battle. Diplomacy will continue until the time when the first shot is fired because diplomacy is used to prevent any side taking action before all preparations are in place. The sides are sizeing each other, looking for strengths and weaknesses. It reminds me of the preparation for battle that you could see in the days of Napoleon Bonaparte. The cavalry, the infantry and the artillery are being made ready for battle.

The Chinese Ambassador does not mention words that could be directly associated with war but the meaning of what he says is pretty clear.The sides are playing for time and when time runs out it will be showdown time. In Poland, there are expressions of concern regarding an imminent conflict. In Germany, there seems to be the belief that something major will happen soon. You need to listen to what is being said and you have to listen what is not been said. You have to pick up the pieces of what is happening elsewhere because there are not going to be merely regional battlefields. When conflict begins the Organisation of the United Nations will cease to exist and all conventions and agreements guaranteed by the existence of the UN will cease to exist. Laws will be written by the victors and a New World Order will be built on the ashes of the present World Order.




Monday, 20 September 2021

China USA: on a collision course leading to war


We just came out pretty baddly in Afghanistan after 20 years of a bloody and very expensive conflict only to surrender to the same forces that we were supposed to have defeated. 

There are quite a few ongoing conflicts, but we always seem to be looking for yet another disastrous war.

As every war is an economic business and China happens to be the biggest creditor of the USA, waging war against China might seem like a good opportunity to get rid of trillons of dollars of American debt. China is using quite a few US dollars to expand its influence across several continents. This is not just about Made in China. This is also about Made for China by China in Africa, Latin America and elsewhere.

During Trump Presidency, the emphasis was on NATO countries investing more in Defence by beefing up their contributions to NATO. Now, Biden seems to be saying 'forget about NATO, let's do something new'. AUKUS (Australia, UK, US) seems to be a more appropriate of spending US dollars and in the process boot US manufacturing (at least manufacturing of nuclear submarines in the USA. Apparently, all US military submarines are already nuclear so making a few more for Australia would not be so difficult.

The call made by Ursula von der Leyen as President of the European Commission for the EU to take a more robust approach when it comes to its own defenses seems to be part of the new realities. NATO is on the way out - ready to join the Warsaw Pakt), AUKUS is in, and the focus goes from Europe to Asia, where Japan is beginning for a stronger Western response to militarization of the Sea of China.

Ukraine will have to look for a very comfortable armchair to wait for the delivery of Western aid. Forget Middle East, forget Asia Minor, forget Europe. Some strategists in some dark hidden room might be already looking for an excuse to attack China - just in case China does not try to recover Taiwan because Taiwan is China. 

The question is: why would China want to fight a war at sea when it has all the advantages of a conflict on the continent and a massive army?

As the big boys focus their attention elsewhere - oh surprise - Argentina has gone for more fighter jets having invested more than 400 million dollars to renew its airforce. Why would Argentina needs a stronger airforce?

As the British are scaling down their military and as the attention goes elsewhere, are they planning to go for a vacation on the South Atlatic islands? During days that the Argentinian President and his vice-President that used to be the Argentinian President (Cristina Fernández de Kirchner) don't seem to be seeing eye to eye, I am sure that refloating the old plans about the Falkland Islands would be a good idea for politics sake.

  





Monday, 3 May 2021

China: Wars are about money

 

It is no secret that while USA has been waging wars on credit and getting increasingly into debt, China has beed working hard, spreading its influence across the world and investingly heavely in the UK, in the USA and in many other countries.

The 2008 financial crisis is a clear example of how the USA has been operating, getting into debt, fuelling or creating conflicts around the world and using the consequences of conflicts it has created to invest more and more in the weapons industries - investing monies that the USA does not really have.

When the obvious consequence of such folly becomes self-evident, the recipe to ignore where the root of the problem really lies is to blame China and Russia as if demonising China and Russia the problems of the USA could be magically solved.

The conflict in Ukraine, for example, is a Ukrainian issue, but it is constantly used by the USA to justify massive military deployments. The conflict in Hong Kong and in Taiwan is a Chinese issue, but once again it is used by the USA to justify accusations about 'Chinese aggression and lack of democracy'. China has been a Comunist country since the days of Mao Tse-Tung, but the West including the USA were very happy to ignore whatever was going on in China because they wanted to invest in China to make money by using cheap labour and then sell manufactured products back in the West.

China took the transfers of resources and increasing indebtness of the West - including the USA - to develop its own economy and perfect technology to compete with the West and buy in the West whatever it could buy. China buys soy from Argentina and invests in Brazil in the creation of gateways to link the Atlantic Ocean to the Pacific Ocean across Brazil. China invests in Africa because Africa is rich in mineral resources that China really and trully needs to develop its industries. China invests in New Zealand and Australia that now see their economic future that depends on their relationship with China.

While America speculates with dubious financial investments that ruin its economy and condemn millions of Americans to abject poverty, China - despite its ideological stance - is creating more wealth that the USA and heading towards pole position when it comes to world powers. 


Saturday, 6 June 2020

Crisis in the West is very good news for China

Crisis in the West is very good news for China

As chaos spreads in so called Western countries, China advances apace towards the great opening. China works long term and it has the numbers and the brains to do what is needed to ensure that the Twenty-First Century belongs to China.

China has a powerful weapon that Western countries have been rapidly losing: racial homogeneity that fuels strong Nationalism.

In the coming months, as Western countries face social, politic and economic disintegration, China will be pushing forward to firstly restore its territorial unity by taking total control of Hong Kong and taking over Taiwan. 
The next stage is to take control of its territorial waters and exercising total sovereighty coupled with military expansion. The Sea of China is a crucial theatre and China - like Japan before it - will be exerting pressure on India and its neighbouring countries. One by one, neighbouring countries will be feeling the pressure.

In the meantime, Western countries weakened socially, politically and economically in a world in which men pretend to be women and women pretend to be men will soon lose the capability to defend themselves. Stong armies can only be supported by strong economies and Western countries wealth is merely an illusion based on mountains of debt both private and public.

All Western countries can do is to protest in vain because China will do what China wants to do. China is no Syria. China is not Iran. China has the capablity to use nuclear weapons and, if the sheer number of its military is not employed, China will use its nuclear power without hesitation. China needs Lebensraum and China needs vital resources and China will take territory and the resources that come with territory.

The mentally disabled politicians of the West and those who believe in them will continue their labour of destruction of Western economies, will destroy Western national identities, will destroy racial homogeneity and are planting the seeds of the fall of the Western World.

Saturday, 13 May 2017

Yvette Cooper: More than 50 countries were attacked by hackers

More than 50 countries suffered hacking and among them some of the countries that invest more in technology. Despite this fundamental truth, Ivette Cooper, the Mirror and others try to make it a political issue taking advantage of high levels of ignorance when it comes to computer technology.

The list includes Russia, China and Taiwan. Do you reckon Russia, China and Taiwan invest very little in technology? No matter how much money you invest in technology, any system can be broken into.

Just come to my mind the words of General George S Patton referring to lines of defence: "anything created by man, can be destroyed by man".

Any system, including the Pentagon and the CIA, can be hacked and it is not because of lack of investment. The political classes are completely out of their depths when it comes to technology and what can be done with it.

So please, don't make yourselves look and sound like ignorant ass holes by pretending that there is a system that cannot be broken into. Every system, even the most technologically advanced system, can be broken into.