China will make a move taking the world by surprise

 

My belief is that China will make a move when the world least expect China to move. Taiwan might not be a strategic target from a territorial point of view, but it has huge political significance. The West, and in particular the USA, have made Taiwan a target. By recoving the territory we today called Taiwan, China will be making a gigantic political statement and will leave the West at a loss and facing massive embarrassment.

By making regular political statements that it cannot back up with actions, the West will be left eggfaced. Taking back Taiwan, China will gain massive credibility as the West will lose credibility. American allies and pseudo allies in Asia will have to think very hard about their political and strategic alternatives.

How soon might China launch a military operation to bring back Taiwan into the fold? As minds are focus on the European continent, China knows that keeping things together in Europe will require every bit energy and no matter how many allies or psedo allies USA has in the region, the support and/or capability of the said allies and peudo allies cannot be guaranteed.

Will defeat in Asia, after the failures in Iraq and in Afghanistan, be an all-time low for American foreign policy?