Thursday 24 August 2023

Ukraine. Will sending obsolete equipment help or hamper war effforts at the same time that raises the stakes?


There is an awareness that equipment sent is obsolete or surplus and that also banned weapons are being sent to a theatre of war thus increasing the risk that all weapons will be allowed including nuclear and chemical weapons.

Let us remember in which year we are: 2023. When were the F16s introduced? 17 August 1978. NATO is sending flying coffins.

The longer the confllict goes on the greater the risk of greater involvement and we must also think about the issue of population movements that can seriously affect host countries. Even if at the beginning of the exodus host countries are willing to show solidarity, sooner than later welcoming attitudes turn to contempt and fatigue.

Poland itself has proposed a referendum on migration to challenge EU policies on migration. Hungary has been pretty open about its unhappiness about huge numbers of migrants coming to Hungary. Within the EU, countries hold different views about migration and especailly after decades of mass migration not just from within Europe, but from far away. 

Migration has political consequences because in the end it is all about social stability and economics. The Covid Pandemic led to lockdown that had a negative widespread effect. This combined with the energy crisis and migration has not made life any easier and suddenly we are having to cope with inflation that is more than double what the Bank of England was expected to manage.

Politicians have a way of manipulating facts regarding migration, pandemics, and any other factors involved, causes and consequences, in a way to suit their own political agendas and this is not helpful at all because, on top of lack of data, they add confusion and instability. This is especially serious when elections are on the horizon. Rationality dies to be replaced by irrationality reinforced by lack of knowledge.


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