Why mainstream political parties are losing ground and fringe parties have become mainstream?

 

Just a decade ago, CDU/CSU used to call the shot in German politics and European politics. In fact, the German Chancellor and the French President used to have the final word in quite a few of the most important decisions made by the European Union.

But it must be said that CDU/CSU had to cohabitate with SPD in a marriage of convenience and this lasted until CDU/CSU fell catastrophically opening the way for the unthinkable: a coalition between German Conservatives FPD, SPD Social Democrats and Grüne Socialists.

The EU Parliament Elections have shown a rebirth of CDU and allowed AfD to surpass SPD while FPD and Grüne have fallen.

The call is very straightforward: German peoples do matter and must be the main priority for Germany. Decades of open doors and policies that mainly benefit non Germans have been rejected by German voters that face a very uncertain future as German economics has been seriously undermined both by environmental policies and an energy crisis that has increased energy costs and cut energy supplies.

Pushing forward environmental policies at the expense of the German economy is not good policy. The first two gigantic mistakes were made by Angela Merkel when she decided to get rid of nuclear power and open the floodgates for migration. Her almost unilateral decisions created animosity in Eastern Europe as most people coming to Germany had to go through Eastern European countries to reach Germany. Then, she made the equally astonishing statement ´Multikulti ist tot´ (Multikulturalism is dead). We are not in the mind of Angela Merkel, but we can guess that since then she has regretted getting rid of Nuclear Power and of having open the floodgates for migration.

By the end of her reign as German Chancellor, her own political party was not ready to give her a blank cheque. In order to remain as German Chancellor she was forced to resign as Leader of the CDU.

In France, Emmanuel Macron saw that he could not go on as usual when his official candidate for Prime Mnister got barely 15% in the European Parliament Elections. The decision to call for a Parliamentary Election was not easy but it had to be taken. Left, Right and Centre rejected his policies. Now, on June 30th and on July 1st, he faces the challenge and the possibility of having a Rassemblement National Prime Minister and a hostile National Assembly till the end of his term as French President. Emmanuel Macron will still have veto power, but from a political point of view he might have to deal with policies that go very much against his own policies. So both in the French Assembly and in the European Parliament decisions would be in the hands of Rassemblement National.

 

Humza Yousaf: an earthquake in Scottish politics and UK politics

 

Humsa Yousaf: an earthquake in Scottish politics and UK politics

From Alex Salmond, through Nicola Sturgeon to Humza Yousaf, the SNP was a different SNP every step of the way. The surge of the Alba Party was part of this voyage.

Practically from the very beginning, Alex Salmond was telling us that Scotland could be independent and self-financing with Scottish oil and gas resources. That was his fighting card. 

The arrival of Nicola Sturgeon (and of her husband now facing fraud charges) made people believe that Nicola Sturgeon could get things done and she was the darling of the mass media until her fall that some say was motivated by pressures related to a fraud investigation. She also made the ill fated decision to have a coalition with the Green Party that brought in very unsavoury policies in terms of energy and of gender politics, something that was questioned outright by Scottish voters that started to turn their backs on the SNP.

Events outside the United Kingdom and markedly the crisis in the Middle East had a negative impact, once again, because the ethnicity and religion card has been played over and over again. The Zionist Movement could not possibly accept a Muslim leader, critical of events in the Middle East. So the fall of Humza Yousaf has been caused by a cocktail of reasons and the choice of a new leader will tells in which direction Scotland is moving and in which direction British politics is moving with Muslim increasingly disenchanted that do not trust that there is a valid expression of their views and needs in British politics.

There are already signs that in the future British politics will be about ethnic politics and very little about real British needs. Angela Merkel, speaking about Germany, publicly said 'Multikulti ist tot' (Multiculturalism is dead). The same will now apply to British politics. 

With EU in recession, German coalition wants to deprive German industries of gas to send gas to Ukraine

Since Angela Merkel's disastrous decision to get rid of nuclear power in Germany, Germany became extremely dependent on fossil fuel imports. When the situation in Eastern Europe worsened, Germany had to start reopening coal mines. Major industrial players in Germany alerted the German coalition that they need to have secure energy supplies. Unfortunaly, the coalition led by Olaf Scholz is deaf and intends to send German gas to Ukraine. What is even more astonishing is that countries like Netherlands that have gas stocks were thought to be diverting their own supplies to Germany.

In the midst of recession, diverting gas supplies away from German industries makes a bad situation even worse. If German manufacturing falters, the possibility of job loses, export losses and industrial unrest rises. Although the next Federal Election is still a long way into the future, if the worst happens, the future of the ruling coalition will be in doubt. It was hard for SPD to negotiate a deal that could unite conservatives FDP and Greens. For the German economy, there has been a triple whammy: loss of nuclear energy, higher prices of oil and gas plus exports of gas to other countries.

Germany is the engine of the EU. Will the coalition survive until the next Federal Election. The longer the conflict in Eastern Europe goes on the worse the prospects for the German economy. The axe Berlin/Paris is also going through challenges. President Macron will not be around for another mandate. One word that describes what is happening in France is 'uncertainty'. Who will step in to challenge Rassemblement National? 

This is a tour de force, a game of political survival. As all the weapons sent to Ukraine are being systematically destroyed, the European Union risks being naked because what is being sent is not being replaced. Taxes going up in the midst of recession to pay for the war effort?

Stoltenberg: Proving over and over again that NATO never was a defensive organisation

 

Jen Stoltenberg proves over and over again that NATO is not a defensive organisation and any statements of such nature amount to mobilisation. In spite of what was said some years ago by Sergei Ivanov about any wars in Europe being fought with conventional forces, the Russian Federation will be forced to launch a preemptive nuclear attack if a massive number of troops were to be deployed in the European theatre.

In war, miscalculations happen and miscalculations by politicians who have little or no acumen in terms of military confrontations are extremely dangerous.

The fact that Lithuania has de facto created a Polish Corridor is a reason to be extremely concerned. Like it happened before - WWI  being an example of a chain reaction after events in Sarajevo - a chain reaction would follow any mobilisation. Jen Stoltenberg should already know that, if NATO is ready to deploy 300,000 troops, sooner than later conscription will have to be implemented to deal with what will follow. In fact, mobilisation itself will be a declaration of war and this will be a lot more than sending weapons to a threatre of war. Germany has promised weapons that it has never delivered. Actual conscription is a completely different matter. Politicians like Olaf Scholz, like Emmanuel Macron and others can visit Ukraine as many times as they wish or organise meetings in Berlin as many times as they wish. Selling a war to the German people or to the French people is a completely different cup of tea.

If somebody were to tell you that the town in which you live is going to be wiped out with a nuclear attack right at the beginning of such a war, would you want to go to war? Angela Merkel terrified many Germans with the possibility of a nuclear accident like the accident at Fukushima. Ordinary people heard about another nuclear accident at Chernobyl. They have have a pretty good idea of what could happen.

Politicians like Jen Stoltenberg and others should have the decency of telling ordinary people about the real consequences of any large scale military confrontation. I suspect that until now politicians keep talking about 'supplying weapons' to avoid telling people that there is the real prospect of a catastrophic war in Europe. The moment they start talking about troops mobilisation is the moment when decisions have already been made to go to war and there will be a point of no return.

 

  

Ursula von der Leyen muss weg

 

To say that Ursula von der Leyen was incompetent as German Defense Secretary and has been incompetent as appointed President of the European Commission would be a gross understatement.

She started by making a mess in Northern Ireland and in the Republic of Ireland by going against established EU policies and later backtracking when she was bombarded with criticisms, including criticisms expressed by the German mass media. Shge managed to unite Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland against her.

With regards to the fight against Covid-19, she hasn't been on top of her brief and has stood paralized while EU countries stopped acting as EU countries and went against each other. Austria is leading a group of six EU countries that want to have access to Russian vaccines and Germany has now joined them while France and others remain stuck with rising number of infections, hospitals that cannot cope with the number of cases and rising deaths leading to further quarentine measures.

The latest chapter was the embarrassment during a meeting in Turkey. She allowed herself to be sidelines and later complained saying that she had been sidelined. She doesn't have the guts to act on the spot. Is she really the President of the European Commission? If she is the President of the European Commission she should start acting as the President of the European Commission. If she doesn't have what it takes to be the boss, she should put herself aside and allow somebody else to be the boss.

The office of President of the European Commission is being downgraded, the EU project is being downgraded, and her former boss Angela Merkel is doing no better. Hesitation, gigantic errors of judgment, followed by meaningless apologies that give way to more hesitation, more gigantic errors of judgment, followed by more meaningless apologies. Angela Merkel no longer has what it takes to be leader and voters are turning against CDU/CSU across Germany, election after election. Time for change, but what will replace them? The very authority of the German Chancellor as now former party leader - she had to resign the leadership of CDU to remain in power until the next German Federal Election - is being challenged by members of her own party. She had to come out and threaten members of her own party that were found working with Alternative fur Deutschland in several regions.

To sum up, a mess in Germany and a mess in the European Union. 

Corona Virus is a test for the European Union as a whole

Corona Virus is a test for the European Union as a whole

National reactions to the Corona Virus crisis show the true state of the European Union. Border fences up. Freedom of Movement and the Schengen agreement go out through the window. National priorities kick in.

Germany is on a slippery slope downwards. The 2017 Federal Elections proved extremely difficult for Angela Merkel's CDU. After losing ground, SPD - their coalition partner - walked away not wanting to be in a coalition. In a desperate effort, Angela Merkel tried to reach an agreement with FDP and Grünen, attempt that proved to be unsuccessful. Why would the Grünen want an agreement with a losing political party when their numbers are going up? They went up in the Federal Election and they went up in state elections after the Federal Election. In fact, Grünen and Alternative für Deutschland are the net winners. In Brandenburg, in Bavaria, in Saxony, in Hesse and in Thüringen, the trend is very similar. Moreover, in Thüringen, CDU joined forces with Alternative für Deutschland to get rid of the Die Linke head of government and soonafter that the heir apparent of Angela Merkel (Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer) resigned soonafter.

The context for the new European Union budget includes the fact that Germany and others will have to fill up the financial gap generated by the British withdrawal. Tens of billions of Pounds will have to be found and the remaining 27 countries don't seem to be able to reach an agreement. France is facing an internal struggle with internal political problemas of her own. Spain just had elections in which no political party got an overall majority and a compromise had to be found to appoint a new government. Italy is still on the grip of an ongoing political struggle and shaken by migration. We could go on analyzing what other EU countries are going through. On top of all the troubles comes the Corona Virus with a whole new set of challenges. European Union economies are bound to suffer a great deal and the response to the crisis has been fragmentary. Unless the European Union manages to find common ground, a response based on closure of national borders will do very little to reassure members of the public about the integrity of the European Union. 

Having said that, there are other concerns. If the European Union cannot show unity and integrity when faced with a health emergency, what will happen if the European Union is faced with external aggression. Will it withstand external aggression or will it collapse along the cracks of national borders?  Whoever has a potential interest in testing the European Union's capatity to react as a block is carefully tracking European Union countries responses? Will they come together as one or will they fail to achieve a common response?

Germany: Thuringen could set the tone of German politics

Germany: Thuringen could set the tone of German politics

Angela Merkel is now the Chancellor supported by a political party that doesn't have a leader after the leader she chose to succeed her (Annegret Kramp-Karrenbaeur) resigned saying that she doesn't have enough support in the CDU.

In Thuringen, the fraction of CDU chose to vote together with Alternative für Deutschland and now the CDU itself is in limbo having to choose between left and right.

After five elections - a Federal Election in which CDU/CSU and their then partners SPD suffered significant losses - and four state elections (Brandenburg, Bavaria, Hesse and Saxony in which Alternative für Deutschland and Grünen made important gains), have been followed by what happened in Thüringen that led to the resignation of the party leader.

Will CDU decide to side with Die Linke linked to the Communist Party of the former East Germany? Will CDU decide to side with Alternative für Deutschland? CDU has been caught between a rock and a hard place. If there was to be another Federal Election, what are the chances of a leaderless political party?  SPD has already announced that if Angela Merkel falls they will not enter into a new coalition.

And this happens when discussions about the new European Union budget are ongoing and the crisis generated by coronavirus in China could affect German trade with China and the future relationship with Britain is very much in doubt. Germany without stable governance is not a stable Germany and the more politically fragmented the more difficult it will be to take important decisions both at national and international level.

Ursula von der Leyen: Desperate trip to London.

Ursula von der Leyen: Desperate trip to London

Ursula von der Leyen (aka Angela Merkel) is very much against the wall. She barely managed to win the 2017 Federal Election. She desperately tried to form a coalition with FPD and Grünen. She failed. She ended up agreeing a coalition of last resort with SPD that didn't want a coalition with her after losing support.

By the same time, CDU/CSU lost in Brandenburg, Bavaria, Saxony and Hesse and it was revealed that CDU representatives were working together with AfD at local level.

As if this wasn't enough, she had to resign the leadership of CDU to persuade her how political party to allow her to continue. Although on the surface this is about the relationship between EU and UK, it is in fact about the political survival of Angela Merkel now that SPO's newly elected leaders are asking for more concessions at a time when Germany is being forced to increase contributions to EU.

Germany desperately needs a deal to try and soften the blow of Brexit on the German economy. Ursula von der Leyen was in fact appointed by Angela Merkel as she was the only candidate on the ballot for President of the EU Commission in a battle of wills between Angela Merkel and Emmanuel Macron. The outome of the British General Election only serve to confirm German fears. It must be noted that after the German Federal Election, AfD is represented in the Bundestag and in every single of the 16 state parliaments in Germany. This is a crucial moment for Germany.

Ursula von der Leyen is playing for Angela Merkel using the EU as a shield to delay Brexit.

European Union: Poland's troubles are just the beginning.

European Union: Poland troubles are just the beginning

Recent internal elections in SPD in Germany have led to new problems for Angela Merkel. The new leadership of SPD is demanding further concessions that Angela Merkel has dimmed unacceptable and this could mean the end of the ruling coalition. The German Chancellor who is no longer the leader of her own poilitcal party -CDU - knows that additional financial burdens that come on top of having to supply additional monies for the European Union will have a political cost that she cannot afford. 

SPD is making more financial demands, regardless of the fact that SPD lost the 2017 Federal Elections and has lost in every single state election that came afterwards -= Bavaria, Brandenburg, Saxony and Hesse in which Alternative für Deutschland and Grünen made huge advances. Alternative für Deutschland is the official German Opposition in the Bundestag and commands support in every single one of the sixteen regional parliaments in Germany.

It has been reported that it could take up to a year to approve the European Union budget and German taxpayers are in no mood to increase financial contributions via higher taxes or increased borrowing. If the German coalition falls, Angela Merkel could become the Chancellor in a minority government or even fall from power to be replaced by the present leader of CDU.

This comes as more and more CDU politicians are choosing to work together with Alternative für Deutschland despite threats issued by Angela Merkel herself to deter CDU membrers from effectively joining Alternative für Deutschland at local level. Let's remember that Germany is the driving force within the European Union and that her main partner - France - is facing times of great political uncertainty.

The landslide victory of the Conservative Party led by Boris Johnson in the United Kingdom must have come as a bucket of cold water not just for Germany but for others within the ruling elites of the European Union who are now threatening to refuse to approve the Withdrawal Agreement that they themselves negotiated with the Conservative Government. The mere possibility of a No Deal outcome is what Germany's CDU fears most. They know that Germany will have to face pressures coming not just from the USA that doesn't want EU unfair trade practices but also from an invigorated United Kingdom. Germany sees its position as net expoeter threatened and this means less votes if the German economy falters.

If Poland were to leave the European Union soon to be followed by others, one wonders what could be worse: the political and psychological implications of mone countries leaving the European Union or the financial consequences. Just a few weeks ago, President Macron blocked the accession of Albania and North Macedonia arguing that it would no be advisable to incorporate new countries without implementing urgent reforms before such accession is even contemplated. Adding more countries that will be net receivers of EU funding is a recipe for disaster at a time when the main funders of the European Union are facing troubles of their own.

   

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson in the House of Commons

The Opening Speech in the House of Commons by British Prime Minister Boris Johnson started by once again setting up the deadline for Britain to leave the European Union. Brexit should have happened on March 29th 2019 but postponement after postponement the country found itself having to organize European Parliament Election and having to witness the circus of the election of the new President of the European Commission that was in fact not elected but appointment. The former German Defense Minister was in fact the only candidate on the ballot put forward after a struggle between Angela Merkel and Emmanuel Macron.

This is a very strange time in British politics in which those opposing Brexit seem to be supporting the IRA that walked away from the Northern Ireland Assembly leaving Northern Ireland in the doldrums transforming so called Devolution into a meaningless word.

The country voted for Brexit and therefore it was a fundamental error to have a Remain Prime Minister and a Cabinet in which too many were Remain supporters including Jeremy Hunt who stood for the leadership of the Conservative Party. Jeremy Hunt would have been another version of Theresa May. 

This is a binary question. To be or not to be and nothing in between. All the talk about a deal was no more than delaying tactics used by those who were opposed to Brexit from day one. We are not going to see 'Leg Touching' Philip Hammond, although he might rise to try and torpedo the Conservative government.

Parliament will return at the beginning of September but the threat is in the air. If Parliament tries to block Brexit, Parliament will be put aside. The present Parliament has degraded democracy setting up obstacles and hurdles to prevent the implementation of Brexit.

Nicola Sturgeon would do better if she faced her own responsibilities in Scotland where the rate of suicides is rising and the rate of those dying because of drug abuse is rising. The SNP Paradise is much more of a version of Hell on Earth. The talk about Scottish Independence is no more than a diversion not to deal with the real issues Scotland is suffering from.

With Angela Merkel's tremor, German faces political tremors

With Angela Merkel's tremor, German faces political tremors

There is fantasy and there is political reality. At ta time when the EU faces extraordinary challenges, to see the German Leader going through what was justified as dehidration is extremely worrying, no matter what they say to justify what is in plein view.

The EU faces a potentially extraordinarily damaging set of circumstances. The struggle with the USA in terms of economics, the upheaval affecting several key EU countries and also some later newcomers into the EU, the prospect of a war in Asia Minor and the Middle East that could make other conflicts looks like minor incidents and the set of circumstances that have led to the loss of faith in so called centre parties are very much part of the picture.

None of those set to replace Angela Merkel is well known enough or has the necessary profile to keep the German ruling coalition together. Let us remember how the present coalition was born. In 2017, the CDU/CSU won a very narrow victory with an ever smaller majority. Because of the reluctance of SPD to form a coaltion after SPD was severely beaten, Angela Merkel had to go for FPD and Grünne. When her attempt to form a coalition with |FPD and Grünne, in despair, she went back to SPD that seeing that the absence of a coalition would lead to yet another Federal Election in which much more could be lost decided to agree terms with Angela Merkel. After that, came several regional elections - one in Bavaria and another one in Hesse where CDU, CSU and SPD lost ever more ground for the benefit of Alternative für Deutschland and Grünne.

As a consequence of loss after loss, Angela Merkel agreed to resign as CDU Leader while remaining German Chancellor until the end of her term in office. Now, the possibility of Angela Merkel having to resign as Chancellor brings back the reality of yet another Federal Election that in view of what is happening right now could lead to major electoral losses and the rise of other political forces including Alternative für Deutschland.

So what you see could herald significant political changes with enormous geopolitical implications.

Theresa May; The Plot thickens about what will be the outcome of one of the worst political crisis in British History with dramatic repercussions for EU

Theresa May: The Plot thickens about what will be the outcome of one of the worst political crisis in British History

As events come to a climax in the House of Commons with the final vote on the Brexit Deal broke out by Prime Minister Theresa May, we keep an eye on what is happening in Germany at the heart of CDU - one of the key components of the ruling German Coalition headed by Chancellor Angela Merkel.

Angela Merkel gave up his place as Leader of CDU and was succeeded by Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer that is seen as a moderate Leader that came up a winner leaving behind Angela Merkel's archenemy Friedrich Merz.

But in spite of this, it could be the case that Angela Merkel will not last until the end her term as German Chancellor that is conditional to their junior coalition partner the SPD.

When in Germany there is the equivalent of a political tsunami, in France things are getting thicker by the minute. The Gilet Jaune Movement could lead to a state of emergency of even the use of the military against protesters. If this were to happen, it would prove that President Macron on top of being one of the least - if not the least - popular President in the history of France has literally not a leg to stand on.

As Germany and France keep pushing towards forcing EU member countries to accept immigrants or face a heave price by having to subsidise countries that do accept immigrants, the situation in the remaining EU countries is not straightforward. If the Theresa May's deal is rejected by the House of Commons it will also add to the political uncertainty in the European Union piling up financial tensions. Without British money (Britain is the second most important donor to finance the EU Budget), Germany and France would have go cap in hand to ask for more monies to finance the EU budget and pay for flood immigration.

Let us remember that the budget proposed for Italy by the Italian ruling coalition was rejected by the European Union and that Italy is not fit to provide any more funding for the EU. Other countries, including Greece but not exclusively Greece don't have the financial capacity to pay more for the EU Budget either.

In the last election, Angela Merkel that barely managed to gather the votes to form a government was forced to engage in a series of negotiations with FDP and Grünen. When efforts to reach an agreement with FDP and Grünen failed, at the last minute she reached an agreement with SPD. What happened next tells the full story. In state elections in Bavaria, both the CSU (associate party of CDU) and SPD were routed in the elections. Then came CDU's turn in Hesse with comparable losses. The natural consequence was that Alternative für Deutschland has now representatives not just in the Bundestag but also in every single State Parliament in Germany. Will a fragile ruling coalition be able to extract more money from German taxpayers without causing another political rift?

At this point in time, all those who want Britain to remain a member of the European Union must ask themselves very serious questions. They need to be thinking very carefully about the kind of the European Union that is coming. Zac Goldsmith - Jewish Conservative MP - spoke very clearly about the political threats in an European Union that is in meltdown.

Britain is due to leave the European Union on March 29th 2019. For all the talk about a transition period that could go as far as 2020 in some cases or even 2022, or even become an "indefinite transition period", it is impossible to predict the kind of European Union that will be around during such transition period.

For Theresa May the date is December 11th 2019, according to the latest bit of news. But there are rumours about the vote in the House of Commons being postponed to avert a disastrous defeat that could put an end to Theresa May's Premiership leading to massive political conflicts. What will actually happen on December 11th 2019 and soon after December 11th 2019 is everybody's guess but what we have seen and heard is not reassuring.

Brexit: To be or not to be

Brexit: To be or not to be

The crisis that arose out of an impossibility is reaching a new climax. You cannot be and not be at the same time. You cannot be out of the EU and in the EU at the same time.

Brexiteers want an all out which is the real OUT and not the fake OUT proposed by Remainers that want to stay in by pretending that being out can be also mean to be in.

If you stay in the Common Market, if you stay in the Customs Union, you cannot possibly be out. If the price to stay in the Common Market and in the Customs Union is to continue following EU Rules, you cannot possibly be out. Out must mean out. Out means total freedom. Partial out means becoming a colony of the EU. 

What will happen to Prime Minister Theresa May? Well, there are several possible outcomes. She can manipulate the Conservative Party but has to also be able to persuade the Opposition for a deal with EU to be approved by the House of Commons. She could face a leadership challenge and fail to get enough support or she could face a leadership challenge and be removed from office. She could face a vote of No Confidence in the House of Commons and this would mean that the Conservative will have to choose a successor. Some mention the possibility of an advanced General Election but we must remember that the Conservative/Liberal Democrat Coalition that took office in 2010 change the way General Elections are called and created the concept of Fixed Term Parliament. Legislation would have to be approved in the House of Commons to be able to call an advanced General Election. Are there enough votes in the House of Commons to call an advanced General Election?

Angela Merkel stated this evening that there won't be any other deal, thus closing the door to any negotiation. Therefore, for the British Parliament, this is case of 'take it or leave it'. If the House of Commons rejects the deal presented by Theresa May and supported by EU, there is not going to be any deal. Remainers keep fantasising about a new deal that is not actually on the cards because EU has already rejected the possibility of any other deal.

EU is profoundly anti-democratic. EU is run by what we could call Democratic Centralism - the way the Communist Party operated in the Soviet Union = Decisions taken inside a cabinet in total secrecy without any Parliamentary scrutiny. Britain is a Parliamentary Democracy and Brexit means being a Parliamentary Democracy. Having Brexit means maintaining the democratic way of life. If you are given the choice between being in a Parliamentary Democracy or in a Soviet Democratic Centralism, what would you choose?

 

  

Politics and Crime: The Godfather is Real Politics

Politics and Crime - The Godfather is Real Politics

When you look at divisions today, divisions everywhere, divided political parties, divided society, divided countries, divided world, and the network of intrigues, you see The Godfather. When big things are at stake, life is cheap.

Looking at the what is happening everywhere, it is easy that Jo Cox was not the first and will not be the last. I don't see how the big political conflicts of today can come to a peaceful end and peace is a very elusive target.

Certainties are over. Trust is gone. If one of the few means any civilised society has to protect itself is censorship, we are doomed. The more censorship is promoted rest assured that violence will follow. If political persecution, harassment, intimidation, discrimination, demonising, distortion, defamation, libel and incarceration for political ends become the norm, Democracy is dead. Political Correctness generates a Totalitarian Society and no one is safe. When the very same organisations that are supposed to stand for Freedom become promoters of Intolerance, we are doomed.

I often remember the famous expression "The Pen is Mightier than the Sword" and say that if Political Correctness builds dams and takes away The Pen that allows us to express our thoughts peacefully, The Sword will rule.

Very much like the old League of Nations, the Organisation of the United Nations is falling apart and treaties are being torn to pieces. Tearing apart a Treaty is merely the recognition that the circumstances that led to signing such Treaty are no more. The World is changing and many are preparing themselves for war and the coming war - unlike previous wars that were called World Wars - will be a real World War and there will no place to hide. There will be war between countries and there will be war within countries caused by conflicting values and people who will take no prisoners. Everything that we cherish will be lost because in the coming wars there will be no winners. There will be only losers.

Looking at one country in particular - Germany -, for some time I have thought that Angela Merkel because of her own wrongdoing might the last democratic Chancellor of Germany. She misused Democracy and created a nightmare not just for Germany but for many other countries that seeing themselves under threat are building barriers to protect themselves. With her policies, Angela Merkel promoted a Siege Mentality justified by the fact the European Continent is being invaded and destroyed by imported forces of Intolerance, invasion that has been promoted by Political Correctness, Corruption, Incompetence and Ideological Madness.

Merkel Out / Merz In? CDU marching towards the Right?

Angela Merkel / Friedrich Merz

CDU marching towards the Right or the Far Right?

The repercussions of what happened during the last Federal Elections and of two consecutive state elections - Bavaria and Hesse - are spreading.  Angela Merkel's announced departure both as party leader and as Chancellor (she will be withdrawing from public office and not standing in elections) come together with the debate of who is going to succeed her firstly as party leader and later on as candidate to become German Chancellor. Let's look at positions maintained by one of the most probable contenders for leadership of CDU:

This shows why Friedrich Merz might be a very attractive choice. CSU tried somehow to take on board part of Alternative für Deutschland's agenda in a desperate effort to avoid defeat but was defeated anyway. It was so obvious that it looked like a cynical attempt. Now, the change would be taking place not in Bavarian CSU but in CDU. If CDU adopt similar o identical policies to those proposed by Alternative für Deutschland, voters might decide to vote for the real thing instead of voting for a copy of the real thing that opened the floodgates and created the problems that led to consecutive electoral defeats.

The question is: once the successor is chosen, will whoever is chosen be an ally or a rival of Angela Merkel? How safe her position will be after December 2018? Will she be in power until March 2019? What about her political backing in terms of negotiations? Will her successor be inclined to alliances that go against party policies? Too many coalitions and too much uncertainty at a time when unity and clarity are key in any decision making process.

Germany: Poverty Threatens Nearly One In Five In Germany

The Truth Shall Set You Free - The fall from favour of Angela Merkel has deeper roots than previously thought. The collapse of CDU/CSU and of SPD is due to Flood Immigration and to the consequences of Flood Immigration in terms of lowering German standards and condemning million of German to a life in poverty. Driven by the same ideological nonsense that is dominant in other European countries and in the USA, people like Angela Merkel promoted Flood Immigration and ordinary Germans are having to deal with the dire consequences of it.

I have known for a long time and all those who are constantly attacking National Socialist Germany should know better that Germany is not the kind of country that can maintain political stability when things go wrong in financial terms. The National Socialist Party didn't rise in Germany merely because of grievances about the Versailles Treaty or bullying by political groups. Things a lot deeper than that. Millions of people across Germany had been condemned to a meagre existence that any self-respecting individual would have rejected and found offensive. And this is exactly what is happening right now across Germany. Quite a few ordinary Germans live in poverty and Flood Immigration can only make a bad situation worse.  In a rich country, one of the most wealthy countries in Europe, having people who are living in poverty is not just nonsensical and shameful but also dangerous, as dangerous as it was in Germany after World War One.

Heimat and Deutschland, Deutschland über Alles are now extremely relevant but so called mainstream political parties are oblivious to what is really happening and keep promoting their 'mainstream ideological nonsense' that more and more Germans, including those who traditionally supported so called mainstream political parties, are turning against. 

The rise of the so called Far Right is a cry for social and economic justice. The Far Right is not just Far Right. It is Absolutely Right when it asks for Germans to be Priority Number One.

German People have spoken: Angela Merkel muss weg

German People have spoken: Angela Merkel muss weg!

Little by little, and despite high levels of demonising and repression, the German People are waking up. They don't want a subservient Germany, constantly exploited and abused by politicians that flood the country with foreigners many of whom have evil intentions. 

For centuries, the German People have been known as hard-working people who are strong-willed enough to extract record success out of the most appalling catastrophe. For a very long time, money has been given away to certain developing countries with the hope that they like the German People would get similar levels of success. The outcome was without saying. It has been a complete and utter failure. Why? They don't have the qualities True Germans have for hard work, perseverance and creativity.

When I think about the German People, I recall the words of Rudyard Kipling's poem "IF". But even the best people can have amongst them individuals like Angela Merkel - traitors who willingly give away the fruits of hard work because they have been brainwashed and turned into enemies of the Fatherland.

It will be hard to undo the damage done by Angela Merkel and those who allowed to her to flood Germany with undesirables. But step by step, the work will be done. The seeds have germinated and trees are growing stronger by the day. The new Politische Soldaten are rising to the challenge and becoming more numerous.

Katie Hopkins: Straight questions and the answer is more than obvious

The vast majority of those fleeing Muslim countries end up in Europe or in the USA. Why? Why do they choose Christian countries? A straight question that demolishes Multiculturalism. Multiculturalism is much more than failed proposition. Multiculturalism is a recipe for ethnic cleansing. 

Those who pursue such failed proposition that leads to ethnic cleansing should be pushed out of the way and this is more or less what is happening in Germany. Angela Merkel got in in a very disputed Federal Election facing Gerhard Schröder. She became the strong woman that opened the immigration floodgates without consulting with other EU countries and generated a mess of massive proportions that is leading the European Continent towards the Right. She should have received a medal awarded by Islamic State. Single-handed she has caused more chaos than Islamic State could have caused if it had had the opportunity. Now, after two disastrous electoral results in Bavaria and in Hesse, Angela Merkel had to beg her own political party to allow her to continue as Chancellor having resigned the leadership of CDU. "Please, I give up CDU Leadership but allow me to continue as Chancellor." It would be a complete and utter disaster for CDU if she stood in the coming Leadership Election in December. 

The Fall of Angela Merkel is significant. She is no longer the Strong Leader she once was and her disciple Emmanuel Macron even dared to contradict her on fundamental issues of Foreign Policy. And what about Brexit? Since Angela Merkel has been the deal breaker, the one who decides what kind of Brexit there will be, her fall from grace will have repercussions. Although she could stay as Chancellor the political calculations are not in her favour.

In the Federal Election, CDU/CSU lost and also her temporary partner SPD lost by association with Angela Merkel. In Bavaria, CSU and SPD lost. In Hesse, CDU and SPD lost. By contrast the Grünen and AfD were the real winners. What will this mean in terms of budgets and policies? Will she be a Lame Duck Chancellor at a time when critical decisions need to be made?

Germany is one piece of the puzzle. An entire continent is moving against Liberalism. Movements for strong national identities are winning the day and stating very clearly that Islam doesn't belong in Europe. In the United Kingdom, the Political Establishment is panicking and taking extreme measures. We are told that MI5 is going to take over Police duties and we might end in a situation in which any dissident that rejects Multiculturalism, rejects Islam and supports a strong National Identity might be seen as Extremist or Terrorist. We see has is already happening to those who campaign against Islamic Extremists. Paul Golding, Jayda Fransen, Tommy Robinson and others are being targeted by the Political Establishment. They have either being in jail, threatened with jail sentences or on their way to jail. Lizzie Dearden from The Independent as always involved in witch-hunting is now targeting Social Media and comments about cooperation between Movements across national borders is the talk of the day.   

Angela Merkel is promoting growth of Far Right

One of Angela Merkel's Greatest Achievements is the Rise of the Far Right

In the history of the Federal Republic of Germany, no one has done more than Angela Merkel to promote the Rise of the Far Right. Her anti-German policies have included flooding Germany with foreigners from outside the European Union. We are not talking about perfectly legal political parties like Alternative für Deutschland and Nationaldemokratische Partei Deutschland that exist within a democratic framework and fight elections but are constantly demonised by the Political Establishment and the Mass Media. We are talking about Movements that say that the Federal Republic of Germany should not exist and that the rules of the German Empire and of the Third Reich are the only ones that they recognise.

Deutsche Welle reports that Reichbürger has now 19,000 members and that some of them are armed. Well, the more the German State persecutes legal political parties in Germany the more people will join movements like Reichbürger and the greater the risks of a meltdown in Germany.

Whatever happens in Hesse today, the fact remains that with the exception of the Grünen, all so called mainstream political parties are losing support. Political Correctness is eroding German Democracy.

Commentators desperately try to draw a link between totally different issues. Muslims are the greatest threat for Jews in Europe. Not long ago a leading Jewish representative in Germany advised Jews not to wear any kind of items that could make them easily identifiable as Jews on German streets. What happened in Pittsburgh, USA, is a completely different story. The attacker that killed 11 people at a Synagogue hates President Trump and engaged in the attack because in his own words President Trump is too close to the Jewish Community. It was President Donald Trump than moved the US Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. Many Presidents before him had spoken about it - including President Obama - but never had to courage to do so.

People like George Soros, a Jew born in Hungary, is promoting the Rise of the Far Right by attempting to destroy European Identities. Strong National Identities are the last line of defence against Extremists. Strong, stable successful economies and stable political systems are the antidote. What is George Soros doing? Well, those who follow George Soros' ideas are eroding National Identity, creating instability that sooner than later will destroy financial and political instability. In the chaos, Extremists will prosper.     

Why the Swastika? What is the appeal

Why the Swastika? What is the appeal?

In quite a few court cases of notoriety, it appears that the Swastika is the symbol of choice for what are fundamentally 'Lone Wolves' with intent to cause harm to those they see as anathema, as the mortal enemy.

Whatever the country where cases are brought to public attention, the symbol of National Socialist Germany that is also part of Hindu Culture is at the forefront. So what are the qualities of the symbol that seem to be so irresistible?

First of all, the Swastika is a symbol of perpetuity, of energy and of renewal. There is an inherent vast amount of energy contained in the Swastika. During the 1920s, 1930s and 1940s there were other elements added to the Swastika. Although the Swastika is black there is a preponderance of red. Both the Soviet flag, the Chinese flag and the National Socialist flag are predominantly red and red is associated with blood, with enormous vitality and this is why the National Socialist flag was such a powerful representation of a nation. There is perpetuity, renewal, energy and vitality combined.

Coming to Britain, red has always been a predominant colour. Red of England, red is the uniform of the Welsh Guards, red in the national flag, the Red Arrows, Red Roses. We are so used to this reality that we simply assume this is the way things are and we don't even stop to think about a hidden message.

Red is the colour of Revolution and whether you are talking about the concepts of Left and Right from a political point of view, the importance of Red cannot be underestimated. National Socialism was a Revolution, it was a completely new way of doing things despite the fact that there were claims about trying to restore past greatness.

One example, but not the only one example, was the military campaign leading to the invasion of France in 1940. France went to war as if it was fighting the 1914 war again. Germany used a completely new approach in which the impossible was possible. The advice given by Heinz Guderian to the commanders was something like 'Strike swiftly but don't disperse your forces'. The key elements are unity of purpose, speed and fundamentally the sense of belonging.

When a disaffected, usually frustrated individual of today, looks at his/her surroundings, what does he/she see? He/She sees a divided society, a very fragmentary reality, a world in which he/she doesn't fit in. He/She was born in a country in which the political elites and the mass media are constantly downgrading the concept of National Identity and replacing National Identity with what they call Multiculturalism. Even more, National Identity and National Pride are identified as threats, as sins, as something deplorable.

It is self-evident that such an individual will therefore turn to the symbol that represents what he/she wants most. He/She wants a national identity. He/She wants the sense of belonging. He/She wants a sense of perpetuity, of renewal, of energy and of vitality combined and the National Socialist flag represents exactly what he/she dreams about and most importantly what he/she needs most.

With varying degrees, more and more the young feel that they are being abandoned, that they don't count, that they are invisible. If your personal circumstances are such that you feel literally excluded, uneducated, jobless, and living in precarious conditions without what you would call a future, what are your available choices? 

The reaction of the Establishment is brutal. Instead of looking at specific circumstances that put individuals in very precarious situations, the State wants to punish those who have been already punished by being excluded. The individuals targeted are called Neo-Nazi, Fascist, Terrorist. The Establishment rarely or never takes responsibility for the distressing circumstances ordinary people have to face on a daily basis.

When Germans protest against occupation and destruction of Germany, they called Neo-Nazi. When French people protest against occupation and destruction of France, they are called Neo-Nazi. Anybody and anyone who stands to protect his/her country is called Neo-Nazi.