I met Dan Korski last Saturday - he has the talents needed to be a candidate

 

I met Dan Korski last Saturday at a political meeting and I was very much impressed because of his delivery as a communicator that is consistent, coherent and has the don of oratory and this is something that not always characterizes those standing for public office.

When he talks much more than a speech it feels like a conversation with every member of the audience and he engages with you in very much the same way. It feels like a conversation between mates. Direct, frank, inspirational. 

There has been some criticism regarding short-lists and perhaps if, as several Members of Parliament have asked for, there is a reopening of the selection process then the Conservative Party will be able to find candidates who have such a don for oratory.

I feel that in recent years the Conservative Party has had a propensity towards panicking. Whatever has happened is merely the word of one person against another without any hard evidence. The Conservative Party feels so insecure that it is bound to bend the knee sacrificing people and sacrificing Conservative values. People need to vote for a political party that trusts itself and adopts firm stances in terms of its true beliefs and, I am afraid to say, the present Conservative does seem to trust itself and does not believe in firm stances. It is faltering all along. 

I look at Her Majesty's Opposition and I don't see any self-trust and I don't see any real beliefs. Keir Starmer showers people with words going one way and soonafter showers people with words going in the opposite direction. 

For several years people have spoken about the need to change the electoral system, of adopting PR instead of FPTP, or having a fully elected second chamber, et cetera. The major problem is not the electoral system or the lack of a fully elected second chamber. The problem in British politics is the lack of quality individuals, the lack of people that have a vision of what they want to achieve. 

I felt that Dan Korki really and trully knows what he wants to achieve and also knows how to achieve, but the fact that he eliminated himself, that he stood down as a candidate, will hopefully force the Conservative Party to reflect. The Conservative Party must forget about factional allegiances and focus on getting the best candidate for the job.

I happened to witness speeches made by two candidates for the London Assembly. One was literally reading a previously written speech and the other was making a consistent, coherent and well made speech without any written text. The person selected to stand for election was the one who read a written speech full of lethanies, showing no conviction, no enthusiasm whatsoever. 

If you as a candidate don't have the talent to improvise your own speech, if you don't have the talent to generate enthusiasm and motivate voters to support you, you shouldn't be a candidate in the first place. 

It is absolutely lamentable that a candidate that has what is needed to be a candidate is no longer standing. 

 

A then BBC Producer, now 61 years of age Daisy Goodwin, kept quiet about a supposed sexual assault for ten years: Cowardice or convenience?

 

Then BBC Producer Daisy Goodwin was a mature adult, 51 years of age, when she says that she was the victim of a sexual assault inside Number 10 Downing Street. And she comes up with an accusation ten years later during an election campaign? Quite convenient. 

Coming from the BBC, the organisation that covered up and hid sexual depravity for the sake of convenience, you could not expect any better.

Why now? Because there is an election and some individuals are out to use every dirty trick for political advantance. When she says that it actually happened was the time to come up and say it, but the then married woman - she got married in 1988 - chose to keep quiet. By not coming out, I presume she was unfaithful to her husband - I want to believe that her husband doesn't like it when other men touch his wife sexually in such a manner. 

The delay leads us to believe that is a dirty tricks campaign against a candidate that they fear. The man is a professional politician, an entrepreneur, and is of Jewish descent. We know quite a lot about certain Labour Party attitudes when it comes to the Jewish communities in Britain. He is also one of those immigrants that did not join the Labour Party. Another reason for the Labour Party to hate him. We remember a Labour MP who told a now Former Conservative Chancellor of the Exchequer that 'you are not black enough'. This is a typical expression of racism and xenophobia against ethnic minorities that dare to join the Conservative Party.

It is even worse, the present Leader of the Labour Party does not know what a woman is and says that a woman can have a penis. Well, the Conservative Party, unlike the Labour Party, has had real women leaders. They did not rise to power because of some short list or positive discrimination. They rose to power based on their own merits. Maybe Keir Starmer believes that there have been female leaders in the Labour Party - his kind of female and this is to say females with penises.

  

Bad governance leads to riots: if democracy is hopeless when trying to sort out problems, violence will follow

We are already seeing it on the streets. When Stop Oil protesters block a public way, drivers are losing patience and taking justice into their own hands. When Police officers stand aside and fail to do their duty, ordinary citizens will act given the absences and failures of local authorities.

There is nothing that could not happen if there is a social breakdown. On the pages of The Guardian we read acticles showing 'astonishment' about the numbers of those living on the streets. People have been living on the streets for many years and nobody seemed to take any notice of what has been happening. The actual heir to the throne - Prince William Windsor - has been walking around and talking about 'no more people sleeping rough'. Rent increases will see thousands of families and individuals facing the real prospect of living on the streets. So the numbers might not be going down, but actually going up as the financial crisis takes hold.

I don't think that in recent times we have seen anything like it. The most recent financial crisis don't come even close to what is going to happen if the economy goes downhill. There are reports indicating that landlords are selling properties that they used to rent. This is going to make the situation worse as places for renting disappear and rental costs go up thank to increased demand and lower supply.

Too much time is being devoted to gender and racial non issues and too little time is being spent trying to deal with crucially important issues. Migration should be a NO/NO. If anything, migration is making a bad situation a lot more explosive. If political parties continue to promote idelogical irrationality instead of dealing with pressing issues, battles will be fought on the streets as tempers flair.

Sooner than later, somebody is going to be run over and killed. After these events, Police forces have been forced to challenge Stop Oil protesters and other groups that are spreading chaos on British streets.

 

CDU demise followed by rise of AfD

 In what has been qualified as a watershed moment in German politics, what could have been easily predicted has happened. AfD won a local election with 52.8% of the vote. The town of Sonneberg, in Thuringen, has elected Robert Sesselman as District Administrator. As it is customary, those who oppose anything truly German will use the usual labels to downgrade, insult and misrepresent the outcome of the election.

Next year in Saxony, Thuringen and Brandenburg there will be state parliament elections and this success points AfD in the right direction. 

They say that a majority of voters have turned their back on democracy. Well, the election was democratic and voters used their democratic right to choose an AfD candidate. They have not turned their back on democracy. They have merely use their democratic rights to choose who they want to rule them.

AfD is advancing thanks to the failures of CDU/CSU and it must be remember that SPD is now ruling Germany as head of a coalition without having increased their electoral votes. What actually happened is the SPD that didn't increase their electoral votes and had to form a coalition with FDP and Grunne is only represented in 11 of 16 German states.

AfD was founded by academics and bankers in 2013 and barely ten years later has 20% support across Germany. Two important characteristics: intellect and economic power, a winning recipe that is being felt across Germany.

Ukraine: I am starting to believe that USA wants Ukraine destroyed

 If anything we learn from the Battle of the Bulge in World War Two is that you should not send tanks into the battlefied without air cover, but this is exactly what the USA is making Ukrainians do and German Leopard tanks and American tanks are being hunted like fish in a barrel.

You also should know that rookies sent into the battlefield with the most advanced technology are still rookies and Ukrainian troops are being slaughered at the tune of 14,000 day, killed and injured and that cemeteries in Ukraine are bein 're-used', using old graves to bury dead combattants.

Is there a secret intention? We knew from various reports, that Bandera units were incorporated in the regular Ukrainian Armed Forces and Bandera units - declared anti-Semites and allies of Germany during World War Two. Is this a way of getting rid of Bandera units? Is the American government sending Bandera units to fight Russian forces knowing that they are going to be defeated by Russian forces.

And what about the turnout of the business? The more tanks are destroyed the more tanks are going to be needed, thus feeding American and German war industries. Never mind if in the process thousands upon thousands of Ukrainian lose their lives and livelihoods.

Ukraine: Like many times before, US disinformation operations have backfired

 In recent days, US launched a disinformation operation aimed at generating confusion on the battlefield but it has disastrously backfired. In fact, the so called 'attempted coup' was no more than rumours spread by the US State Department and acolyte mass media.

What the US State Department does not tell you is that German Leopard tanks and American tanks are being exterminated - to put it mildly. Poorly trained Ukrainian corps without air cover are being pinpoited and destroyed.

No doubt that German panzers are - as usual - very well designed, but they have seldom or never being tested on the battlefield. In the hands of rookies, they are being hunted like fish in a barrel. Nothing was learnt from World War Two. The Battle of Bulge was lost by the Wehrmacht because panzer units on a clear day were easily destroyed by air power once Germany lost control of the skies. The Ukrainian corps are being decimated because they are - like German corps in World War Two - acting without air cover.

Western mass media reports - very much like Goebbels reporting of the Battle of Stanlingrad - are fake and part of a propaganda operation. Fieldmarshal Paulus had already surrendered but German radio was still talking about the victorious Wehrmacht.

Russian artillery is now using weapons that have a 30 kilometer range. Ukrainian crews might not even see approaching death. Once a tank is hit, the presumed outcome is total anihilation. There are estimates of 14,000 Ukrainian casualties a day. 

UK: A cocktail of social disintegration, gender and racial politics, combined with economics means that Britain is now less stable and less safe than before

We not only look at the bigger political parties. We look at smaller political parties that are a lot more in touch with what is happening in British society. You hear the voices of those who feel increasingly threatened and unable to speak for fear of being ostracised and persecuted. Freedom of Speech comes with great danger in an environment in which blind ideology has replaced reason and dialogue.

 

In 1997, the Labour government with Gordon Brown as Chancellor of the Exchequer made the Bank of England independent

 

Dear Helen Hayes MP,

What many politicians don't seem to undertand is that:

1) The Bank of England was made an independent organization. It was Gordon Brown MP as Chancellor of the Exchequer that made the Bank of England independent in 1997.

2) The moneys lent by banks don't belong to banks. Banks borrow money to lend. The banks gave people huge amounts of money for people to buy property and must return the said moneys when people pay back loans and pay interest to those they borrowed money from.

Because of this, when people started to default loans, Gordon Brown had to prop up banks so that the financial system would not collapse.

Was Rachel Reed an MP under Tony Blair? Does she know how tha banking system works? If she was an MP then and if she knows how the banking system works, she shoudn't come up with the load of nonsense she has come up about 'banks helping people'. If banks have to borrow money - provided they can come up and borrow money - they will have to borrow money at market values, thus increasing their vulnerability and cutting down their margins. Does the Labour Party want the banking system to collapse?

When banks where capitalized under Labour, there were new rules implemented by :Labour about reserves that had to keep in order to protect peoples' accounts. The division was made between conventional banking and investment banking. Is Rachel Reed suggesting, that safety rules imposed then by the Labour government have to be abandoned?

Is the Labour Party if in government ready to face a massive financial crisis without having reserves to bail out the financial system? I see an unavoidable financial crisis that will lead to a tsunami of strikes in 2024 and beyond. 

 Best regards

Karl Hohenstauffen

UK: the eve of an absolute financial nightmare

Mortgage payments increases and a whole set of new environmental taxes implemented by local authorities will push hundreds of thousands of families over the edge. If something is not done urgently, the financial crisis of years past that compromised the financial system and forced the Labour government to take extraordinary measures to rescue financial insitutions will be nothing compared to what is coming.

Prime Minister Gordon Brown had savings and the economy in general was in pretty good shape. The same does not apply now after Covid and lockdowns and consecutive rises generated by energy cost rises. If families are pushed into default, the impact felt by financial institutions will be massive. The definition of what is affordable has been changing at every faster pace. 

For many, once we take all increases into account, disposable monthly income for food will be limited or non existing. The choice will be between having enough to eat and having a place to live in. Whoever is in power in the coming months will have to design alternative ways to deal with inflation. Government and Parliament will have to do the unimaginable to keep things under control. Market economics will not be nearly enough to prevent widespread unrest.

1945/2023: different times, same justification

 After the bloody battles in the Pacific, President Truman took a momentous decision to prevent a huge number of American casualties during the assault on the Japanese mainland. Hiroshima and Nagasaki. President Truman took care of American interests. Today, Secretary Blinken says that the Russian Federation will use nuclear weapons to put an end to the conflict in Ukraine. Well, the Russian Federation will follow the American example do what is best for Russian interests.

After Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Japan recovered and went on to become one of the great nations of the Developed World. The war in Afghanistan lasted twenty years. The longest war of the century until now. The conflict in Ukraine has lasted more than a year and the Russian Federation might decide that enough is enough and do what USA did in 1945.

This a real possibility and all those seeking to prolong the conflict by supporting one of the sides in the conflict must take this into consideration. If nuclear devices are detonated in Ukraine, bordering countries will the first to be affected. The power of modern nuclear devices is vastly superior and therefore the level of destruction will be much greater and, as the world revolves, air and water will be contaminated. Those who remember the effects of Chernobyl should think about what is coming their way.

At this point, all warmongering attitudes and provision of armament should come to a halt. The likes of Warsaw that suffered under the German assault of 1939 with conventional weapons should take into account the destruction caused by an invisible enemy called nuclear radiation. The consequences of destruction caused by conventional weapons can be dealt with in the short term. The consequences of radiation pollution will last for many years to come rendering entire areas totally uninhabitable. Although Japan ultimately recovered, the legacy was thousands of lives affected for many generations to come. Cancer, birth defects and the like.

If Secretary Blinken is really and trully concerned and if he believes that the use of nuclear weapons is a certain possibility, he should advice President Biden that a strategy change is needed. The more fuel is added to the fire the closer we get to a nuclear reality. 

London Assembly Selection Process: Strong candidate, weak candidate, paper candidate?

 

Next year, the election of the Mayor of London will happen with a new electoral system. The system of first and second preferences has been abandoned and it will be run with a first past the post system. Whoever has most votes will win.

The election of Assembly Members will continue to be run with two systems: one for London Constituencies and another for the London Wide List - still giving other political parties other than the major parties the opportunity to have representatives elected.

During the selection process, due to the present situation in the Conservative Party, it has been reported that the pool of candidates has been limited due to the struggle of allegiances and that it has not been possible to include on the short-list strong gunners for Mayoral Candidate, but merely candidates with very limited public profile and some with no political experience. Some were left with the impression that the war of allegiances has left the Conservative Party without somebody that could really challenge Sadiq Khan. Will something similar happened when it comes to select constituency candidates and londo-wide list candidates?

What happened in these year local elections, could happen again next year in the London Elections. On top of two by-elections caused by political disagreements, we have to add by-elections caused by sexual misconduct.

 

UK: Smaller parties will not stand aside, even if it means division

What has become ostensibly clear is that smaller parties will not stand aside even if it means taking away votes from the Conservative Party. In years past, they would abstain. Not anymore. They believe that the Conservative Party has turned its back on Conservative Values and that they deserve to be punished.

Is Northern Ireland an integral part of the United Kingdom? The agreements reached by the Conservative government mean a de-facto separation of Northern Ireland that will continue under EU rule.

Has the government dealt with illegal migration? Absolutely not. It has come to the point when legal applicants seem to have the same rights as illegal immigrants.

Has the government dealt with environmental issues effectively? Absolutely not. The green belts continue to be built over and square kilometres of the green belts will be covered with concrete.

Local economies in the most deprived areas - especially in coastal towns - have been decimated firstly by COVID measures and secondly now by illegal migrants housed in hotels and community centres. Even when the weather was fair and plenty of people were willing to visit coastal towns and invest in their economies, it would be impossible to visit because accommodation that could be used for visitors is now used to house male illegal migrants.

To all accounts, the Conservative Party has failed to deliver on the environment, on migration, and on sovereignty. UK is not longer a souvereign country. So this is why smaller parties that have a nationalist agenda will also be campaigning against the Conservative Party.

When it comes to choosing candidates for the London Assembly, the Conservative Party is as divided as ever and there are those who say that all candidates now on the shortlist don't have a political profile and don't have the political experience to step up to the challenge. Some say this is the equivalent of standing paper candidates and defeat is the only possible outome. As the remaining contenders themselves stated during a husting in Central London, winning London is very much needed to have a chance of winning the next General Election. If this is the case, the outcome of the 2024 General Election is a given and it means total defeat if the Conservative Party manages to lose more local elections (already lost quite a few authorities) and several Parliamentary seats. The present feud at national level is also influencing the choice of candidates for the London Elections. We hear talk about teams - Team Sunak, Team Johnson. 

Somebody suggested that there are good reasons to create two independent Conservative Parties so that people really know what the political party they choose really stands for. 

London: On choosing Mayoral Candidates

The biggest challenge is to find individuals that have a public profile - well known enough - to generate expectation. Without a high profile, all people can rely on is allegiance to party politics. In the history of elections for London Mayor, two candidates were seen as the embodiement of London: Ken Livingstone and Boris Johnson - the two of them had a dictinct personality, so distinct that they could rise above the political parties they were members of.

National politics and London politics - despite that inevitably the candidates that have become London Mayor have been members of either the Labour Party or the Conservative Party - are two different cups of tea. Instead of choosing a London Mayor that can make a real difference for Londoners, we choose on the basis of national politics. 

During hustings, candidates desperately try to focus on an agenda for London. The sooner people know who the candidates are, the more the time available to raise the profiles of the candidates. Yesterday, I was asked about my preferences regarding candidates. I explicitly said that for me it was much too early to talk about preferences. I need to get to know the candidates. Big speeches and soundbites don't do. Who will we be voting for and what will we be voting for? 

Conservative Party: the gloves are off, but it is not about Labour. It is Conservative against Real Conservative

Any hope of reconciliation is very much a lost cause. If anything, the fight goes on. This is not a fight that started with Boris Jonhson's premiership. This started a long time ago. It is an ongoing war for the soul of the Conservative Party fought by people who have very little in common. Listening to Edwina Currie, you can hear loud and clear an outspoken campaigner for globalisation and total rejection of nationalist values. She explicitly said that she despises anything labelled national or nationalism. Her hatred directed against Boris Johnson came up loud and clear. There is not one Conservative Party. There are several Conservative Parties with opposite ideas regarding national policies and foreign policies.

I reckon this conflict within the Conservative Party trumps everything else. In this war, there will be no prisoners. They sense that this battle must be fought even when the price of infighting is the loss of the next General Election. Such is the animosity that reigns supreme within the Conservative Party. They hate each other a lot more than they could possibly hate political opponents from outside the Conservative Party.

If the issue is infighting amongst the Parliamentary Conservative Party - namely between Members of Parliament - the paradox is that a catastrophic electoral defeat could be benefiticial for the Conservative Party. 

If the Conservative Party is defeated in two by-elections, what party line voters are against? Are they against the Conservative Party per say or are they against the fact that for many the Conservative Party is no longer Conservative? Are voters hungry for a real Conservative Party? This is why any victory for an alternative party should be brought into question. Moreover, these are by-elections. We know that by-elections can be seen as punishment, a way to push a political party to stick to its promises. Voters know that without or without this by-elections the Conservative Party will still be in power until 2024 and therefore they want to send a message to Rishi Sunak to force him to abandon 'non-Conservative policies'.

Anger is growing against Policing. Ordinary britons are angry because the government seems to have allowed protesters to get away with murder. Change in laws means that legal migrants have now the same status as illegal migrants. This is an absurdity because it goes against the official line about countering, stopping, illigal migration, and many are fuming about it. The Prime Minister said, stated, promised, that under his watch illegal migration would come to a halt. It has not. And on top of that, illegal migrants are allowed to stay in Britain and even given accommodation and welfare benefits.

Local elections and by-elections with the feel of a General Election

In another time, it would only about local elections and by-elections. Apart from the fact that London has always been a focal point, this looks like a referendum that directly affects the standing of the Prime Minister and of the British government as a whole.

The scene for the local elections is already ongoing with selection processes of candidates in full swing. You have a chance to do a bit of sightseeing travelling to places where by-elections are due to take place.

What happened to Ukraine. Well, a lot has been said and done and there is mass media fatigue. After seeing a few buildings destroyed and images of refugees, all destroyed buildings and images of refugees start to look exactly the same. People want to talk about something else. Even the debates about Phillip Schofield and Prince Harry's adventures can become tedious. What else is there to be said that hasn't been said before? Like the falls of President Biden, after a while things become a bit boring.

Now, minds are focused on politics. Time for walking and talking before voting or not voting. 

  

With EU in recession, German coalition wants to deprive German industries of gas to send gas to Ukraine

Since Angela Merkel's disastrous decision to get rid of nuclear power in Germany, Germany became extremely dependent on fossil fuel imports. When the situation in Eastern Europe worsened, Germany had to start reopening coal mines. Major industrial players in Germany alerted the German coalition that they need to have secure energy supplies. Unfortunaly, the coalition led by Olaf Scholz is deaf and intends to send German gas to Ukraine. What is even more astonishing is that countries like Netherlands that have gas stocks were thought to be diverting their own supplies to Germany.

In the midst of recession, diverting gas supplies away from German industries makes a bad situation even worse. If German manufacturing falters, the possibility of job loses, export losses and industrial unrest rises. Although the next Federal Election is still a long way into the future, if the worst happens, the future of the ruling coalition will be in doubt. It was hard for SPD to negotiate a deal that could unite conservatives FDP and Greens. For the German economy, there has been a triple whammy: loss of nuclear energy, higher prices of oil and gas plus exports of gas to other countries.

Germany is the engine of the EU. Will the coalition survive until the next Federal Election. The longer the conflict in Eastern Europe goes on the worse the prospects for the German economy. The axe Berlin/Paris is also going through challenges. President Macron will not be around for another mandate. One word that describes what is happening in France is 'uncertainty'. Who will step in to challenge Rassemblement National? 

This is a tour de force, a game of political survival. As all the weapons sent to Ukraine are being systematically destroyed, the European Union risks being naked because what is being sent is not being replaced. Taxes going up in the midst of recession to pay for the war effort?

Johnson Vs Sunak: The big loser is the Conservative Party

 

Rishi Sunak has played right into the hands of the Opposition by using a Committee headed by none other than Harriet Harman. Now, who is Harriet Harman? The MP standing for Peckham was so unpopular in her own political party that when she was on the list to appoint the next Speaker of the House, she could practically count on her vote only. Harriet Harman publicly declared that she was out to get Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak and Conservative MPs that made up the special committee played along. This is the state of Conservative Party that is now facing at least three by-elections in a row, that recently lost thousands of Councillos in local elections and that faces the propect of losing most if not all the seat that were won when Boris Johnson was at the helm of the Conservative Party. It was Boris Johnson's political dexterity that led thousands of Labour voters in the so called Red Wall to trust the Conservative Party. Now, Rishi Sunak has committed harakiri by getting rid of the man that gave the Conservative Party an 80 seat majority. Before Boris Johnson, Theresa May managed to lose a Conservative majority by calling an election that was an utter disaster for the Conservative Party. Theresa May's ill adviced election call was what allow John Bercow as Speaker of the House Commons to manipulate the democratic system to the point that even the unelected Judiciary had a say in the democratic process. John Bercow was later publicly exposed as a bully and was not even allowed to enter the Houses of Parliament.

What happens next? Well, Labour voters who trusted the Conservative Party because of Boris Johnson might not be around a second time. Conservative voters completely disenfranchised could vote for other political parties or abstain - whether they vote for other political parties or abstain matters very little. What matters is that they will not be supporting the Conservative Party. And the next question is: is the present Conservative Party a Conservative Party? The Conservative leadership under Rishi Sunak has not told members of the public that no new legislation is needed to prevent illegal migration. In fact, the legislation already exists and has international recognition, but the present administration does not want to implement it. If present legislation were used, no Rwanda schemes and no ship schemes would be necessary. Instead, cranky schemes after cranky schemes are abandoned at huge cost for British taxpayers and migration levels keep rising unabated. If your local economy has been ruined by illegal migration under a Conservative administration, would you still vote to have more of the same?

Smaller political parties that before used not to put forward candidates because they did not want to divide the vote are not going to be abstaining. They are going to stand up even if this means ensuring the demise of the Conservative Party because they say that what is shown on the label is not what is in the bottle that they have been offered.

Now, let's compare the two men's credentials. Boris Johnson was chosen by the electorate and by members of the Conservative Party. Rishi Sunak was not chosen by the electorate and he actually managed to lose internally because Conservative members chose Liz Truss instead. Apart from the election that allowed him to become a Member of Parliament, Rishi Sunak has not won any election and, even more, Rishi Sunak was not chosen by Conservative Party members. 

Boris Johnson not only won elections to become a Member of Parliament and Conservative Party Leader. Boris Johnson has a history of winning elections including elections to become London Mayor. Being a successful businessman does not make you a good politician. Boris Johnson has the political acumen that the Conservative Party failed to have this year when local elections were fought and lost, and acumen that is not going to be around at the General Election and at the local elections including the London Elections in 2024.

The next General Election is due to take place on May 2nd, 2024. In previous elections, the Conservative Party was wiped out in Wales and in Scotland and this time England will follow. And what will happen to investors' trust? What will happen to economic recovery? Britain could be on her way to become a gigantic Slough Authority under the rule of a political party that promises one thing on Monday only to change its mind the day after. Tuition fees or no tuition fees? Green plans or no Green plans? They promise something because it sounds nice and popular, without making the sums to know if they can deliver or not what they are promising.

 

 

Can Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage create a new alliance?

 

Can Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage create a new alliance?

As the Conservative Party stands today, commentators believe that the outcome of the 2024 General Election is a given: Keir Starmer as new British Prime Minister and Rishi Sunak to follow Liz Truss on the way out.

It is also said that the SNP stands to lose the next General Election thus given the Labour Party MP seats that it needs to win the General Election.

Now, it the success of Keir Starmer a given. There are many doubters within Labour ranks that don't see that Keir Starmer has traditional labour values at heart. The campaign against Jeremy Corbyn made Keir Starmer some friends, but also many enemies. And what about the A team of the Labour Party? Is it really an A team.

Another factor to be taken into consideration is that Scottish Nationalism might be stronger than many commentators like to think, such levels of emotion regarding independence that will make may Scottish voters who could be reluctant to support SNP the strength to ignore SNP's many failures for the sake of keeping the campaign towards independence going. If this is the case, then Labour might collect some seats, but the SNP might be able to maintain its electoral force. The Greens that have been SNP allies might benefit by allowing SNP to keep its mandate in Scotland while extracting, at the same time, some more concessions in terms of the environmental agenda. A bit like the Greens in Germany entered a coalition with SPD to allow Olaf Scholz to form a coalition.

There are already three test in the immediate future that the Conservative Party must face. One is the seat of the now Former Prime Minister and Former MP in Uxbridge. Another is the seat of Nadine Dorris. And yet another is Nigel Adams' seat. Uxbridge is a marginal seat. The bar in terms of losing Uxbridge is very low. Thus should Boris Johnson's supporters decide to abstain the seat will be lost. Conservative voters will have to decide regarding Nadine Dorris' seat and Nigel Adams' seat. Will Conservative voters decide to punish Prime Minister Rishi Sunak by abstaining? 

In the coming days, should there be more resignations, Rishi Sunak's leadership will be under enormous strain. After the rout of recent local elections, losing three or more by-elections, and this on top of MPs - some from the so called Red Wall - that have not decided to stand for election in 2024, could lead to the unthinkable, but some say that the unthinkable for the Conservative Party will be like committing harakiri. the unthinkable has been defined as yet another leadership contest within the Conservative Party to replace Rishi Sunak. It was Boris Johnson that made the seemingly impossible happen. Boris Johnson as leader managed to persuade Labour Party supports to support the Conservative Party. The Red Wall successes were due to Boris Johnson's leadership and voters feel betrayed.

Some commentors say that many Conservative MPs did not wish to resign because it would be the equivalent of turkeys voting for Christmas. Let us be reminded that this is not happening right at the beginning of a Conservative administration. They would not be turkeys voting for Christmas because Christmas will happen anyway in May 2024.

If Boris Johson comes to an agreement with Nigel Farage, the Conservative Party could be a goner even before the next General Election. Rishi Sunak is not seen as a leader, but as an administrator. Given what is happening, Rishi Sunak could be a defined as a Caretaker Prime Minister. It must be remembered that Rishi Sunak was not elected by the Electorate and on top of that Rishi Sunak was not elected by Conservative Party members either. He is also remembered as the man who rebeled against Boris Johnson and was part of a coup to unseat Boris Johnson. It woul also be said that his reluctance to support Boris Johnson against what has been qualified as a witchhunt was a calculated effort to get rid of Boris Johson. It would very difficult for Rish Sunak to appeal for party loyalty.

Boris Johnson and Nadine Dorris resign their seats. What now for the Conservative party?

Boris Johnson and Nadine Dorris resign their seats as Members of Parliament. Will more MPs follow suit?

Undoubtedly, there is not one single Conservative Party as divisions regarding fundamental issues clearly show.

When the Conservative Party is just started preparations for next year local elections, including the London Assembly Election, water is pouring in into the ship. In the next few weeks, two by-elections will be fought - one in a marginal seat and another in what was considered until now a safe seat. Political commentators guarantee that a crucial seat will be lost and state that is a safe seat with a 20 or so thousand majority is also lost, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak will struggle to remain at the helm. The rule created under a Conservative Liberal Coalition is no more and a General Election could in theory be called before 2024. The so called Red Wall seats won under Boris Johnson's leadership are bound to be lost and several serving MPs have publicly stated that they will not be standing for election in 2024.

In a few days time, meetings will take place to select candidates for the coming local elections. Would you step in as a candidate given what is happening at national level? One major concern for local organisers is to get not just calibre candidates to step in. A major concern is to get somebody to stand as candidate. I guess paper candidates will be chosen in more than one case, people who don't mind to stand when defeat is almost guaranteed. Recent local elections were not brilliant. If there is a repeat of what happened in 2023, at both local and national level, the Conservative Party will be done for quite some time.

Another issue of concern is: will Boris Johnson be asked to lead a new political party - or as it has been called 'a new centre right party'? If this is the case and a new political party is formed, then the chances of the Conservative Party staying in power could be practically nil.

 
 

Most everyday products cheaper in UK than in EU

As European Union countries face recession with the price of everyday use products being more expensive than in the United Kingdom, the anti-Brexit argument collapses. After Covid and following the hardships generated by a conflict in Eastern Europe, the British economy is on the way up. No recession in the horizon for British consumers and British workers. 

If prices in Continental Europe are higher, Britain faces no limits in terms of acquiring basic products outside the European Union at lower prices. The benefits of this is twofold. Firstly, it allows Britain to ease the pressure on British consumers and, secondly, it allows Britain to interact more with Developing Economies thus improving trade relations with less fortunate countries.

Outside the parentage of the European Union, Britain can now go for expansion across the rest of the world, something that will improve Britain's standing as a trading nation. Massive areas of the world, highly populated areas of the world, are now open for business. 

Potash, critically important resource for both agriculture and weapons industries, does not come from Germany, France or any other EU country. Argentina, to name just one country, has potash and companies like Rio Tinto have dealt with such an important resource. Most of the world outside the European Union is mainly agricultural. So this is a wonderful opportunity for Britain to revitalize its industrial base and expand its trade with agricultural countries.

As several EU countries know fairly well, EU is a political project. Nertherlands, Sweden, Hungary, Poland - to name a few - have been at odds with the EU for one reason or another for very fundamental reasons. Why should Netherlands have less energy and less farming? Why should Poland and Hungary be pressured to force them to accept to change their demographic make up with unbridled migration and forces to pay for their reluctance to accept demographic changes?

Present recession realities across the EU tell you that politics seems to matter more than economics and recession comes with huge social costs.

Green Party MP and Leader not to stand at the next General Election

UK Green Party MP and party leader has stated that she will not be standing at the next General Election, despite having at the moment a 20,000 majority. Caroline Lucas stated that the amount of work involved that she has to carry out being the only one Member of Parliament does not allow her to campaign more actively on environmental issues.

Doesn't the fact that she is a Member of Parliament give her a high enough profile to promote the agenda that she supports? Quite a few politicians and aspiring politicians have struggled to try and get into Parliament 

British soldiers killed in Ukraine: Did Parliament allow the involvement of British soldiers in the battlefield?

If British soldiers are dying in Ukraine, when did Parliament allow the involvement of British soldiers as combattants in Ukraine? Did Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and his cabinet bypass Parliament. This allow should lead to the immediate fall of the Conservative goverment.

A British journalist was arrested at Luton Airport and interrogated for not less than five hours. It was a political interrogation. Among other revelations, the British journalist revealed that British elements are carrying out and planning acts of sabotage that constitute acts of war against the Russian Federation.

How long is this going to go before there is massive retaliation against Britain? When is Parliament going to start asking questions about what the Conservative government is actually doing in an area that could endanger the whole of Britain?