Michel Barnier on the way out? What next for France?

 

Michel Barnier was chosen as Prime Minister with a Parliament in which there is no Constitutional Majority to choose a Prime Minister.

Emannuel Macron appointed Michel Barnier as a pair of safe hands to guide France at a difficult time after Parliamentary Elections that generated more chaos than order.

Now, Michel Barnier could be outsted in a vote of confidence. After the Parliamentary Elections, the French government became hostage of adverse circumstances.

The next Presidential Election is due to take place in 2027 or wherever the French President resigns. If Emmanuel Macron were to resign, he could not stand again as Presidential Candidate. Such are the rules. Could the rules be broken to allow Emmanuel Macron to take part in yet another Presidential Election? While this is happening in France, in Germany Olaf Scholz faces a vote of confidence in January 2025 and possible Federal Elections in February 2025.

The two major players of the European Union are on the brink of a major upheaval in European politics and geopolitics. 

As economic figures show decline, EU Panic over immigration

 

One by one, EU countries are now panicking over immigration. The announcement of massive job losses in Germany, accompanied by news about border controls that go against the spirit of the Schengen Agreement don't go easy down the throats of German voters that are now turning to support AfD and/or walking away from the ruling coalition SDP/Grüne/FDP and this poses many questions about the coming Federal Election, after three state elections - Germany has 16 Federal States - in which vote for Alternative für Deutschland was 29% in the worst of cases and peaked at more than 33%. The use of the word ´peak´ is relative as the economic and financial situation hangs in the balance and as months go by the state of the German economy could be even worse thus favouring the vote for Alternative für Deutschland and for another 'leftwing Party' that has pushed Die Linke to the side and is making inroads in German Politics. Two options - one Right and one Left - and both anti-immigration have pushed the ruling coalition to curb migration into Germany.

As this happens, in France, Michel Barnier - a Prime Minister of necessity - after President Macron lost both the European Parliament Elections and the French Assembly Elections - is also inclined to talk against migration and the word 'Deportation' is going around. Italy has also spoken for closing borders and now there is the mention that EU makers and breakers want to have a dialogue to coordinate with Britain the transit of migrants. Keir Starmer stated today 'that being worried about migration is not Far Right', a clear change after Keir Starmer's trip to Italy when he met Italian Prime Minister Georgia Meloni.

They also seem to remember Angela Merkel and blame for her open invitation to migrants to come to Germany. That was German Chancellor Angela Merkel then also Leader of the CDU. It must also be remember that soonafter she stated 'Multikulti ist tot', publicly declared that multiculturalism had completely failed in Germany.