Showing posts with label Ronald Reagan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ronald Reagan. Show all posts

Wednesday, 4 January 2023

Ukraine: Dwight Einsenhower was right all along

 

General Dwight Einsenhower
(later President Dwight Einsenhower)

When the then Commander of Allied Forces in Europe raised the alert about the power of weapons industries to get completely out of control, he was right all along and what happened along decades has proven that he was rightly concerned about the consequences of the fever to make vast amounts of money by promoting conflicts everywhere.

During a recent interview, Oliver North - a former advisor to President Ronald Reagan - merely confirmed that the military escalade not just in Europe but also across areas bordering China - is a business much more than a geopolitical issue. This is the place where geopolitical reasons are used as a pretext to spend and spend taxpayers money to enrich the military industrial complex.

William Hartung, especialized in defense analysis and coverage of economics of the Pentagon, indicates that the United States and its NATO allies have spent tens of billions in the conflict in Ukraine, but that the Pentagon, the military services and the big weapons contractors appear to be poised to seize on this crisis to permanently expand the size and scope of the US arms industry in ways that go far beyond what is needed.

Amont the plans being floated, indicates William Hartung, is the construction of new weapons factories, dramatically increasing production of ammunition, anti-tank weapons and others systems, and easing oversight of weapons procurement. This is reducing controls in terms of the monies spent.

Lack of supervision of monies spent to create something that William Hartung indicates is both unnecessary and unwise. There is the certain risk of lowering safeguards against waste and poor performance. To put in everyday language, there is the danger of producing bad quality equipment and wasting resources that could be used to meet other urgent priorities.

The issue remains that, as Oliver North stated, so called aid for Ukraine is in fact monies that never reach Ukraine, but benefit directly the military industrial complex in the USA transforming aggresion into a very profitable business for corporations but being very bad deal for the USA.

More will be revealed once Congress passes the Fiscal Year 2023 Pentagon spending bill and the administration announces its proposal for Fiscal Year 2024 early next year, states William Hartung. Given the present impass concerning the election of the Leader of the House of Representatives with Republicans that don't seem to be to agree who is going to replace the outgoing Nancy Pelosi, one can imagine that the present political entanglement will add delay upon delay. In the meantime, there is every sing that procurement will go ahead without much needed supervision. The amount involved much exceed the amount  committed to the conflict in Ukraine.

Apparently, Army Acquisition chief Doug Bush announced that there are plans to triple ammunition production and double production of Guided Multiple Launch Rocket Systems and High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems launchers. The Pentagon's overall weapons acquisition chief William LaPlante is said to be pushing measures to speed up production of weapons and this would include multy-year production commitments. William LaPlante counts on Congress to add billions of dollars into the so called industrial base to fund these production lines.

Going back to Ukraine being used as justification for massive long term military investment, this looks and sounds like preparation for another conflict - namely a war against China. Having said that the equipment being made would be for fighting on the ground and there is no prospect of the US fighting a war against China on land.

Judging by other endeavours like the F-35, that has been seen as overpriced and underperforming, there is the issue that the numbers being built will exceed what is needed as a trend towards unmanned aircraft is prevailing. With regards to aircraft carriers, William Hartung says that aircraft carriers are extremely expensive and increasingly vulnerable and that this makes them a very poor investment.

No need to be reminded of Admiral Erich Raeder who gave priority to the construction of big ships like the Bismark, ship that ended up being sank no long after a naval encounter. Karl Dönitz asked for more U-Boots, but Admiral Raeder had other ideas. After a major encounter, the surface fleet with its expensive ships could not play a major role and by the time Karl Dönitz became Admiral crucial had been lost because Germany did not have enough U-Boots to take advantage of a temporary window of opportunity. This risk is ever present when it comes to weaponry. By the time the Eurofighter became available it was already outdated. Mechanical failures and delays have the F-35 not a very good choice.

In recent months, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said that Germany was planning to invest more than 230 billion Euro to beef-up German Armed Forces and among his plans was the acquisition of F-35 aircraft. While the now President of the European Commision Ursula von der Leyen - was then German Defense Minister - Germany had big issues with the F-35. At one point, only a few of all F-35 were actually fit for flying. Having to depend of supplies provided by foreign providers is always an issue. Something similar happenend when Britain launched its two newest aircraft carriers going to sea without fix wing aircraft. There were problems of either availability or of lack of maintenance parts.

If far too many aircraft are built that end up being obsolete even before they leave the factories, it all becomes a massive waste. This is why with American military expenditure at Pentagon level set to reach 850 billion US Dollars in 2024, William Hartung believes that the time is long overdue for a more realistic strategy and more disciplined spending priorities. 

The danger is that almost always greed takes precedence over sound decision making and that there are always excuses to over spend.


   




Monday, 6 January 2020

2019 Iran/USA: Nothing new, but merely the historical consequence

2019 Iran/USA: Nothing new but the historical consequence

Qasem Soleimaini 

The conflict between Iran and the USA started a long time ago. In 1953 there was a coup d'état in Iran organized by the United States and the United Kingdom. Democratically elected Prime Minister Mohammad Mosaddegh was deposed and the USA and the UK supported Mohammad Reza Pahlavi as monarchical ruler of Iran.

USA and UK wanted a puppet that they could control to manage Iranian mineral resources. The Shah as Reza Pahlavi was known lasted until 1979 when an Islamic Revolution deposed the Western puppet and replaced him with a theocratical regime that has runned Iran until this day.

The Iranian Revolution happened during Jimmy Carter's Presidency and it was at that time that the revolutionaries took over the US Embassy in Teheran and kept hostages and this remarkably determined the outcome of the US Presidential Election of 1980. The Democrats led by Jimmy Carter were literally wiped out. Jimmy Carter got 49 electoral votes while his Republican counterpart Ronald Reagan got 489. It was a disaster for the Democratic Party and something they never forgot. Having lost control of Iran, the USA embarked in a series of foreign politicies that included supporting Saddam Hussein and the use of chemical warfare against Iran by Saddam Hussein.

But sooner than later, the US Establishment decided to get rid of Saddam Hussein after it became clear that they could no longer control Saddam Hussein. The invasion of Kuwait in 1990 was landmark. Under a mandate of the Organisation of the United Nations, a military operation was launched and ultimately served to contraint Iraq within its borders but also imposed restriction zones that Saddam Hussein and his regime couldn't possibly tolerate. As sooner as Iraqi forces were forced to withdraw from Kuwait the planning started to get rid of Saddam Hussein. This effectively happened in another military operation without an UN mandate. American and British forces dismantled the power structure in Iraq that spiralled out of control. The state of disarray led to the rise of Islamic State that was effectively created by the power vacuum that was the direct consequence of the invasion of 2003.

With the disappearance of Iraq as buffer zone, other regional powers strived to feel up the space that Iraq no longer commanded. Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Iran are now the new players and most of the conflicts in the region were the direct consequence of US and UK military actions. The state of imbalance affected Africa Middle East and Asia Minor.

With every additional US/UK intervention, the situation was made worse and when US and UK proved unable to take control then conflicts became the norm. To sum up, US belligerance against Iran started a long time ago when US and UK acting together destroyed a democratic opening in Iran and replaced it with a monarchical puppet that couldn't last long. Sunni and Shia are coming together and this has significant implications with regards to any controlling attempt by Western powers. We are not in the 1800s. We are not in the 1900s. The world has changed. The bipolarity of the 1950s has been replaced with a multipolarity. Former colonies are no longer willing to be treated as colonies or puppet states. The new cowboys haven't been able to understand that the new indians are not just more numerous but also better prepared and that in the present context the new cowboys could end like General Custer.