Sunday, 5 May 2024

London Elections: Labour won, but... big advances for other political parties

 

Although Sadiq Khan won another term as Mayor, there have been major changes in London's political environment.

Greens, Lib Dems and Reform are winning spaces. People who used to vote Labour are now switching allegiances and turning out to vote Green.

The turnout, compared to previous elections, was lower and 6 out of 10 registered voters did not vote.

What will happen in a General Election? The results announced in May are only half of the picture due to a lower turnout. What will happen in a General Election?


This is just the end of the beginning. How will the two major political parties deal with discontent and division in their ranks? Will their be yet another leadership contest in the Conservative Party? Is this the reason why the planned October General Election might actually be run earlier than expected? The month of July has been mentioned. Will there be any more defections from now until the date of the General Election?

When it comes to geopolitical agendas, the Secretary for Defense, Grant Shapps MP, made a grandiose announcement in terms of investment in Defense, investment that he might not be able to deliver if as many predict the Conservative government comes to an end at the next General Election. By then, a winning Labour Party will be under pressure to deliver on many other priorities not to be drowned by a series of industrial disputes. For Labour voters and trade unions, national issues have a lot more weight than geopolitical issues. Health, Education and Transport - to name three key areas - are much more relevant than militaristic issues.

Who wins in France and who wins in the USA also matters. With Macron out of the way, Marine Le Pen could take the reins and it remains to be seen who will be the winner in the USA in November. If Biden wins in November, could he last another four years? Lets look at those chosen as VicePresidential Candidates.


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