Wednesday, 16 October 2019

Only Russia can help stabilize Asia Minor and Middle East

Only Russia can help stabilize Asia Minor and Middle East

From Russia with love

British and American records in Asia Minor and the Middle East make them unfit to sort out what is going on in those regions because their actions have been usually aligned with Israel and Saudi Arabia and to a lesser extent with Turkey thas has been a minor partner because of its NATO membership.

Because of the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991, Russia was sidelined and this is why we had the incoming mess generated in the said regions. Both Russia and China tried to keep things under control but they failed to do so not because they were not willing to have a say but because Britain and the USA took for granted that since Russia was in the process of change and China had no military credibility nor the willingness to engage far away from China's borders they could move as they wanted without any opposition. Hans Blix, UN Inspector, said over and over again that Iraq had no weapons of mass destruction - weapons of mass destruction fabricated by George Bush and Tony Blair to justify aggression against Iraq. In the background, Dick Cheney was rubbing his glands with glee thinking about the monies to be made in the reconstruction of Iraq when the war had not even started. The unbelievable and unjustiable destruction of Iraqi infrasture can only be explained by the belief that the more was destroyed the more companies would earn when the reconstruction started. 

The destruction led to chaos that actually prevented the reconstruction. Therefore, the amazing winnings never became a reality. What became a reality is that after desmantling of the Iraqi Armed Forces and of the Police, tribal leaders, religious leaders and gangs took over to fill up the power vacuum. In that kind of environment Iraq was de-facto partitioned and this led to the rise of Islamic State. Pandora's box had been opened. Without Iraq, other regional powers started to strive for power and this is why we have now so many conflicts with so many players including Turkey, the Kurds, Saudi Arabia, Iran and others including Israel who has carried out all kinds of incursions against its neighbours without any condemnation whatsoever.

President Trump's statement was loud and clear: "It is up to Turkey and Syria to sort out their problems. They have been fighting each other for a very long time." What was basically said is that USA doesn't have the will to waste any more time and resources in conflicts that don't affect USA's critical interests. USA has been getting flak for either doing too much or doing too little. If USA is no longer directly involved, there is no flak.

The EU is in no mood nor has the capability to commit troops on the ground and as a Turkish Ambassador clearly stated "Turkey is the second force in NATO in terms of military forces" and added that "This is a Turkish issue as Turkey is trying to deal with terrorism." "The Kurds are no saints." Well, the Kurds best card is to seek an agreement with the Syrian government thus allowing the Syrian government to take over control of disputed zones. Without British and American support the Syrian rebels have nowhere to go and sooner than later will have to put down their weapons. 

A key piece of any aggreement will be guarantees for Turkey that no one will use Syria as a platform to attack Turkey and that Syria will have full control of its territory. Once this is achieved, the conflict will come to an end. Peace in Syria will counter Israeli attempts to destabilize the region and the focus will go elsewhere namely Yemen and Palestine. 

British and American interference only made matters a lot worse than they could have been and helped to promote the kind of rhetoric that is not conducive to peace. Minor players believing that they had external support became increasingly confrontational and lost contact with reality. Once they realize that they will be on their own their confrontational attitudes will become a more moderate language and they will more interested in conflict solving that conflict making.

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