Mel Stride, Priti Patel, Robert Jenrick, James Cleverly, Tom Tugendhat, and Kemi Badenock are the six hopeful candidates.
With the Labour Party moving towards the right for internal reasons, Reform will be the bone of contention for the Conservative Party.
Question 1 - What do they stand for?
Question 2 - What do party members want?
Ultimately, whoever the last two contenders will be, party members will have to chose. What is the mood in the Conservative Party? Will the party want to go left in order to place itself in the mythical centre? Will the party have to go right to counter Reform?
With the horrendous experience of a similar leadership contest, who will be the chosen one and how long will the chosen one last?
The first year of the Labour governement will be a test for the Labour government and for His Majesty's Opposition. If the Labour government falters, then there has to be somebody who is killed enough to capitalize on Labour's mistakes. But it has to be also somebody skilled enough to prevent any additional casualties. There were casualties before the General Election and there were casualties after the election with several Conservative candidates being pushed aside because of the rising support for Reform.
If Conservative MPs decide to go awol and join other parties, including Reform, this could sink the Conservative Party in favour of Reform or other political parties. There is hope that 2026 could produce better news for the Conservative Party. Is that hope justified?
The first test will be the coming budget to be presented by the Labour government. If because of tax changes the Labour government's plan goes South, then the chances of doing better in local and regional elections will rise. Having said that, party unity will be a critical factor.
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