Brexit: January 31st 2020 11pm London

Brexit: January 31st 2020 11pm London

Tonight is the night. After years or wranggling, a Referendum and two General Elections, Britain has come a long way. What next? Next is decision time about the future relationship with both the EU and the USA plus dramatic geopolitical stances. Massive repositioning is on the way. This is about Iran, China, and the Russian Federation. From now on, the old status quo is on the way out.

Germany stood firm to protect its national interests linked to an pipeline that will bring oil and gas to Germany directly from the Russian Federation. The 5G revolution is very much part a key piece of geopolitical struggles. Every step of the way new issues will arise that will not lead to unity but to divisions. Old alliances are being tested to the limit.

The outome of the present struggles will define a new status quo in which there will be new political realities. Old allegiances will be no more. National interests will prevail. The creation of new defensive/offensive structures is already ongoing. The future of NATO is by no means guaranteed. Pesco is not just a new defensive/offensive project. It is much more than that. It is a geopolitical statement. Very much promoted by Germany and France, Pesco brings NATO into question.

And then, threre is the economics war. While USA applies sanctions against the Russian Federation, China and Iran, the tariffs and tax confrontations between USA and EU are the equivalent of sanctions.